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90% 的财富产生于 50 岁之后!巴菲特谢幕背后:为什么说

字幕摘录

时间英文中文
0:00Haven't you achieved pretty much everything that you wanted out of life?你没有实现你想要的一切吗?
0:05Well, the truth is, yes, but I'm looking forward to the tomorrow too.事实是 是的 但我也期待着明天
0:12Any regrets?有遗憾吗?
0:13Well, if you look back, you can always say, I should have done this, but I'd be nuts if好吧,如果你回头看,你可以总是说, 我应该这样做, 但我会疯了,如果
0:23I look back on my life and said, you haven't been the luckiest guy imaginable.我回顾我的生活,说,你不是 最幸运的人可以想象。
0:29And I will say this, aside from sickness and death, everything I thought was bad at the我会说,除了疾病和死亡之外, 所有我原以为是坏的
0:36time has turned out well.时间已经好起来。
0:51Warren Buffett, one of the greatest investors of all time and a much admired businessman沃伦·巴菲特 有史以来最伟大的投资者之一 也是一位非常受人钦佩的商人
0:56and philanthropist, announced last week that he was stepping down as chairman of the board上星期他宣布辞去董事长职务
1:01of Berkshire Hathaway to become chairman of the board emeritus.伯克郡的哈萨韦成为董事长
展开字幕全文(1165 条)
序号英文中文
1Haven't you achieved pretty much everything that you wanted out of life?你没有实现你想要的一切吗?
2Well, the truth is, yes, but I'm looking forward to the tomorrow too.事实是 是的 但我也期待着明天
3Any regrets?有遗憾吗?
4Well, if you look back, you can always say, I should have done this, but I'd be nuts if好吧,如果你回头看,你可以总是说, 我应该这样做, 但我会疯了,如果
5I look back on my life and said, you haven't been the luckiest guy imaginable.我回顾我的生活,说,你不是 最幸运的人可以想象。
6And I will say this, aside from sickness and death, everything I thought was bad at the我会说,除了疾病和死亡之外, 所有我原以为是坏的
7time has turned out well.时间已经好起来。
8Warren Buffett, one of the greatest investors of all time and a much admired businessman沃伦·巴菲特 有史以来最伟大的投资者之一 也是一位非常受人钦佩的商人
9and philanthropist, announced last week that he was stepping down as chairman of the board上星期他宣布辞去董事长职务
10of Berkshire Hathaway to become chairman of the board emeritus.伯克郡的哈萨韦成为董事长
11His son, Howard Buffett, will succeed him as chairman of the board.他的儿子霍华德·巴菲特将接替他担任董事长.
12Buffett announced early in the year that Greg Abel would become CEO.巴菲特在年初宣布格雷格·阿贝尔将成为CEO.
13In his farewell letter, Buffett said with his gift of common sense, father time always巴菲特在告别信里 以他常识的天赋
14wins.赢了。
15But he noted at 96 years old and his usual insight, he has been very good to me.但他在96岁时注意到 他的常识对我很好
16It is very true.这是非常正确的。
17Buffett's financial achievements at Berkshire Hathaway has made him one of the richest people巴菲特在伯克郡的财政成就 使他成为最富有的人之一
18in the world, but perhaps more than most admired for his courage, philosophy, wisdom他的勇气、哲理、智慧
19and humor, especially his humor.还有幽默 尤其是他的幽默
20He has done it all living rather simply in his hometown of Omaha, Nebraska.他所做的一切 都只是生活在家乡 内布拉斯加州的奥马哈
21His fame has been global.他的名声是全球性的。
22And each year, tens of thousands come from around the world to hear what has become known每年,有成千上万人来自世界各地, 听到已知的情况
23as the oracle of Omaha at the capitalist Woodstock.作为奥马哈在资本主义伍德斯托克的神谕.
24They come for the celebration, but also for the chance they will hear something that will他们来参加庆典,但也有机会听到一些会
25make them, yes, better investors, but also perhaps wiser at life.让他们,是的,更好的投资者, 但也许更明智的生活。
26Who doesn't want to be richer and a better person?谁不想成为更富有更优秀的人呢?
27It is not about recommending a stock, but about suggesting a way of doing things.问题不在于推荐股票,而在于建议一种做事的方法。
28Warren Buffett is too honest, both with himself and his audience, not to acknowledge some沃伦·巴菲特太诚实了 对自己和他的观众来说 都不承认
29failures of a mission and failures of choice.任务失败和选择失败
30But there is one fact that stands out.但有一个事实很突出。
31He is one of a kind and there is no one on the horizon, no one that is considered the他是那种人,在地平线上没有任何人,也没有人被认为是
32next to Warren Buffett.旁边是沃伦·巴菲特
33There may be a few with better investment records, but none that combine all his qualities也许有少数有更好的投资记录, 但没有一个结合他的所有品质。
34in one person.在一个人。
35As we look at a world full of conflict and risk from technology, biology, nuclear and当我们看到一个充满冲突和来自技术、生物、核和
36climate, it is a moment to ask what are the essential qualities we need for the future?现在该问一下,我们对未来需要哪些基本素质?
37We will talk of all the attributes necessary for the future challenges and how we convince我们将讨论未来挑战所需的所有属性,以及如何说服
38ourselves to demand the best.我们自己要求最好的。
39I've had the very good fortune to know Warren Buffett well and to talk to him often on camera我有幸和沃伦·巴菲特很熟 经常用摄像机和他交谈
40and many, many times simply on the phone.很多,很多次 只是电话。
41Here is one of those conversations on camera.这是其中之一 在镜头。
42It's great to see you.很高兴见到你。
43Surely it's great to see you.很高兴见到你
44I've been in Omaha and I think I've made, prior to the last week, I've probably made我去过奥马哈,我想我做了, 在上周之前,我可能已经做了
45two plane flights in two years, you know, I've been wanting to see my sister.两年后有两次飞机飞行 我一直想见我妹妹
46I mean, just at free at last.我的意思是,只是在自由 终于。
47You're 91?你是91岁?
48I'm 91.我91岁了
49Good health?身体健康吗?
50I couldn't be in better health.我身体没有好过
51It's a little discouraging to me that my partner in business life, everything else, Charlie这让我有点沮丧 我的生意伙伴,其他一切,查理
52Munger is 98.芒格尔98岁.
53And still going strong?还在变强?
54I'm still the kid.我还是那个孩子
55You have a successor in place?你有继任者吗?
56We have a successor in place, but he's not warming up.我们有一个继任者, 但他没有热身。
57You're not ready to go.你还没准备好去
58I'm still on overtime, but I'm out there.我还在加班,但我在外面
59You still tap dance to work?你还在跳踢踏舞吗?
60I tap dance to work, Charlie, and I've never been, I've always been happy in the work,我跳踢踏舞去工作,查理, 我从来没有, 我一直快乐在工作,
61but I've never been happier.但我从未快乐过
62I've got the most interesting, to me, job in the world.对我来说,我得到了世界上最有趣的工作
63I've got people you wouldn't believe to support me, it only takes about four or five, it takes我有你不会相信的人支持我 只要四、五,就够了
64a village, to a degree, but I've got three people sitting right down within 20 feet,一个村庄,有程度,但我有三个人 坐在20英尺之内,
6530 feet.三十尺长.
