【Nov.6】Business Today | BBC 今日
字幕摘录
| 时间 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 0:07 | Stocks surge on Wall Street and oil prices plunge on the back of the Democrats' thumping | 华尔街的股票暴涨, 油价跌落到民主党的背后 |
| 0:13 | success in the midterms. | 中期成功。 |
| 0:16 | But tech stocks remain under pressure as the build-out of AI infrastructure could stall | 但技术储备仍然面临压力,因为人工智能基础设施的建设可能会拖延 |
| 0:21 | under a Democrat-led Congress we'll hear from a data center proponent in Texas. | 在民主党领导的国会下 我们将会听到德克萨斯州一个数据中心的支持者 |
| 0:28 | Sterling reaches its highest level since the Brexit vote over 10 years ago as the Bank | 斯特林在10年前作为银行的 布雷克西特投票后达到了最高水平 |
| 0:33 | of England is expected to hike interest rates today. | 英国预计今天将提高利率。 |
| 0:38 | And going out with a bang, should restrictions on fireworks be increased in the UK or will | 如果在英国对烟花增加限制 就会爆炸,或者会 |
| 0:43 | this take the sparkle out of celebrations? | 这能把庆典的火花弄掉? |
| 0:49 | Welcome. | 欢迎 |
| 0:49 | You're with Business Today in London with me, Sally Bundock. | 你和萨莉·本多克一起在伦敦做生意 |
展开字幕全文（297 条）
| 序号 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stocks surge on Wall Street and oil prices plunge on the back of the Democrats' thumping | 华尔街的股票暴涨, 油价跌落到民主党的背后 |
| 2 | success in the midterms. | 中期成功。 |
| 3 | But tech stocks remain under pressure as the build-out of AI infrastructure could stall | 但技术储备仍然面临压力,因为人工智能基础设施的建设可能会拖延 |
| 4 | under a Democrat-led Congress we'll hear from a data center proponent in Texas. | 在民主党领导的国会下 我们将会听到德克萨斯州一个数据中心的支持者 |
| 5 | Sterling reaches its highest level since the Brexit vote over 10 years ago as the Bank | 斯特林在10年前作为银行的 布雷克西特投票后达到了最高水平 |
| 6 | of England is expected to hike interest rates today. | 英国预计今天将提高利率。 |
| 7 | And going out with a bang, should restrictions on fireworks be increased in the UK or will | 如果在英国对烟花增加限制 就会爆炸,或者会 |
| 8 | this take the sparkle out of celebrations? | 这能把庆典的火花弄掉? |
| 9 | Welcome. | 欢迎 |
| 10 | You're with Business Today in London with me, Sally Bundock. | 你和萨莉·本多克一起在伦敦做生意 |
| 11 | So we start with the latest market reaction to the US midterm elections on Wall Street. | 我们从美国华尔街中期选举的最新市场反应开始。 |
| 12 | We saw a sharp rise in stocks as investors weighed up the new political landscape. | 我们看到,随着投资者对新的政治格局的权衡,股票急剧上升。 |
| 13 | The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared more than 1,500 points on Wednesday, its biggest | 道琼斯工业平均在周三猛增了1500多点 最大的 |
| 14 | one-day gain since April last year. | 自去年4月以来,一天的收益。 |
| 15 | The broader S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq also rose sharply. | 范围更广的S&P 500和技术重的Nasdaq也急剧上升。 |
| 16 | If you look at oil prices though, they fell steeply in response to comments about the | 但是,如果看一看油价,它们会急剧下降,以应对关于石油价格的评论。 |
| 17 | by Vice President JD Vance and investors are now betting the election result could reduce | JD Vance副总裁和投资者 现在打赌选举结果会减少 |
| 18 | the risk of a wider conflict in the Middle East. | 中东冲突扩大的危险。 |
| 19 | So as you can see now, Brent Crude is currently trading at around $94 per barrel for December | 如你所见,目前布伦特·克鲁德 12月每桶交易94美元 |
| 20 | delivery. | 交货。 |
| 21 | Not every company though was a part of the rally. | 并不是每个公司都是集会的一部分。 |
| 22 | Tesla shares were sold off as investors weighed what a Democratic sweep could mean for Elon | 特斯拉股票被卖掉 投资人权衡了民主扫荡对伊隆的意义 |
| 23 | Musk. | 穆斯克(英语:Musk). |
| 24 | Here's Michelle Fleury in New York. | 纽约的米歇尔·弗洛里 |
