加息靴子即将落地！《华尔街日报》深度预警：美联储决议这4点最
字幕摘录
| 时间 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 0:00 | This is the most interesting Fed meeting of the year, because it's Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's third meeting, | 这是今年最有趣的美联储会议, 因为这是美联储主席凯文·沃什的第三次会议, |
| 0:07 | but he's expected to do something different from the last two, and that is, he's expected to raise interest rates. | 但他会做一些与前两个不同的事, 也就是说,他会提高利率。 |
| 0:13 | Here are three things I'll be watching at this Fed meeting. | 我将在美联储会议上看三件事 |
| 0:17 | First, an interest rate increase would be a big deal here, not just because they haven't raised interest rates in three years, | 首先,提高利率是件大事 不仅仅是因为他们三年没提高利率了 |
| 0:24 | but because Donald Trump put somebody in charge of the Fed earlier this year, who he said was going to lower interest rates, | 但是因为唐纳德·特朗普今年早些时候 让某个人负责美联储 他说他会降低利率 |
| 0:31 | the Fed cut rates three times last year. | 去年美联储三次削减利率 |
| 0:34 | This would be the Fed taking back at least one of those moves. | 美联储至少会收回其中一项 |
| 0:38 | The second thing I'm watching is, does everybody support it? | 我在看的第二件事是 每个人都支持吗? |
| 0:41 | In July, the Fed held interest rates steady, but there were three dissents from presidents who wanted to raise interest rates. | 7月,美联储保持利率稳定,但有3位总统持异议,希望提高利率. |
| 0:48 | Dissents happen, but at a time like this, when the Fed is under tremendous political pressure, | 但此时美联储正面临巨大的政治压力 |
展开字幕全文（26 条）
| 序号 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | This is the most interesting Fed meeting of the year, because it's Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's third meeting, | 这是今年最有趣的美联储会议, 因为这是美联储主席凯文·沃什的第三次会议, |
| 2 | but he's expected to do something different from the last two, and that is, he's expected to raise interest rates. | 但他会做一些与前两个不同的事, 也就是说,他会提高利率。 |
| 3 | Here are three things I'll be watching at this Fed meeting. | 我将在美联储会议上看三件事 |
| 4 | First, an interest rate increase would be a big deal here, not just because they haven't raised interest rates in three years, | 首先,提高利率是件大事 不仅仅是因为他们三年没提高利率了 |
| 5 | but because Donald Trump put somebody in charge of the Fed earlier this year, who he said was going to lower interest rates, | 但是因为唐纳德·特朗普今年早些时候 让某个人负责美联储 他说他会降低利率 |
| 6 | the Fed cut rates three times last year. | 去年美联储三次削减利率 |
| 7 | This would be the Fed taking back at least one of those moves. | 美联储至少会收回其中一项 |
| 8 | The second thing I'm watching is, does everybody support it? | 我在看的第二件事是 每个人都支持吗? |
| 9 | In July, the Fed held interest rates steady, but there were three dissents from presidents who wanted to raise interest rates. | 7月,美联储保持利率稳定,但有3位总统持异议,希望提高利率. |
| 10 | Dissents happen, but at a time like this, when the Fed is under tremendous political pressure, | 但此时美联储正面临巨大的政治压力 |
| 11 | it'll be notable to see how much support Kevin Warsh can build for whatever he decides. | 看到凯文·沃什能为他决定的一切提供多少支持,将是非常值得注意的。 |
| 12 | If the Fed raises interest rates, but somebody says, hold on, I don't think we need to do this, | 如果美联储提高利率 但有人说 坚持住 我觉得我们不需要这么做 |
| 13 | that could create an awkwardness for the Fed chair, because President Trump has been suggesting | 这会给美联储主席带来尴尬 因为川普总统一直建议 |
| 14 | that Kevin Warsh didn't want to raise interest rates, and it was a hostile committee dragging him to do it. | Kevin Warsh不想提高利率 是个怀有敌意的委员会拖着他这么做的 |
| 15 | If this is a decision that Kevin Warsh owns, but somebody's saying, we don't have to do this right now, | 如果这是Kevin Warsh拥有的决定 但有人说 我们现在不必这么做 |
| 16 | that could be a little bit of a crack in the armor around a unified Fed decision to raise interest rates. | 可能只是美联储统一决定 提高利率的裂缝 |
| 17 | The third thing I'm watching this week is, how does the Fed justify what they decide to do? | 我本周看到的第三件事是 美联储如何解释他们决定做什么? |
| 18 | If the Fed holds interest rates steady, that's going to invite a lot of questions at the chairman's press conference, | 如果美联储保持利率稳定 这将会在主席的新闻发布会上引起很多问题 |
| 19 | because markets overwhelmingly have anticipated a rate increase given everything that's happened in the economy | 因为市场大都预料到利率会上升 因为经济中发生的每一件事 |
| 20 | and everything Fed officials said in the run-up to this meeting. | 以及美联储官员在会议前所说的话 |
| 21 | Kevin Warsh gave a speech last month that was widely anticipated, and people thought he tipped his hand toward a rate increase | Kevin Warsh上个月发表了一个 广为人知的演讲 人们以为他向上升率倾斜 |
| 22 | if the data came in as it did in the run-up to this meeting, not really showing a convincing reason to think inflation is getting better. | 如果数据能像本次会议之前那样输入, 并不能真正表明一个令人信服的理由 认为通货膨胀正在好转。 |
| 23 | This is a wild moment for the Fed to raise interest rates because you've also seen the 10-year Treasury yield hitting 5%. | 这是美联储提高利率的疯狂时刻 因为你也看到了10年的国库收益 下跌5%。 |
| 24 | The bottom line is that barring costs are going up ahead of this fall's midterm elections, | 底线是,除此之外,费用将在今年秋季中期选举之前上升, |
| 25 | it's creating an unusually complicated set of circumstances as the Fed decides where it should set interest rates. | 随着美联储决定利率的确定,它正在制造一系列异常复杂的情况。 |
| 26 | For more information on the Fed, visit www.fed.gov.uk | 关于美联储的更多信息,请访问www.fed.gov.uk。 |
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