66You know, my assistant, Deb Blosonic, the fellow that handles all the trades I tell你知道,我的助手,Deb Blosonic, 处理所有交易的家伙,我告诉
67him to do in the morning, and money and billions flow in and out, and he takes care of it all.他早上做, 和钱和亿 流进出, 他照顾这一切。
68Mark Mallard, and I've got a chief financial officer, Mark Hamburg, who knows more than马克・马拉德,我有一个首席财务官 马克・汉堡, 他知道更多
69most of the finance offices and legal offices and everything else in the world.大部分财务办公室和法律办公室 以及世界上其他一切
70And we've all worked together for dozens of years, and we like each other, and everybody我们一起工作了几十年 我们彼此喜欢 每个人
71helps me.帮我
72Choosing who you work with.选择你和谁合作
73It's everything.谓一切法.
74I mean, no, I'd write a little bit about the annual report, but the choosing what you do我的意思是,不,我会写一点点 关于年度报告, 但选择你做什么
75and who you do it with, you're going to, you know, if you're like me, you're going to spend和谁你这样做, 你会,你知道, 如果你像我,你会花费
7670 years or something.七十年还是什么的。
77My assistant hasn't worked the whole time with me, but she'll, she went to work for我的助手一直没跟我合作 但她会去上班
78Berkshire when she was 17.伯克郡17岁时
79And she still looks 17, and now, you know, she'll be with us 50 years, I presume.她看起来还是17岁,现在,你知道, 她会和我们在一起50年,我想。
80And they know me forward and backwards, and they accept my eccentricities, they help me.他们了解我 接受我的古怪 他们帮助我
81What would they be?他们会是什么?
82But I would say this, if you take Mark Mallard, I walk in in the morning, or I call him first,但我会说,如果你带马克・马拉德, 我早上走进来, 或者我先打电话给他,
83and I tell him exactly, I've already done it for the day, I tell him exactly what I我告诉他,我已经做了一天, 我告诉他我到底做了什么
84want to do, and he does it all day.他整天都这样
85And some days, a good many days, he moves billions of dollars for purchases and sales.有些日子,很多日子, 他移动了数十亿美元 用于购买和销售。
86He takes care of all the whole thing.他负责整件事
87When do you make those decisions?你什么时候决定的?
88I think all the time.我总想着
89I'm on the clock at Berkshire all the time.我常在伯克郡守时
90Walk me through a typical day.陪我度过一个典型的日子
91Well, a typical day is I get to work at, well, I get up usually嗯,一个典型的一天是 我得到工作,嗯,我起床通常
92at a few minutes before seven, so I can catch, it's the seven o'clock news and network news在7点前几分钟,我可以赶上, 这是7点的新闻和网络新闻
93in Omaha, and so I get up a few minutes before that, and sometimes I turn on the network在奥马哈,所以我起床 几分钟之前, 有时我打开网络
94news, I always turn on CNBC, and I look at what prices are doing and what's happened新闻,我总是打开CNBC, 我看看价格在做什么,发生了什么
95in Europe and what's happened in Japan, and I then about, you know, the market opens在欧洲和日本发生的一切, 然后我,你知道,市场打开了
96at our time, 8.30, although we're doing maybe things in Japan or Germany too, but, and I虽然我们是在日本或德国做一些事情 但是,我
97call Mark at eight for the market opening at 8.30, and I tell him exactly what to do8点打给马克,8点半开市 我告诉他该怎么做
98for the day, and I probably won't change it during the day.我可能不会在白天改变
99And it's usually a percentage of something I will say buy or sell, X percent of the trading这通常占我所说的买卖的百分比 交易的百分之十
100volume, and I'll give him a list of things.我会给他一份清单
101If there's a limit of price, I'd give him the price, and then he does it all day.如果有限价的话,我会给他价钱,然后他整天都这样做.
102And I don't need to check with him, and he sometimes does billions of dollars worth of我不需要跟他查 他有时做价值数十亿的
103business.业务。
104He buys the Treasury bills, which we, the last couple of years, we probably bought five他买国库券, 我们,在过去的几年, 我们可能买了5
105billion every Monday, and I would guess that we might be the biggest buyer, just week after每个星期一有十亿, 我猜我们可能是最大的买家, 就在一周后
106week after week after week.一周又一周,一周又一周。
107You made your first investment when you were 11 years old?你11岁时第一次投资?
108In 1942, 80 years ago, I took $114.75 every penny I'd said, and I bought three shares1942年,80年前,我每分钱拿了114.75美元 我买了三股
109of City Service Preferred, and City Service is a pretty well-known name now, in fact, in 1920,城市服务首选, 和城市服务是一个相当知名的名字 现在,事实上在1920年,
110City Service, I think, was the fourth largest company in the United States in terms of number我认为市服务公司是美国第四大公司
111shareholders.股东。
112It was a big company, and so it had a preferred stock that was selling at 38, then it started是一个大公司,所以它有一个首选股票 在38,然后它开始
113skipping the dividends during the Depression, so it accumulated dividends on it of 60 or 70 bucks,在萧条时期跳过股利, 所以它积累了60或70美元的股利,
114and of course, it was par value of $100, too, and it was selling at 38.当然,它的价值100美元, 它的销售额38。
115And at breakfast one morning, I followed little stocks every day, but then I made my早餐的时候,我每天跟随小股票, 但后来我做了我的
116pledge, and I had roughly this amount of money, so I bought three, I don't remember this我买了三个,我不记得了
117precisely, but I think I told my dad in the morning, now, let's move, Dad, Pop, I call it,没错,不过我想我早上告诉我爸了, 现在,我们走吧,爸爸,爸爸,我叫它,
118but let's move, Pop.但是我们走吧,爸爸。
119But you felt the thrill of it then?但你觉得很兴奋吗?
120Oh, I've been reading about it and following it the whole morning.哦,我一直在读 关于它和跟踪它整个上午。
121I really had read every book in the Yuma Public Library that was on the stock market.我读过所有在股市上的图书
122By 11?11岁?
123By 11, I'll guarantee you.到11点,我保证
124And some of them twice.还有一些是两次。
125I started out reading the ones in my dad's office, and I just loved to read.我开始看我爸办公室的书 我很喜欢看
126I read other things, too, but I knew more when I was 11 than I know now in terms of我也读过其他的东西, 但我知道更多 当我11岁,比我现在知道
127actual mechanics of the stock.库存的实际力学。
128I mean, I don't know what happens when I put an order in.我不知道我下订单时会怎样
129I mean, it gets in the machinery of the way orders are executed now.我的意思是,它进入机器 如何执行命令现在。
130I would know if I sat and worked in a trading room for a day or two, but I don't really我会知道,如果我坐和工作 在交易室 一两天,但我不是真的
131know the mechanics as well of what happens when an order is processed today as I did也知道我今天处理订单时的机理
132when I was 11.我11岁的时候
133What is it you enjoyed the most about it?你最喜欢什么?