| 25 | Going into Tuesday's vote, many assume that the preference of financial markets would | 许多人认为金融市场的偏好, |
| 26 | be for a proprietor of Republican strength for a limited Democratic win. | 成为共和党实力的主人 为了有限的民主党胜利 |
| 27 | A blue wave like the one that has swept across American politics was assumed to be something | 蓝色的波浪 横扫美国政治 |
| 28 | that investors might take fright at. | 投资者可能会害怕 |
| 29 | Well, it turns out that initially at least markets rather liked the look of a Democratic | 事实证明,最初市场 喜欢的看起来民主 |
| 30 | control of Congress. | 控制国会 |
| 31 | The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared more than 1,500 points on Wednesday, its best single | 道琼斯工业平均周三涨了1500多分 最好的单曲 |
| 32 | day since April of last year. | 从去年四月开始 |
| 33 | The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq also reported strong gains. | S&P 500和Nasdaq也报告取得了很大进展。 |
| 34 | Bucking that trend notably were shares in Elon Musk's companies, SpaceX and Tesla. | 在埃隆·穆斯克公司、SpaceX公司和Tesla公司中,股权明显助长了这一趋势。 |
| 35 | Both companies, controlled by the biggest donor to the Republican campaign, are assumed | 两家公司都由共和党竞选的最大捐助者控制, |
| 36 | to be headed for a difficult relationship with the new Congress and saw their share | 走向与新国会的艰难关系 并看到了他们的份额 |
| 37 | prices fall sharply. | 价格急剧下跌。 |
| 38 | Michelle Fleury在那里,而Mike Cooper的首席投资官 在晨星和 | |
| 39 | gave us his take on the market reaction to the midterm results. | 给了我们市场对中期结果的反应 |
| 40 | What you've seen clearly is a relief rally and I think the really interesting thing for | 你显然看到的是一次救济集会 我认为这很有趣 |
| 41 | investors is just how diversification has made such a comeback. | 投资者正是多样化如何使这种复苏。 |
| 42 | If you look at how the market performed and why it rose, what you clearly see is on the | 如果你看看市场表现如何 以及为什么它上升, 你清楚地看到的是... |
| 43 | one hand with energy coming off as you would expect when the oil price falls, but the sense | 一手的能量会像油价下跌时一样熄灭 但感觉 |
| 44 | of OK, although there's a backlash against AI, the fact is a lot of these players who | OK,虽然对AI有反弹, 事实是很多这些玩家谁 |
| 45 | are already in a dominant position, the hyperscalers, Amazon, Alphabet and Microsoft are still well | 亚马逊、阿尔法贝特和微软的超标器仍然很好 |
| 46 | {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}如果能继续 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}他们可能会被烧得少一点资本 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}如果能继续的话 | |
| 47 | unable to continue to extend at quite the pace they have with the data centers. | 无法继续以与数据中心相当的速度扩展。 |
| 48 | Mike Cube there, well for more on the results of those midterm elections and what it means | Mike Cube在那里 更多关于中期选举的结果 以及这意味着什么 |
| 49 | for big tech companies and their AI plans, here's our North America technology correspondent | 我们的北美科技通讯员 |
| 50 | Lily Jamali. | 莉莉・贾马里。 |
| 51 | Among the issues that drove voters to the polls, AI and data centers were significant. | 在促使选民参加投票的问题中,AI和数据中心意义重大。 |
| 52 | Even before Tuesday polling made clear that they weren't popular among many Americans | 周二投票前就已经表明 他们并不受到许多美国人的欢迎 |
| 53 | and one survey found that almost a third of those asked ranked AI and data centers among | 一项调查发现,在被调查者中,几乎三分之一的人将AI和数据中心排在了前列。 |
| 54 | their top three most important election issues. | 他们的头三个最重要的选举问题。 |
| 55 | Following that kind of sentiment clearly helped lead to victory for Democratic Senate candidates | 那种情绪显然有助于赢得 民主参议院候选人的胜利 |
| 56 | like Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan and Sherrod Brown in Ohio. | 比如密歇根州的阿卜杜勒·赛义德和俄亥俄州的雪罗德·布朗. |