134Because you don't pick stocks, you pick companies.因为你不选股票 你选公司
135Yeah, that's it.是的,就是这样。
136But when I was 11, I picked stocks.但当我11岁的时候 我选了股票
137I had the whole wrong idea.我有一个完全错误的想法。
138I was interested in watching stocks, and I thought stocks were things that went up and我对看股票感兴趣 我以为股票会上升
139down, and I charted them.下来,我绘制了它们。
140I read books on technical analysis.我读过关于技术分析的书
141I read Edwards and McGee.我读过爱德华兹和麦基
142I think that was the classic then.我认为那是当时的经典。
143I mean, hundreds and hundreds and hundreds of pages.我的意思是,几百和几百页。
144And I read that whole thing over and over again.我一遍又一遍地读了一遍
145And I read Garfield, Rua, and others.我读过加菲尔德,鲁阿等人
146I read everything, and I thought the first eight years, I thought the important thing我读了所有的东西, 我想头八年,我认为重要的事情
147was to predict what a stock would do and predict the stock market.预测股票会做什么 预测股票市场
148And then I read Ben Graham when I was 19 or 20, and I realized that I was doing it exactly然后我读了本·格雷厄姆 当我19岁或20岁时, 我意识到我正在这样做
149the wrong way, but it didn't hurt that I had that background and everything.错误的方式,但这并不伤害 我拥有的背景和一切。
150And I rejiggered my mind when I read the book, The Intelligent Investor.我读到《智慧投资者》时,重新思考了自己的想法。
151And from that point, I never bought another stock.从那时起,我再也没有买过股票
152I bought businesses that happened to be publicly traded, but I became an owner of a business.我买的生意碰巧是公开交易 但我成了一家企业的主人
153And I did not care whether a stock went up or down the next day or the next week or the我不管股票是上还是下 第二天还是下周
154next month or the next year, and I didn't have any idea what it would do.下个月或下一年, 我不知道它会做什么。
155I didn't know what the stock market would do, but I knew businesses.我不知道股票市场会做什么 但我知道生意
156I knew something.我知道一些东西。
157I've asked people about your genius, whatever we describe it.我问过别人关于你的天才, 不管我们怎么形容
158No, I mean, I'm a bright guy who's terribly interested in what he does.不,我的意思是,我是一个聪明的家伙 谁非常感兴趣 他做什么。
159So I've spent a lifetime doing it.所以我花了一辈子时间才这么做
160I've surrounded myself with people that bring out the best in me.我已经包围自己的人 带来了我最好的。
161And you don't need to be a genius in what I do.你不需要做我的天才
162That's the good thing about it.善哉此义.
163If I went into physics, a whole lot of other subjects, I'd be an also brand.如果我进入物理, 很多其他科目, 我也会成为一个品牌。
164But I am in a game that you don't need.但我在一场你不需要的游戏中
165You probably need 120 points of IQ.你可能需要120点的智商。
166But 170 doesn't do any better than 120.但170没有比120更好的。
167It may do worse, probably do worse, but you don't really need brains.可能更糟糕 可能更糟糕 但你不需要脑子
168What do you need?你还需要什么?
169You need the right orientation.你需要正确的方向。
170You know, 90% of the people, I'm pulling the figure out of the air,你知道,90%的人, 我拉出数字的空气,
171but 90% of the people that buy stocks don't think of them the right way.但90%的买股票的人 并不认为他们是正确的方式。
172They think about something they hope goes up next week.他们想着一些他们希望下周上台的东西。
173And they think about the market as something they hope goes up.他们把市场看作是他们希望的上升。
174And if it's down, they feel worse.如果它下来,他们觉得更糟。
175I feel better.我感觉好多了。
176And you think about?你觉得呢?
177What?你说什么?
178And what do you think?你觉得呢?
179I think about what the company's going to be worth 10 or 20 years from now.我想到公司10年或20年后的价值
180And I hope it goes down when I buy it because I'll buy more.我希望我买它的时候会下降 因为我会买更多。
181Do you have a competitive spirit?你有竞争精神吗?
182Clearly.显然
183Well, but you got to be careful about what you compete in.但你得小心你竞争什么
184You know, it's a good thing I don't have a competitive spirit in chess or,你知道,这是好事 我没有竞争精神 在围棋或,
185you know, or football or anything like that.足球之类的
186No, no, I just, I'm an observer there.不,不,我只是,我是一个观察者在那里。
187I enjoy watching things like that.我喜欢看这样的东西。
188But I try to keep my competitive spirit in a game where I can win.但我想保持我的竞争精神 在游戏中,我可以赢得。
189Do you have a killer instinct?你有杀人本能吗?
190Nah, not exactly.不,没有。
191I've got and I wouldn't call it a killer instinct, but I do.我有,我也不会称之为杀人本能 但我有
192I do know this.我知道这一点。
193When I want to do something, I always want to do it big.想做点什么的时候,总想做大.
194I put my whole net worth in city service preferred, you know, 120 dollars,我把我的整个净值 在城市服务, 你知道,120美元,
195114 dollars and 75 cents.114美元和75美分 钱
196I put my whole net worth in and I've never since I was well, since that day.我把我的整个净值 并且我从来没有 自从我很好,从那天起。
197You know, March 11th, 1942.你知道,1942年3月11日。
198I have never had less than 80 percent of my money in American business.我在美国的生意上从未有过不到80%的钱
199You can call them stocks.你可以叫他们股票。
200Or equities.或股票.
201But I see them as American business.但我认为他们是美国生意
202I've owned a piece of American business for at least 80 percent at all times.我拥有的美国生意至少 80%的时间。
203I don't want to own anything else.我不想拥有其他东西。
204I want to own a home and, you know, things my family wants and all that.我想有一个家,你知道的, 事情我的家人想要的,这一切。
205But owning five homes doesn't mean anything to me because I'm going to be happy in one但拥有五间房子对我毫无意义 因为我会幸福的
206home and there's a certain amount of things that go wrong with everything.家里和有一定数量的东西 出了问题的一切。
207And if I got two homes, I know I've got more problems and I don't have more happiness.如果我有两个家, 我知道我有更多的问题, 我没有更多的幸福。
208What brings you the happiness?什么风把你吹来了?
209I would have to be honestly say that what makes me happiest is what I'm doing.我不得不诚实地说 让我快乐的是我在做什么
210I enjoy two things about it.我很喜欢两件事
211One, I know I'll win over time.一,我知道我会赢得一段时间。
212That doesn't mean I'll beat everybody else or anything like that.那不代表我会打败其他人之类的
213But I mean, the game is very, very, very easy if you have the right但是,我的意思是,游戏 非常,非常,非常容易 如果你有权利
214lessons in your mind about what you're buying.在你的脑海中学习 你买的东西。
215I'm not buying stocks.我不买股票。
216I'm buying pieces of overwhelmingly American business.我买的是美国生意
217And I'm happy when that's happy and when that's what I'm doing it.我很高兴,当我高兴的时候, 当我这样做的时候。
218I'm happy when stocks are going down.我很高兴股票要倒闭了
219I'm happier when stocks are going down because I can buy more of them with the same amount of money.我更高兴的是,股票要倒闭了 因为我可以用同样的钱买更多的股票
220I'd be happy if I was a farmer.如果我是个农民,我会很高兴。
221I'd want farmland to go down so I could buy more acreage.我想让农田倒塌 这样我就可以买更多的亩地了
222It just makes sense.这很合理
223And I'll tell you the second thing I really like.我会告诉你第二件事 我真的喜欢。
224I like being trusted by people.我喜欢被人们信任
225I would rather do what I do with partners我宁愿做我对合伙人做的事
226than do it sitting in a room myself, even though I might make more money that way.而不是自己坐在房间里 尽管我可能这样赚更多的钱
227You like the idea that people are trusting you with their savings.你喜欢人们信任你的储蓄
228Yeah, they just say, look, I've saved money.是啊,他们说,你看,我已经省了钱。
229I don't know what to do with it.无量劫.
230And I trust you.我信任你,我还信任你
231And they give it to me and they don't.他们把它给我,他们没有。
232Most of them give it to me.他们大多是给我的
233I mean, certainly in the original days, but even now to an unusual degree,我的意思是,肯定 在最初的日子, 但即使现在 不寻常的程度,
234give it to me with the idea that it's for the lifetime.把它给我 的想法,这是一辈子。
235And then most of them, I mean, they've done this a long time ago.然后,大部分,我的意思是, 他们早就这样做了。
236Most of them give it away when they get through.多数人通过时会送人.
237They never quit saving.他们从不放弃储蓄。
238And of course, I'm sort of their savings machine.当然,我是他们的储蓄机器。
239They save it and give it to you.他们保存它并把它给你。
240Yeah.对
241And then they say, keep it and just keep building it.然后他们说,留着它,继续建造它。
242And they don't do it with the idea they're going to retire when they're 65他们不会用65岁退休的想法来做
243and then build great castles or anything like that.然后建造大城堡之类的
244They just are basically, a few do.他们基本上只是, 少数做。
245I mean, a few spend some money later on.我的意思是,几个花一些钱以后。
246But overwhelmingly, if they've been saving但绝大多数情况下,如果他们一直在拯救
247when they were 25 and saved a little money and gave it to me,当他们25岁, 并节省了一点钱给我,
248they're still saving.他们还在救人
249There were 11 doctors that we met at Hilltop House.我们在山顶楼认识了11名医生
250There was one friend of mine named Bill Angle.我有一个朋友叫比尔·昂格尔
251And he was trying to get these other doctors to join with me.他想让其他医生加入我
252So I don't know what it was in 1958 or nine.所以,我不知道是什么 在1958或9。
253I invited 12 doctors to this dinner at Hilltop House.我邀请了12名医生 来山顶大厦吃晚餐
254And he had me come.他让我来的
255And he basically said, this is my friend Warren.他基本上说 这是我的朋友沃伦
256And if you got any brains, you'll give him some money.如果你有脑子,你会给他一些钱。
257And so we spent the evening.我们一起过夜
258And these guys were all probably in their low 30s.这些人大概都30多岁了
259And 11 of the 12 put in $10,000 each.12个人中的11个人每人1万美元
260The 12 said to Bill, he said, well, what happens if we lose our money?十二人对比尔说 如果我们输了钱怎么办?
261And my friend Bill never forget it.我的朋友比尔永远不会忘记的
262He said, well, dummy.他说,嗯,傻瓜。
263He says, we'll form another partnership.他说,我们会组成另一个伙伴关系。
264That was the guy that didn't invest.那是那个没投资的人
265He got reminded of this by the other 11 for the rest of his life.他的余生被其他11人提醒了这一点.
266And most people stuck with me.大多数人都跟着我
267And one of them died in the last year.而其中一人于去年去世.
268It's a friend of mine, Delia, in 101.这是我101年的朋友迪莉娅
269And his name was Stan Tules.他叫斯坦·图勒斯
270And he came from a little town, about 300 people near Omaha.他来自一个小镇,约300人在奥马哈附近.
271And he'd be an ophthalmologist and a super wonderful guy in every way.他将成为眼科医生 和超棒的人
272I mean, he helped all those fellow doctors.我是说 他帮了那些医生
273And you couldn't find a guy like Stan.你找不到像斯坦这样的人
274But two of the other 11, two of them are still alive.但另外11人中还有2人还活着.
275And the money and the amount of money, I mean, they haven't built.钱和钱的数量,我的意思是,他们还没有建造。
276They could have done anything.他们可以做任何事情。
277I mean, they could have lived bigger than anybody in Nebraska.我的意思是,他们可以 生活比任何人在内布拉斯加州。
278But they went with the lives they liked.但是,他们去的生活 他们喜欢。
279And and so have you.你也一样
280Yeah.对
281So have you.你也一样。
282You live in the same house.你住在同一间房子里。
283You've lived in.你住过
284I've lived in the same house in 1958, 63 or 64 years.1958年住过同房,时年63岁或64岁.
285Quarter of the life of the country.国命四分.
286I've lived a quarter of the life of the country in one house.我住过四分之一 国家生活在一个房子。
287And I like being five minutes from the office, too.我也喜欢离办公室五分钟
288I mean, just think if I had a 35 minute commute.我的意思是,想想 如果我有一个35分钟的通勤。
289I've gone to the same office now since January of 62.从62年1月起我就去同一个办公室了
290So it's it's been it's it's been 60, 60 years.故曰:此经六,六十年矣.
291And let's say I say 30 minutes every day and commute now each way.假设我每天说30分钟 现在每条路都通勤
292Let me turn to the stockholders letter that you wrote for 2021.让我来谈谈你为2021年写的股东信。
293Well, that letter was I started that letter in my head.那封信是我从头开始的
294I've already started next year's letter in my head.我已经开始写明年的信了
295But I started that letter in my head.但我从头开始写那封信
296Because you can begin to see what I know I'm going to write about.因为你可以开始看到 我知道我要写什么。
297And then I just have to.然后我就不得不这么做
298It keeps forming.它不断形成。
299But that isn't a newsletter that comes out, you know, and it's it's但这不是一份通讯 出来,你知道,这是
300it's what I want to talk to my.我想跟我谈谈
301Well, I was forged originally in terms of my sisters who had probably all their money and嗯,我最初的造型 我的姐妹们 他们可能拥有 他们所有的金钱和
302and in Berkshire, they trusted me 60 years ago and they just put it all in.在伯克郡 他们60年前信任我 他们把所有东西都放进去了
303And they're very smart.他们非常聪明
304My older sister Doris died here recently, but both of them very, very我姐姐多丽丝最近死在这里 但两人非常非常非常
305smart and interested in financial matters.聪明且对财务感兴趣
306But they're not a nut like me.但他们不像我
307And so they got other interests, too.他们也有其他兴趣
308And basically, they've had to be all their money and they don't want to hear day to day.基本上,他们不得不是所有的钱 他们不想每天听到。
309So you tell them what's happened in the last year.所以你告诉他们去年发生了什么
310Once a year, it's like I sit down with them and tell them,一年一次,就像我坐下来告诉他们,
311you know, here's what might be interesting to you.你知道,这是你可能感兴趣的。
312And that's I'm doing that all year in my mind.我一年到头都在想这个
313And I'm doing it.则我所行.
314I've done it.我已经做到了。
315You know, I know what I'm going to talk about next year unless你知道,我知道我要说什么 明年,除非
316something changes in a dramatic way.东西在戏剧性的变化。
317Can you tell me what that is?你能告诉我那是什么吗?
318No, but I can tell you this.不,但我可以告诉你这一点。
319Last night, you know, I went to Music Man and among the people who went with me was my昨晚,你知道,我去了音乐人 与我同行的人中,是我的
320friend Carol Loomis.朋友卡罗尔卢米斯。
321Carol was 92.卡罗尔92岁
322She's a great journalist and a good writer.她是一个伟大的记者和优秀的作家.
323She starts editing.她开始编辑。
324I sent her the report, which I think is perfect.我给她寄了报告 我觉得很好
325I sent her the report in usually December and she keeps sending back and she kind of我通常在12月给她发了报告 她一直寄回去 她有点
326won't let me send it out without checking to make sure I left it on a comma some place.不检查就让我寄出去 以确保我把它留在某个逗号上
327So right up to the end.所以直到最后为止。
328But so the report, although it's dated, that report basically was written.但是,报告虽然已经过时,但基本上是写出来的。
329Well, it was written in my head for a long time, but it was it was what I thought was我脑子里写了很久了,但是我想的就是
330finished probably in December.大概在12月结束
331And then Carol tells me there's a lot of work to do.然后卡罗尔告诉我有很多工作要做。
332No big investment in 2021 because you didn't see anything that met your requirement.2021年没有大投资,因为你没有看到任何符合你要求的东西.
333是啊,我写了报告 人们可以去Berkshire Outway.com 他们可以看到
334exactly what I think and have thought for 40 some years of each report.确切地说,我的想法 和40年来的每份报告。
335But for you to make a big investment, what do you need to know?但是要你做大投资,你需要知道什么?