| 57 | Both made regulating the build out of data centers central to their campaigns. | 两者都把管理数据中心的建设作为其运动的核心。 |
| 58 | They won in spite of record campaign spending against them by tech billionaires. | 尽管技术亿万富翁对他们进行了创纪录的竞选活动,他们还是赢得了胜利。 |
| 59 | Anti-tech platforms also worked in Texas where Democrat James Tallarico had called for tighter | 德克萨斯州也有反科技平台工作 民主党人詹姆斯·塔拉里科要求更严格 |
| 60 | regulations on data center construction. | 数据中心建设条例。 |
| 61 | The world's richest man, Elon Musk, spent more than $200 million to support his opponent. | 世界首富伊隆·穆斯克斥资2亿多美元支持对手. |
| 62 | Tallarico noted this in his victory speech on Tuesday night. | 塔拉里科在星期二晚上的胜利演讲中注意到了这一点. |
| 63 | We just proved that all the money in the world is no match for the people of Texas. | 我们刚刚证明,世界上所有的钱都和德州人民不匹配. |
| 64 | Allies are now on Democrats to see how they go about regulating AI and the data centers | 盟军现在在民主党内 看看他们如何管理AI和数据中心 |
| 65 | that support them. | 支持他们。 |
| 66 | Lily Jamali there, well in Texas one outgoing Republican official lambasted his own party's | Lily Jamali在那里,在德克萨斯州 一个即将离任的共和党官员 在自己的党内 |
| 67 | stance on data centers. | 在数据中心的立场。 |
| 68 | As the states become home to the fastest growing data center market in the US, Sid | 随着各州成为美国发展最快的数据中心市场所在地,西德 |
| 69 | Miller told the BBC the growth needs to stop. | 米勒告诉BBC需要停止增长. |
| 70 | We need a moratorium on them. | 我们需要暂停制裁。 |
| 71 | Let the legislature meet, put some guardrails around them, some oversight, some regulations | 让立法机构开会, 设置一些护卫, 一些监督,一些条例 |
| 72 | because they don't have any in Texas. | 因为他们在德州没有 |
| 73 | That's the problem. | 这就是问题所在。 |
| 74 | Taking up our best farmland, using up our water, driving up electric rates. | 抢占我们最好的农田,用掉我们的水, 提高电费。 |
| 75 | The growth needs to stop. | 增长需要停止。 |
| 76 | We're going to have over 5,000 in America. | 我们在美国将有超过5000人。 |
| 77 | China stopped at 439. | 中国停在439号. |
| 78 | They didn't have the infrastructure to support any more of that. | 他们没有支撑这些的基础设施。 |
| 79 | And we can't support 5,000 of them. | 而且我们不能支持其中的5000人. |
| 80 | Deepak Sarana是Futurum集团的首席产品官兼副总裁, | |
| 81 | is a technology research firm dealing with AI and cloud computing. | 是一家处理AI和云计算的技术研究公司. |
| 82 | I asked him if he's concerned about the backlash against data centers in Texas. | 我问他是否担心 德克萨斯州数据中心的反弹 |
| 83 | I don't think it stops anything. | 我不认为它会停止任何事情。 |
| 84 | I think what it does is it changes the terms. | 我认为它所做的就是改变条件。 |
| 85 | New leadership in Austin, Texas will want visible winds for residents, power bills, | 德克萨斯州奥斯汀的新领导者 会希望居民有可见的风 电力账单 |
| 86 | water, and a local say. | 水,一个当地人说。 |
| 87 | But look at the size of what's at stake. | 但观其利害大小. |
| 88 | We sized the data center chip market at about 241 billion last year, heading to 1.2 trillion | 去年我们把数据中心的芯片市场 缩小到2亿2千40亿 |
| 89 | by 2030. | 在2030年之前。 |
| 90 | The US market alone doubles this year from 110 billion to 218 billion. | 仅美国市场就从今年的1,100亿增至2,180亿。 |
| 91 | A big share of that is being built in Texas. | 德克萨斯州正在建造其中的一大部分。 |
| 92 | No one walks away from that. | 没有人会离开的。 |
| 93 | Expect a negotiation, not a moratorium. | 希望谈判,而不是暂停。 |
| 94 | But is that not exactly the message we just heard, that they're saying big money does | 但这不是我们刚刚听到的信息, 他们说大钱确实 |
| 95 | not win. | 没有赢。 |
| 96 | We're a democracy and the people of Texas have spoken and they are saying no, we do | 我们是一个民主国家 德克萨斯州人民已经说话 他们说不,我们这样做 |
| 97 | not want this at this scale. | 不想要这个规模。 |