336I need to know that I think the Berkshire Outway is going to be worth more money我需要知道,我认为 伯克郡的出路 是要去值更多的钱
337someday down the road, not tomorrow.有朝一日在路上,不是明天
338I wanted to go down if I'm buying something.我想下去,如果我买东西。
339And I would say this.我会说这个。
340The world has changed a lot since that report was written,自那份报告发表以来,世界发生了很大变化,
341but the world changed a lot in 2000, two years ago.但两年前2000年世界发生了很大变化
342Just think about it.考虑一下
343Because of the pandemic.因为大流行。
344The pandemic.流行病。
345It's almost exactly two years later.差不多是两年之后
346An event happened in two years ago and we didn't know exactly what it was.两年前发生了一起事件,我们不知道究竟是什么。
347We didn't know what the financial result would be.我们不知道财务结果会怎样
348We didn't know what the financial result was.我们不知道财务结果是什么
349You know, I mean, we just didn't know.你知道,我的意思是,我们只是不知道。
350But when I wrote my report in February, I didn't know the pandemic was going to hit.但当我在2月份写报告时,我并不知道这个流行病会来袭.
351A week later, and I didn't know that the American financial system was on the brink of, you know,一周后 我不知道美国金融系统即将来临
352chaos a few weeks later.几周后混乱不堪
353And if somebody wants to read a great book that just came out,如果有人想读一本刚刚出版的书
354it's a sensational book called Trillion Dollar Triage that tells on a day by day basis这是一本轰动人心的书,名为《三亿三千元》 每天都在讲述
355what was going on in March that were, in my opinion, Jay Powell.我认为,3月份发生的事是Jay Powell。
356He matched Paul Volcker in terms of doing things that needed to be done that day.他与保罗·沃尔克(Paul Volcker)在当天需要做的事情上相匹配.
357And it's a great day by day report.且日报甚妙.
358The book just came out a couple days ago.书几天前刚出来
359We expect the Fed will raise the rates.我们期望美联储会提高利率.
360Does it remind you of 1970s?它让你想起1970年代?
361Everything that happens in the investment world reminds me of something or other.投资世界发生的每件事都让我想起了什么
362I mean, every day, if it's a boring day, it reminds me of something.我的意思是,每天,如果这是一个无聊的一天, 它让我想起一些东西。
363I mean, but I don't think that way.我是说 但我不这么认为
364All I'm trying to do is buy businesses.我只是想买些生意
365Let's pretend there is no stock market.我们假装没有股票市场
366Let's say I had to buy these privately like you buy a farm,我不得不私下买这些 就像你买农场一样
367privately like you buy a department house.私自买房子
368They're investments.他们是投资。
369So you're looking to say, what can I do with money I've saved to put it away所以,你想说,我能做什么 我存的钱,把它收起来
370so I feel good about getting it back later under any circumstances,所以我觉得好 以后把它拿回来 在任何情况下,
371but not necessarily on a given moment.但不一定在某一时刻。
372But if I have a farm, it's going to take me a while.但如果我有个农场,那得花点时间
373People would be so much better if they actually didn't have a stock market人们如果真的没有股票市场 会好得多
374in terms of buying businesses.在购买企业方面。
375But, you know, you made two huge investments recently.但是,你知道,你最近做了两个巨大的投资。
376One is Activision.一是动视.
377No, we have two fellows in the office that each they manage a total about不,我们办公室有两名研究员 他们每人管理总共大约
37830 billion dollars between them, Ted Weisler and Todd Holmes.他们之间有300亿美元,泰德·魏斯勒和托德·福尔摩斯.
379Two people you chose.你选的两个人
380They've been with us for about 10 years each.他们都和我们在一起十年了
381They have total authority over the money they invest.他们完全有权支配他们投资的资金。
382They're just as independent in buying things as I am.他们和我一样独立地买东西
383I mean, if they decide they decide to buy something in a country我是说,如果他们决定在一个国家买东西
384I've never heard of in the stock market, they don't they don't ask me.我从未听说过股票市场, 他们不问我。
385But are you saying that maybe they were decided to?但是,你是说,也许他们 决定?
386Well, I've actually said I've actually said that one of those好吧,我其实说过,我确实说过其中之一
387I'm sort of very clear.我有点明白
388And there's a letter on the on the website that describes exactly网站上有一封信 准确描述了
389the circumstances because they got misreported in the press originally.因为他们在媒体上被错误报道了
390And so I have written a letter there because actually a number of other所以我在那里写了一封信 因为实际上还有其他一些
391first class news organizations picked up a story without checking whether it was true.头等新闻组织不检查是否属实就拿起一个故事.
392I mean, they ran with it without independently reporting it.我的意思是,他们用它运行 没有独立报告。
393So they're one.所以他们是一体的
394I'm not going to name names, but there's some names in my letter.我不会给名字起名,但信里有些名字.
395But they they just ran it wrong, a wrong story, which had implications and so on.但他们只是运行错误, 一个错误的故事, 它有影响等等。
396So the letter is up there.所以信就在那边
397It's going to stay posted forever because it's the correct record.它会永远保持张贴,因为它是正确的记录.
398And what happened precisely is that one of the other fellows确切的说,是另一个人
399decided to buy Activision, didn't ask me, and it's fine.决定买Activision,没有问我,而且没关系。
400I mean, but he bought it.我的意思是,但他买的。
401He bought about I think I used a figure of 85 percent.他买的,我想我用了85%的数字。
402I think when we double checked it, it was 76 or 7 percent.我想当我们两次检查的时候 是76%还是7%
403But we'll list every day that he bought it and the price he bought it.但我们会每天列出他买的价钱
404And the price was reported as wrong by the press.而该价格被媒体报道为错误.
405And then it was picked up by a whole bunch of other organizations and printed as wrong.后来被一大批其他组织拾得,印刷成错误.
406And so millions of people read an incorrect story.数百万人读错了故事。
407And so we put up the correct facts and we will we will we'll have at the annual meeting.因此,我们提出正确的事实,我们将在年度会议上提出。
408I think I'll have a slide if anybody asked me for it.如果有人问我的话,我想我会有一个幻灯片。
409I'm sure every day's purchase is the exact price.我敢肯定,每天的购买是确切的价格。
410And that was done by one of the fellows in the office now.办公室的一位研究员做了这个
411And that was, like I say, 77 percent was in October and the rest was in early November.正如我所说,77%是在10月,其余的是在11月初。
412And he paid this.他付了这个
413He paid about seventy seven dollars a share and you can buy it today.他付了大约77美元一股,你今天可以买下它。
414And Microsoft announced it.而微软也宣布了.
415The first story said weeks later, which makes it sound like two or three or four weeks later.第一个故事说几周后,这听起来就像两三四个星期后。
416It was probably 12 weeks later.可能是12个星期后
417You said months later.你说几个月后。
418So the investment was months before Microsoft decided to acquire Activision.因此该投资是在微软决定收购Activision之前的几个月.
419The other guy liked it as a stock and as a business.另一个家伙喜欢它作为股票和生意。
420And so he was buying it and所以他买了它,
421and he paid an average of, like I said, seventy seven dollars a share.他平均付了77美元一股
422And and we will have a list of every day at every price.而且我们将有一份每天的列表 以每一个价格。
423And then I guess it was well, the there was a big expose type story run.然后我想这是很好的, 有一个大的曝光类型的故事运行。
424And but he wasn't buying during any of that period.但他在这段时间里都不买东西
425And then the preliminary proxy came out.后来初步代理出炉.
426由Activision决定 已经提交证监会
427describing the history of the deal as to when Microsoft came to them.描述交易的历史,说明微软何时来到他们身边。
428And it was it was sometime in a couple months later that Microsoft first approached几个月后,微软公司第一次接近
429Bobby Kodak and then four other people.鲍比·柯达和另外四个人
430You can read it also filed with the SEC.也可以向证监会备案.
431And then after it was announced, the stock, you could buy the stock at seventy eight dollars a share.然后在宣布之后,股票, 你可以以每股78美元收购股票。
432So the implication, the first story was that it was somehow that somebody made a great deal by所以第一个故事的暗示是 不知何故有人做了很多
433getting tipped off or something.得到消息还是什么的。
434Simply one dollar a share after it was announced,仅仅一美元一股 宣布后,
435higher than one of the other fellows paid for about 15, close to 15 million shares.高于其他研究员之一支付约15笔,接近1 500万股。
436He still got it.他还在做
437How about Occidental?奥西迪安怎么样?
438Well, Occidental, a week ago.一周前的西雅图
439Well, you know, a couple of years ago, we financed Occidental.嗯,你知道,几年前, 我们资助了Occidental。
440And had some warrants coming out of it.并得到了一些授权书出来。
441Vicki Hollow, who I never met before.维琪·霍洛 我从未见过他
442And I got a call on a Friday and Bank of America saying that that Occidental is我星期五接到电话 美国银行说
443需要一些钱买Anadarko。
444And I think knowing then they were in competition with Chevron.我想当时他们和Chevron在竞争
445And would I meet with them because they needed a lot of money fast.我和他们见面是因为他们需要很多钱
446And I said, sure.我说,当然
447How about tomorrow?明天怎么样?
448And went back and forth.并前后转.
449Turned out they came up Sunday instead of Friday.原来他们周日来而不是周五
450And we met at 10 o'clock in my office on Sunday.我们星期天10点在我办公室见过面
451And I said, we'll give you 10 billion dollars under these circumstances.我说,在这种情况下我们会给你100亿美元。
452And but we'll do it.但我们会做到这一点。
453We'll do it tomorrow.我们明天再来
454And, you know, that's not Wall Street, but that's Berkshire.而且,你知道,这不是华尔街, 但那是伯克郡。
455And so and they knew I was good for it.所以,他们知道我是好的。
456And so we made a deal.所以我们做了个交易
457Monday night, the next day at night.星期一晚上,次日晚上。
458You know, I told our guys, you work all night for Bathworks, all night for them.你知道,我告诉了我们的人, 你工作一整夜为浴室工作, 一整夜为他们。
459And we get this thing done on Tuesday.我们周二就搞定了
460But is there much negotiation or you simply say this is what I will do?但是,有没有很多谈判 或者你只是说,这就是我要做的?
461This is what I'll do.这就是我要做的。
462I always say that's what I'll do.常说此法.
463I mean, you know, I've said that's what I'll do many times.我的意思是,你知道,我已经说过 我会做很多次。
464And I've always and that is all I'll do.我一直都是,这就是我要做的。
465But this is what you have come to represent.但这就是你来代表的
466I mean, think of the financial crisis and think of Goldman Sachs and think.我的意思是,想想金融危机 想想高盛和思考。
467I said what I do.我说我做什么。
468You said what you do, but it gave them credibility when they needed it.你说你做什么, 但当他们需要的时候,它给了他们信誉。
469That Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway had decided.沃伦·巴菲特和伯克郡·哈瑟韦决定了
470We were we were putting in X billions of dollars.我们当时投入了十亿美金
471And when I questioned, we were putting it in.当我问起的时候,我们正在放进去
472It wasn't an IOU or the we sent them the cash.这不是一个IOU或我们给他们的现金。
473And it was right after Lehman.就在雷曼之后
474And and there was a run on the whole economic system.整个经济系统都运行了
475Everybody was a domino and the dominoes were falling.每个人都是一个多米诺人, 多米诺人正在下降。
476And Goldman Sachs knew they'd be fine if all the dominoes didn't fall.还有高曼 萨克斯知道如果所有的多米诺人不掉下来,他们就会好起来的.
477And they had to worry about the United States Congress because they were mad at他们不得不担心美国国会 因为他们很生气
478really mad at banks.对银行很生气
479This time they weren't mad at banks in this particular crisis.这次他们不是在这场危机中对银行生气
480But they were mad at banks.但他们对银行很生气
481And they really didn't.他们真的没有。
482Some of them didn't fully understand what the hell was going to happen.其中一些人并没有充分理解到底会发生什么.
483And we had that they were mad because this was a financial crisis.我们觉得他们很生气 因为这是一场金融危机
484It was more than a financial crisis cubed.这不仅仅是一场金融危机。
485But it had an origin in financial institutions.但它起源于金融机构。
486A lot of people did a lot of things wrong.很多人做了很多错误的事情。
487But there was plenty of it in Wall Street, plenty of it in Wall Street.但华尔街有很多,华尔街也有不少.
488But there was plenty of it elsewhere, too.但其他地方也有很多
489I want to emphasize that.我要强调这一点。
490But Wall Street made a lot of money out of doing a lot of things但华尔街赚了很多钱 做很多事情
491that contributed to the crisis.这导致了危机。
492Here's my point.这就是我的观点。
493Berkshire and Warren Buffett emerged to a point where伯克郡和沃伦·巴菲特出现的地方
494where your reputation and your credibility.你的名声和信誉
495And our money.还有我们的钱
496The money was important, but it wasn't a determining factor.钱很重要,但不是决定性因素
497They wanted the money.他们想要钱。
498But they also wanted credibility.但他们也想要信誉。
499They had to have instant credibility.他们必须具有即时的可信度。
500And that's what they had.这就是他们拥有的。
501They had to have somebody who counted besides people whose position it was to lie.他们只好找一个除了撒谎的人之外的人
502And how did you build that?你是怎么造出来的?
503Which is an essential part of who you are and Berkshire Hathaway.这是你和伯克希尔·哈瑟韦的重要一环
504Well, I started on March 11th, 1942.我从1942年3月11日开始
505As we talk.我们说话的时候
506And I had a father that was the right father.我有一个父亲 是正确的父亲。
507Yeah, and I was lucky.是啊,我很幸运。
508I think you may have heard this.我想你可能听说过这个
509Lenin once said there are decades when nothing happens列宁曾说过,有几十年没有发生什么
510and then there are weeks when decades happen.然后有几个星期,当几十年发生。
511That's very well put.说得好
512And when you're buying businesses, don't call them stocks.而购买企业时,不要叫股票.
513When you're buying businesses, when you're buying apartment houses,当你买东西的时候 当你买公寓的时候
514sometimes you're buying a lot of land, you know, all kinds of things.有时候你买了很多土地,你知道, 各种各样的东西。
515There are times when you get a chance to act and do something really intelligent.有时候你有机会采取行动 做一些非常聪明的事
516It may happen once every 10 years, once every 20 years.它可能每10年发生一次,每20年发生一次.
517It depends on what field you're in, where you live, what you know, all of that.这取决于你在什么领域, 你住在哪里,你知道的,这一切。
518But most of the important things, there's a lot of foundational work.但是,大多数重要的事情,有许多基础性的工作.