| 98 | And I think what the people of Texas have said is very much what we tell clients and | 我认为德克萨斯州人民所说的话 是我们告诉客户和 |
| 99 | what CEOs are telling us that they're doing, which is earn the license to build. | 首席执行官告诉我们,他们在做什么, 这是获得建设许可证。 |
| 100 | And there's really three key steps here. | 这里有三个关键步骤。 |
| 101 | One is pay your own way on the grid. | 一是用自己的方式付账 |
| 102 | Don't put your upgrade on residents' bills. | 不要把你的升级 居民的账单。 |
| 103 | Two, bring your own power where you can. | 二,将自己的力量带给自己. |
| 104 | We expect one in three data centers to fully run on their own power site by 2030. | 我们期望,到2030年,每三个数据中心就有一个能够完全运行在自己的电力站。 |
| 105 | And then three, you have to make the community a partner, not a bystander. | 第三,你必须让社区成为一个伙伴,而不是旁观者。 |
| 106 | Water, jobs, tax base and transparency up front. | 水、工作、税基和前面的透明度 |
| 107 | However, however, Deepak, we understand your argument and your your strategy in pushing | 但是,迪帕克,我们理解你的论点 你的策略是推动 |
| 108 | ahead still with these huge investments and plans for AI build out. | 并计划建立AI。 |
| 109 | But this will surely slow things right down. | 但这肯定会让事情放慢速度 |
| 110 | There could be legal wrangling. | 可能会有法律上的争吵。 |
| 111 | It could become very costly and slow and stalled if not stopped. | 它可能变得非常昂贵和缓慢,如果不停止就停滞不前。 |
| 112 | Yeah, it's a great point, Sally. | 是啊,这是个好主意,莎莉。 |
| 113 | We surveyed about 1700 IT decision makers every quarter on where their budgets are going. | 我们每个季度调查大约1700个信息技术决策者的预算流向。 |
| 114 | And out of 29 technology categories, AI and machine learning had the strongest spend momentum. | 而在29个技术类别中,AI和机器学习具有最强的花费动力. |
| 115 | So it's about three times the average of everything we track. | 大约是我们所追踪的每件东西的平均值的三倍。 |
| 116 | So it's slowed. | 所以减速了 |
| 117 | It's about ease three points since July. | 从7月起,这是关于放松的三点。 |
| 118 | It's cooling a touch, but not reversing. | 它在冷却触摸,但不是反转。 |
| 119 | And CEOs tell us the break is budget and power, not appetite. | 而CEO告诉我们 休息是预算和权力 不是食欲 |
| 120 | Will it not be the answer to actually build somewhere else? | 这难道不是在别的地方建造的答案吗? |
| 121 | Not such a concentration in Texas? | 德克萨斯没有这么集中? |
| 122 | And when I say somewhere else, some senior delegates and meta were saying maybe even | 当我说到别的地方, 一些高级代表和meta说,也许甚至 |
| 123 | outside of the United States. | 在美国境外。 |
| 124 | Yeah, absolutely. | 当然 |
| 125 | I think a lot is on the table. | 我觉得桌上有很多 |
| 126 | But a lot of these plans for the data centers have been in motion now for months, if not years, in Texas. | 但很多这些数据中心的计划 已经在德克萨斯州运行了几个月甚至几年。 |
| 127 | And so addressing the data center strategy in Texas is going to be first and foremost | 因此,解决 数据中心战略在德克萨斯 将首先 |
| 128 | for this new administration. | 为了这个新政府。 |
| 129 | Really, really interesting. | 痷 痷Τ届 |
| 130 | That's the story. | 这就是故事。 |
| 131 | Deepak Sarona, that's the story we're keeping a very close eye on here for you. | 迪帕克·萨罗纳,这就是我们一直 密切关注你的故事 |
| 132 | But now let's take a look at the UK and the pound sterling has reached its highest value | 现在让我们看看英国 英镑已经达到了最高值 |
| 133 | since the Brexit referendum over 10 years ago. | 自从10年前布雷克西特公投以来 |
| 134 | Sterling's value fell sharply after that vote in 2016, and then it reached further lows | 斯特林的价值在2016年的投票后急剧下降,然后进一步降到了低点. |
| 135 | 在Brexit谈判进程中。 | |
| 136 | And then we had a global pandemic. | 然后我们发生了一场全球性的流行病。 |
| 137 | And then, of course, we had the ill fated mini budget of Liz Truss for 2022. | 然后,当然,我们有 不好的命运小预算 利兹特鲁斯2022年。 |