519But the actual big acts in life are when you propose to your spouse.但生活中真正的重大行为是 当你向你的配偶求婚。
520I mean, forget all the other stuff.我的意思是,忘了所有其他的东西。
521I mean, if you if you made the right decision我的意思是,如果你做出正确的决定
522and you get the right answer from he or she, you're 90% of the way home in life.你得到正确的答案 从他或她, 你90%的方式回家的生活。
523But also things happen in the world like the pandemic.但世界也会发生类似这种流行病的事情。
524That's true, too.亦如是说.
525And it can change everything as it did.它能改变一切
526Happened in 1929.1929年发生.
527It happened in 1980.1980年发生.
528I forget when things were in 1970.我忘记1970年的事了
529I mean, when they closed the stock exchange back in 1914我的意思是,当他们关闭 证券交易所回到1914年
530for a long period of time, people don't ever think about that.在很长一段时间里,人们从来没有想过这一点。
5319-11, they closed the stock exchange for a few days.9 -11,他们关闭 证券交易所几天。
532And I mean, there are big events in this world.我的意思是,这世界上有重大的事件。
533We're going through one of them right now.我们现在正经历其中之一。
534Yeah, but I won't get into discussing that particularly.是的,但我不会讨论 特别。
535Allow me this.让我来
536I mean, this is having a huge effect on the world order.这对世界秩序有很大影响
537Yeah, but it doesn't do me any good.是啊,但这对我没有任何好处。
538And it doesn't do the world any good for me to talk about it.我谈论这件事对这个世界没有任何好处。
539So can we talk about the global economy then, you know, in terms of where we are?那么,我们可以谈谈全球经济吗,你知道的, 就我们在哪里?
540I can tell you where we are.我可以告诉你我们在哪里。
541But let me phrase it this way in terms of the global economy.但是,让我用这种措辞来阐述全球经济。
542I mean, you look at the United States.我的意思是,你看美国。
543United States is the United States economy.美国是美国的经济.
544And it's very easy to look at the statistics on it.并且非常容易查看有关它的统计数据.
545I mean, more people, a greater percentage of the American population我的意思是,更多的人, 更高比例的美国人口
546is wealthy now or having more income now than they've ever had.或者现在收入比以前多
547And if you look at whether the Bank of America will give you their average deposit,如果你看看美国银行是否会给你平均存款
548I mean, you just look at the wealth.我的意思是,你只是看 财富。
549And that doesn't mean everybody's wealthy.这并不意味着每个人都有钱
550But it does mean relative to any other period of time.但这确实意味着相对于任何其他时间段。
551And I mean, people have more money now.我的意思是,人们现在有更多的钱。
552They get mortgages at lower rates than they've ever gotten.他们的抵押贷款率比以前低
553So if they want to buy a house or something.所以如果他们想买房子什么的
554But is that going to continue?但还会继续吗?
555I mean, what these rates are raising, as you know, we were in an inflationary period.我的意思是,这些利率正在提高, 你知道,我们处于一个通货膨胀时期。
556I'm not going to predict them straight for you.我不会直接预测你的
557But no, I'm not asking you to predict anything.但我不是要你预测任何事
558No, right today, Charlie.不,就在今天,查理。
559You live in an environment.你生活在一个环境。
560Yeah, you live in an environment where the bottom two percent in terms of income是啊,你生活在一个环境 最低的2%的收入
561in the United States, the bottom five percent and for sure the top one percent,在美国,最低的5%,肯定的1%,
562all live better than John D. Rockefeller was living when I was six years old.都比约翰·D·洛克菲勒6岁时的生活要好
563John D. Rockefeller was the richest man in the world.约翰·D·洛克菲勒是世界上最富有的人.
564And today, you can get better medicine, better education.而今天,你可以得到更好的药物,更好的教育.
565Better entertainment, better transportation.更好的娱乐,更好的交通。
566You can do everything better than he could.你能比他做得更好
567You can I mean, it's astounding.你可以说,这是惊人的。
568That's in my lifetime that if you want to watch a football game, he still had to go there.在我的一生中,如果你想看足球比赛,他仍然必须去那里.
569And I can sit there with this big screen and they keep showing me the replay.我可以坐在这个大屏幕上 他们不断给我看重播
570So they're explaining to me what happened.他们正在向我解释发生了什么
571And maybe everybody doesn't have a screen as big as mine, but damn near everybody也许每个人都没有我的大屏幕, 但该死的接近每个人
572has a screen or an iPhone or a computer or access to one.拥有屏幕或iPhone或计算机或访问一个。
573And they have access.他们可以进入。
574I mean, when I was born, you know, the dentist didn't use Novigate.我的意思是,当我出生, 你知道,牙医没有使用诺维盖特。
575So there has been progress, obviously.因此,显然取得了进展。
576And nowhere more than in the United States.在美国也比不上
577Well, relative to the base, maybe more than I mean.嗯,相对于基地,也许更多 比我的意思。
578But there's no country that's done what our country's done in seven.但是,没有哪个国家能像我国在七中那样做到.
579If you go back three of my lifetimes, you're looking, you know, you've been to.如果你回到我这一辈子的三条路 你看着,你知道,你去过
580You know, you're 91.你知道,你91岁。
581So it's three lifetimes.故为三生.
582You are looking at less than one percent of the world's population,你只看不到世界人口的1%,
583closer to half a one percent, half a one percent of the people in the world接近50%, 一半的人在世界上
584are sitting in this land.坐在这片土地上
585They don't work harder than people in all the rest of the world.他们的工作不比其他世界的人更努力.
586I mean, in terms of hours of unpleasant labor,我的意思是,在不愉快的劳动时间方面,
587everybody's got hours of unpleasant labor in those days, practically.那时候每个人都有几个小时的不愉快的劳动,实际上。
588They don't have they don't come laden with gold.他们没有金子
589And, you know, they are half of one percent and they work the same hours.而且,你知道,他们是 百分之一的一半, 他们工作的时间相同。
590They got the same IQs.他们有相同的智商。
591They may be a little self-selected in terms of enterprise,他们可能在企业方面有点自选
592in terms of going across oceans and things.在跨海洋和事物方面
593And fast forward a couple of lifetimes, and they've got 20 percent plus快速前进几生, 他们有20%加
594of all the bounty in the world.世界上所有的赏金。
595I mean, that is that is something that has worked like nothing.我的意思是,这是的东西 一直没有效果。
596Just imagine that.想象一下吧 想象一下
597If you go on to anybody, the Constitutional Congress in 1789,如果你去任何人, 宪法国会在1789年,
598if you go to any one of the representatives there,如果你去那里的任何代表,
599and you said, I want to tell you what this place is going to look like,你说,我想告诉你 这个地方会是什么样子,
600you know, in three more of your lifetimes,你知道,再过三生,
601your great-great-grandchildren, great-great-grandchildren,你的曾孙,曾孙,
602yeah, are going to be flying in the skies.是啊,将要飞在天空。
603They're going to be watching sports all over the world.他们将在世界各地观看体育赛事.
604They're going to be entertained.将受娱乐.
605Their medicine, they can hold you off to a lunatic society.他们的药,他们可以阻止你 到一个疯子社会。
606But at the same time, as you know, and you hear this all the time,但与此同时,你知道, 你一直听到这一点,
607845 billionaires in America and they have more wealth than the bottom 60 percent.美国845个亿万富翁 他们的财富比最底层的60%多
608That's true.没错
609That's up to government.由政府决定.
610Government has a proper place in the capital, believe me.相信我,政府在首都有合适的位置
611And government is the rulemaker.政府是统治者
612But Henry Ford, by 1922 or three,但亨利·福特 到1922年3月
613he was turning out 2 million cars a year.他每年有200万辆汽车
614Now, how many could the Ford family use?福特家能用多少个?