| 138 | Well, today, one pound sterling by one euro and 20 cents or for the dollar, it's one dollar and 35 cents. | 那么,今天,一英镑 一欧元和20美分 或者美元,是一美元和35美分。 |
| 139 | One factor supporting the pound's value is the clear expectation that today we will see | 支持英镑价值的一个因素是,我们显然期望今天看到 |
| 140 | interest rates going up because the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meets | 利率上升是因为英格兰银行货币政策委员会开会 |
| 141 | at lunchtime and the bank's base rate is currently three point seven five percent. | 在午餐时间 银行的基价是3点7分5% |
| 142 | Most economists believe a hike in borrowing costs is baked in today to four percent. | 大多数经济学家认为,今天借款成本的上涨将达到4%。 |
| 143 | And that would be the first increase for over three years. | 这将是三年来第一次增加。 |
| 144 | A key reason is inflation at three and a half percent in September. | 一个关键的原因是9月份通货膨胀率为3%半。 |
| 145 | It's still way above the central bank's target rate of two percent. | 它仍然远高于央行2%的目标利率. |
| 146 | 桑德拉·霍尔斯费尔德(Sandra Horsfeld)是英国经济学家,在Investec工作. | |
| 147 | I asked her if she expects rates to rise today. | 我问她今天是否预期利率会上升 |
| 148 | We do believe it is now time for the Bank of England to join what has been a rising | 我们确实相信现在是英格兰银行 加入不断上升的行列的时候了 |
| 149 | interest rate trend amongst the G7 countries and tighten interest rates, too. | 7国集团国家的利率趋势以及收紧利率。 |
| 150 | Yes. | 对 |
| 151 | Interesting, though, because, of course, most predict today we'll see a rate rise | 很有趣,因为,当然,大多数预测 今天,我们会看到一个速率上升 |
| 152 | and then some are predicting we'll see further rate increases in the new year. | 然后一些人预测,我们将会看到新年的增长率进一步上升。 |
| 153 | Since we saw that quite significant decline in oil prices, | 既然我们看到油价大幅下跌 |
| 154 | are markets pricing in a different outlook for 2027? | 2027年的市场定价情况是否不同? |
| 155 | The outlook has shifted slightly. | 前景略有变化。 |
| 156 | We've had a very substantial decline in oil prices and energy has really been central | 我们的油价大幅下跌 能源真的成为中心 |
| 157 | to the reasons why the Bank of England should raise rates. | 英国银行应该提高利率的原因 |
| 158 | It's not so much that they can do anything about interest rate prices, | 这不是太多 他们可以做任何事情 关于利率价格, |
| 159 | but the longer these sort of high energy prices persist, | 但这种高能源价格持续得越久 |
| 160 | the harder it is to believe that we won't get eventually some wage increases | 更难相信我们终究不会增加工资 |
| 161 | to compensate for part of that. | 以补偿其中的一部分。 |
| 162 | And that could then prolong cost pressures for companies | 这可能会延长公司的成本压力 |
| 163 | and it could prolong the inflation hit. | 这会延长通货膨胀的打击 |
| 164 | So that is why the Bank of England think it might need to hike now. | 这就是为什么英格兰银行认为它可能需要现在远足。 |
| 165 | Of course, if energy prices do unwind quickly, the reasoning isn't quite so firm anymore. | 当然,如果能源价格迅速下跌, 推理就不那么坚定了。 |
| 166 | So markets have scaled back a little bit in terms of interest rate rises. | 因此,市场在利率上升方面有所回落。 |
| 167 | That I expected, but are still looking for nearly four interest rate rises in total from here. | 我早就料到了,但现在仍在寻求从这里总共增加将近4个利率。 |
| 168 | Also as well, do you think it's quite hard to predict, | 还有,你觉得很难预测吗? |
| 169 | despite the fact that we have had, you know, | 尽管我们有过,你知道, |
| 170 | predictions from the Office for Budget Responsibility and others | 预算责任办公室和其他机构的预测 |
| 171 | on what's ahead in 2027 for the UK economy | 2027年英国经济的未来 |
| 172 | and therefore difficult to know what might happen with interest rates in the new year? | 因此很难知道新年利率会怎样? |
| 173 | Absolutely. | 当然 |
| 174 | It's always a difficult thing to predict inflation trends going forward. | 预测未来通货膨胀趋势总是很困难的. |
| 175 | We know quite a bit about the near term outlook. | 我们非常了解近期的前景。 |
| 176 | So we know already that given what we've seen in energy prices so far, | 所以,我们已经知道, 根据我们已经看到 能源价格到目前为止, |
| 177 | we could see inflation push north of 4% in the near term. | 我们可以看到通货膨胀在近期以4%的速度北上。 |
| 178 | So the near term picture really isn't that great. | 近期的画面真的没那么好。 |
| 179 | What happens afterwards though will depend on energy prices, | 之后会发生什么 取决于能源价格, |
| 180 | but it will also depend on how the economy is performing. | 这还取决于经济的表现。 |
| 181 | There, the news recently has been surprisingly good. | 最近的消息令人惊讶 |
| 182 | Sandra Horsfield there and we'll bring you the news from the Bank of England | 桑德拉语Name 荷斯菲尔德在那里,我们会给你带来 从英格兰银行的消息 |
| 183 | when we get it here at the BBC, still to come. | 等我们到英国广播公司的时候 还要来 |
| 184 | Going out with a bang, should the sale of fireworks be restricted further in the UK? | 在英国,烟花的销售是否应该受到进一步限制? |
| 185 | We weigh up the debate. | 我们权衡辩论。 |
| 186 | Around the world and across the UK, this is BBC News. | 环游世界和整个英国,这是英国广播公司新闻。 |
| 187 | 今天你和BBC新闻的Business Today合作 | |
| 188 | As the world faces an ongoing energy crisis, | 随着世界面临持续的能源危机, |
| 189 | the challenge is to ensure it remains secure, affordable and sustainable. | 挑战在于确保它仍然安全、负担得起和可持续。 |
| 190 | Rising demand driven by AI data centres and EV charging | AI数据中心和EV充电驱动的需求上升 |
| 191 | is putting unprecedented pressure on energy systems worldwide | 给全球能源系统带来前所未有的压力 |
| 192 | that is compounded by the war in the Middle East. | 中东战争使情况更加复杂。 |
| 193 | 我们的记者Julia Caesar 一直在和ADAPEC的一些代表交谈 | |
| 194 | which is the world's biggest energy event. | 这是世界上最大的能源事件。 |
| 195 | It's currently underway this week in Abu Dhabi. | 目前本周在阿布扎比进行. |
| 196 | Balancing today's energy needs with tomorrow's climate goals | 平衡今天的能源需求与明天的气候目标 |
| 197 | has been a challenge for years. | 多年来一直是一个挑战。 |
| 198 | But the wars in Ukraine and Iran have made this task virtually impossible. | 但乌克兰和伊朗的战争使这项任务几乎不可能完成。 |
| 199 | From oil and gas to renewables, | 从石油和天然气到可再生能源, |
| 200 | the world's energy leaders say working together is now essential. | 世界能源领导人说,现在必须共同努力。 |
| 201 | As Secretary General of the World Energy Council, | 作为世界能源理事会秘书长, |
| 202 | my agenda is humanising energy because all the challenges we face | 我的议程是人性化能源 因为我们面临的所有挑战 |
| 203 | are because of human beings, not because of technology, not because of climate. | 并不是因为技术,也不是因为气候。 |
| 204 | So it's within our ability to solve it together. | 所以,这是我们的能力 一起解决它。 |
| 205 | There's no shortage of capital or technology in the world. | 世界上不乏资本和技术. |
| 206 | The question is, can you attract it from the private sector into the energy sector | 问题是,你能从私营部门吸引它进入能源部门吗? |
| 207 | and get a secure return on your investment? | 并获得你投资的可靠回报? |
| 208 | So there's lots of capital. | 故有大资. |
| 209 | In countries like China, they seem to have an ability to take a 20 or 30 year view | 在像中国这样的国家里 他们似乎有20到30年的视野 |
| 210 | and to have policy consistency and stick with it. | 并保持政策一致性并坚持不懈。 |
| 211 | So it really depends on the political economy in different places. | 所以这真的取决于不同地方的政治经济. |
| 212 | How you do that long range planning. | 如何做长程规划。 |
| 213 | But energy planning can't be based on let's predict the future | 但能源规划不能基于预测未来 |
| 214 | or let's work out what we would prefer | 或者我们想出我们想要的 |
| 215 | and let's just not do it, let perfection become the enemy of the good. | 让我们不要这么做 让完美成为好人的敌人 |
| 216 | What we need are options, interoperability | 我们需要的是选项,互操作性 |
| 217 | and partnership is still the most cost effective option. | 伙伴关系仍然是最具成本效益的选择。 |
| 218 | The conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East highlight a critical reality. | 乌克兰和中东的冲突突出了一个关键的现实。 |
| 219 | Energy security can no longer be taken for granted. | 再也不能认为能源安全是理所当然的。 |
| 220 | The Ukraine war exposed the risks of over-reliance on a single supplier. | 乌克兰战争暴露了过度依赖单一供应商的风险。 |
| 221 | While tensions around Iran and the Strait of Hormuz | 伊朗和霍尔木兹海峡周围的紧张局势 |
| 222 | have demonstrated the vulnerability of global oil and LNG supply chains. | 这表明全球石油和液化天然气供应链的脆弱性。 |
| 223 | So I think we're in a little bit of a detour here, but I think it's a temporary, | 所以,我想我们有点绕路了, 但我认为这是暂时的, |
| 224 | I'm very hopeful that we can come to some kind of diplomatic solution. | 我非常希望我们能达成某种外交解决办法。 |
| 225 | That's really the only alternative at this stage. | 这才是目前阶段唯一的选择 |
| 226 | And then we can start focusing more on, again, | 然后,我们可以开始 更专注于,再次, |
| 227 | this energy technology side of the equation. | 这种能量技术 方程式。 |
| 228 | And if we do develop that, the breakthrough is going to be very impactful. | 如果我们真的发展了这一点, 突破将是非常有影响力的。 |
| 229 | Just as we're seeing with AI, how AI is really dominating | 正如我们所看到的,AI是如何真正支配 |
| 230 | how we look at business and commerce in the future. | 我们如何看待未来的商业和商业。 |
| 231 | We have a breakthrough in some energy technology. | 我们在某些能源技术方面有了突破。 |
| 232 | It's going to happen very fast. | 会很快发生的 |
| 233 | The resolution to the current energy crisis | 解决当前能源危机 |
| 234 | is not choosing between energy security and sustainability. | 并不是在能源安全和可持续性之间作出选择。 |
| 235 | It is achieving both. | 它正在实现这两个目标。 |
| 236 | From transport and connectivity to the lights on our streets, | 从交通和连接到我们街道上的灯光 |
| 237 | the world needs a diverse energy mix, dependable oil and gas for today, | 当今世界需要多种能源组合、可靠的石油和天然气, |
| 238 | alongside faster investment in renewables for tomorrow. | 还要加快对明天可再生能源的投资。 |
| 239 | The goal is to create an energy system that is secure, | 目标是建立一个安全的能源系统, |
| 240 | affordable and capable of meeting climate goals. | 负担得起并能够实现气候目标。 |
| 241 | But we are a long way from achieving that. | 但我们离实现这一目标还有很长的路要走。 |
| 242 | Julia Caesar, BBC News. | 朱莉娅·凯撒,BBC新闻. |
| 243 | Now it is Guy Fawkes night tonight or fireworks night here in the UK | 今晚是盖伊・福克斯之夜 还是烟花之夜 在英国 |
| 244 | with celebrations likely to continue in the days ahead | 未来的日子里,庆祝活动可能会继续 |
| 245 | and further fireworks for Diwali on Sunday. | 周日再给迪瓦利添烟火 |
| 246 | Behind the scenes, the fireworks industry is facing rising costs | 在幕后,烟花业面临不断上涨的成本 |
| 247 | and supply chain issues. | 和供应链问题。 |
| 248 | The government's recently opened a consultation | 政府最近开始磋商 |
| 249 | to consider further restrictions on the sale and use of fireworks. | 考虑进一步限制烟花爆竹的销售和使用。 |
| 250 | And that's in response to growing public concern | 这是对公众日益关注的回应 |
| 251 | over noise pollution, animal welfare and antisocial behaviour. | 因为噪音污染 动物福利和反社会行为 |
| 252 | Andy Hubbell是英国烟火协会副主席 | |
| 253 | and managing director of Star Fireworks. | 也是星火公司总经理 |
| 254 | I asked him for his thoughts on the government's consultation. | 我问他关于政府协商的想法 |
| 255 | Well, there's 20 million people who enjoy celebrating with fireworks in the UK. | 英国有两千万人喜欢用烟花庆祝 |
| 256 | There will be so many people enjoying in their back gardens tonight | 今晚会有这么多人在后花园里享受 |
| 257 | and over the coming days. | 未来的日子里 |
| 258 | So we think that any action taken by the government | 所以我们认为政府采取的任何行动 |
| 259 | needs to be evidence-based and led by that, | 必须以证据为基础并以此为主导, |
| 260 | but not to upset people or stop people enjoying fireworks, | 但不要让别人心烦意乱 或阻止人们喜欢烟火 |
| 261 | whether that's at home or organised events. | 不管是在家里还是组织的活动 |
| 262 | But remember that things like organised fireworks displays over the coming days, | 但记住,像有组织的烟花 展示未来的日子, |
| 263 | they're raising huge amounts of money for charity. | 他们为慈善募集了大量资金 |
| 264 | And so it's not just one thing we need to consider. | 所以这不是我们需要考虑的一件事。 |
| 265 | And what the British Fireworks Association promotes is responsible use. | 而英国烟火协会提倡的是负责任的使用. |
| 266 | And we want to work with the government | 我们想和政府合作 |
| 267 | and certainly encouraging people to use that | 并肯定鼓励人们使用 |
| 268 | and working with a jointly funded campaign paid for by industry and government | 与工业和政府共同资助的运动合作 |
| 269 | to promote safe use and tell people how to enjoy fireworks responsibly. | 促进安全使用,并告诉人们如何负责任地享受烟花爆竹。 |
| 270 | One of the things the government is considering in this consultation | 政府在这次磋商中正在考虑的事项之一 |
| 271 | is reducing the noise levels, turning the volume down. | 正在降低噪音水平, 将音量调低 。 |
| 272 | Is that not a good compromise? | 这不是一个很好的妥协吗? |
| 273 | I think one of the problems with turning the noise down | 我觉得一个问题就是把噪音关掉 |
| 274 | is that it's not necessarily a popular thing. | 是,它不一定是一个流行的东西。 |
| 275 | There are still people that really enjoy the fireworks. | 仍有人真正喜欢烟花 |
| 276 | I'm not talking about fireworks that specifically go bang, | 我不是在谈论烟火 具体去爆炸, |
| 277 | but just have noise associated when they function or when they burst. | 但只要有声音,当它们发挥作用或爆发。 |
| 278 | There is a real risk that if you were to reduce the noise level to too low, | 如果你把噪音降低到太低, 就有真正的风险。 |
| 279 | that there will still be a demand out there | 外面还会有需求 |
| 280 | and people will just look for alternative sources. | 人们只会寻找其他来源 |
| 281 | And you could create an illegal market. | 你可以制造一个非法市场。 |
| 282 | There are countries around the world where fireworks are completely banned | 全世界都有国家完全禁止烟花 |
| 283 | for sale to the public, but there are huge illegal markets at the moment. | 但目前还有巨大的非法市场 |
| 284 | We've got a controlled situation where enforcers are able to oversee the products. | 我们有一个控制状况 执行者可以监督产品。 |
| 285 | The products conform to specifications. | 产品符合规格。 |
| 286 | We limit the different types of fireworks. | 我们限制不同类型的烟花。 |
| 287 | The industry banned bangers and air bombs and mini rockets over 30 years ago. | 30多年前,该行业禁止爆破机、空投炸弹和微型火箭。 |
| 288 | And if we introduce an illegal market, then you could get online sales. | 如果我们推出一个非法市场, 你就可以在网上销售。 |
| 289 | You could get white vans. | 你可以买白色的货车。 |
| 290 | And that's not something that we want to see in the UK | 我们不想在英国看到这种事 |
| 291 | where we do currently have a controlled situation. | 目前我们确实处于控制状态 |
| 292 | Interesting. | 有意思,这很有趣 |
| 293 | That debate will go on and on, I am sure. | 我相信,辩论将持续进行下去。 |
| 294 | So just to highlight, we do have a business page on the BBC News website and news app. | 所以为了突出,我们确实在BBC新闻网站和新闻应用上有一个商业网页。 |
| 295 | It will, of course, update immediately after the news from the Bank of England | 当然,它会立即更新 英国银行的消息 |
| 296 | on the cost of borrowing today. | 今天的借款费用 |
| 297 | That decision usually comes through around 12 noon UK time. | 这一决定通常在联合王国时间中午12点左右作出。 |
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