61530, 40?30,40岁?
616I don't know.师曰.
617So 2 million people are getting the benefit of what he's doing.所以有200万人从他的行为中获益。
618And he's getting 50 cars and he's getting a whole bunch of little claim checks.他得到了50辆汽车, 他得到了一大堆的小 索赔检查。
619Just think of it.考虑一下
620Everything.一切众生.
621When Thomas Edison did all the things he did, you know, he made some money.当托马斯·爱迪生做了他做过的一切时 他赚了不少钱
622But I mean, we're using it.但是,我的意思是,我们正在使用它。
623It belongs to us and it doesn't.它属于我们,它没有。
624If you take what an hour of labor delivered to you 100 years ago如果你需要一百年前给你一个小时的劳力
625and what an hour of labor delivers to you now for you and your family, it's unbelievable.一小时的劳动能为你 和你的家人带来什么 真是难以置信
626But that's an argument for the forward progress.但这是前进进步的论据.
627That's an argument.即是辩才.
628Civilization.文明报.
629It's an argument for capitalism.这是资本主义的争论.
630But capitalism, I'm just saying, get rid of a referee and a government.但是资本主义,我只是说, 摆脱裁判和政府。
631We've got a government that can tell capitalism what to do.我们有一个政府 可以告诉资本主义怎么做。
632Do you think?你觉得呢?
633They do.没错
634And that's just what they should do.这就是他们应该做的。
635And they do it in different ways at different times and all kinds of things.他们在不同的时间和各种事物中以不同的方式进行.
636But I've got this money, which I'll never…但我有这笔钱 我永远不会...
637But it has value to somebody.但它对某人有价值。
638I mean, it's claim checks on future output.我的意思是,这是索赔核对 未来的产出。
639The claim checks belong to me.报销支票属于我
640So if I want to buy 50 super yachts, I can do it.所以,如果我想买50艘超级游艇,我可以做到这一点。
641But what does it mean to me?但这对我意味着什么?
642It can buy more things for other people that are useful to them.它可以为其他人购买更多对他们有用的东西.
643And I have everything I want in life.我拥有生活中我想要的一切
644You know, everything.你知道,所有的东西。
645So it's not evil, but the federal government is the boss in the end.所以这不是邪恶,但最终联邦政府是老大.
646And they shouldn't screw up capitalism.他们不应该破坏资本主义。
647And capitalism shouldn't screw up the federal government.资本主义不应该破坏联邦政府
648It's very simple.很简单
649But does capitalism need to be reformed itself?但是资本主义本身还需要改革吗?
650As you know…正如你们所知...
651It's evolving.其进化.
652Always.永远
653We started in 1789.我们从1789年开始。
654We had business and it's gotten far, far, far, unbelievably我们有生意,它得到了很远,很远,很远,令人难以置信
655more productive for people.更能为人生产.
656And the only thing it can do with what it produces is give it to other people.它唯一能做的就是把它交给其他人。
657It isn't like the 50 richest guys in the country can say,这不像全国五十个有钱人说的
658I'm just going to eat everything.直饶一切食.
659They're turning out products.他们的产品。
660That iPhone that I have, which I'm probably the least capable guy in the world of working with it,我拥有的iPhone, 我可能是世界上能力最差的人
661but it makes life better.但它使生活变得更好。
662It is the reason that Apple is the richest company in the world.这也是苹果公司是世界上最富有的公司的原因.
663Yeah.对
664And you've had Tim Cook on before.而且你之前有蒂姆·库克的节目
665And you can hear as a company that a guy invents something作为公司,你可以听到一个人发明的东西
666and all kinds of other smart people do the same thing.和各种其他聪明人 做同样的事情。
667Apple, I think, sells less than 25% of the smartphones in the world.苹果,我想, 销售不到25%的智能手机 在世界上。
668I know a guy that produces as many as Apple does.我认识一个像苹果公司一样生产的人
669But Apple has produced the one that's the most useful to people.但苹果公司已经生产了对人们最有用的产品.
670It's an aspirational product.谓欲产.
671A lot of people have made cars,很多人都做了车
672but you got a few survivors that made the ones that people like the best.但你有少数生还者 使人们喜欢最好的。
673And we would be selling 16 or 17 million cars a year in this country.我们每年在这个国家卖1600万或1700万辆汽车。
674We had 50 producers or whether we got three.我们有50个制片人 或者我们有3个
675We never used to have…我们以前从没...
676But here is an interesting fact, as you know.但这是个有趣的事实,你知道的。
677Tesla has more market value than all the automobile companies combined.特斯拉的市场价值高于所有汽车公司的总和.
678Yeah.对
679Elon Musk.伊隆・穆斯克
680What does that say?这是什么意思?
681That shows what America produces.这说明了美国生产的东西。
682Elon didn't…伊隆没有...
683I mean, he's taking on General Motors and Ford and Toyota and all these people福特和丰田 还有这些人
684who've got all the stuff and he's got an idea.谁拥有所有的东西, 他有一个想法。
685And he's winning.则胜.
686That's America.那是美国。
687I mean, you can't dream it up.我的意思是,你不能梦见它。
688I mean, it's astounding.我的意思是,这是惊人的。
689Now, you still need a referee.现在,你仍然需要一个裁判。
690That's the government.这是政府。
691Yeah, sure.当然
692And you need a judicial system.你需要一个司法系统。
693But that comes with government.但这是政府的事
694And we've got the best…我们得到了最好的...
695So far, we've got the best system.目前,我们已经有了最好的系统.
696We've got a better system than we used to have我们有比以前更好的系统
697and we'll have a better system 50 years from now.我们将会有一个更好的系统 50年后。
698Why are you so sure?你为什么这么确定?
699Well, I've seen 91 years of it.我看过91年了
700I've never seen a period where I didn't believe that.我从未见过一个我不相信的时期.
701And I haven't…我没有...
702That it will get better.会好起来的
703Of course.当然
704In every aspect of it.在它的每一个方面。
705Not every aspect.不是每个方面。
706We can go backwards in some and…我们可以往后走一些...
707No, it's not…不,这不是...
708But it's unbelievable what has happened.但发生的事太不可思议了
709You know, let me just think of it.让我想想
710You know, we've got a civil war.你知道,我们有一个内战。
711We've got a great depression.我们有一个伟大的抑郁症。
712We've had all these things.我们有过这一切。
713Pandemics.大流行风.
714We've had…我们有过...
715Yeah, and we'll continue to…是啊,我们会继续...
716I'll guarantee you, we'll have something to get on next year我向你保证,我们明年有事情要做
717and the year after and the year after.以及之后的一年和之后的一年。
718But in a herky-jerky but dramatic matter,但是在一个令人毛骨悚然但戏剧性的事情中
719business moves forward.企业向前迈进。
720Government moves forward.政府向前迈进。
721More important, people move forward.更重要的是,人们前进。
722The thing that you fear the most,你最担心的事
723and you have said this, is nuclear war.你说这是核战争
724Yep.对
725I think it was Einstein, you know,我觉得是爱因斯坦
726也许就是Bertrism这个
727But he says this changes everything in the world但是他说这改变了世界的一切
728except the way men think.除了男人们的想法
729You don't want to talk about the current situation你不想谈目前的情况
730where one of the questions is,其中一个问题是,
731what if we end up with a World War III如果第三次世界大战结束
732and a nuclear catastrophe?和核灾难?
733Is the reason you don't want to talk to me about it是因为你不想跟我谈这件事
734because you don't want to be quoted and people…因为你不想被引用和人们...
735I don't want to talk about it,我不想谈这个
736but I've talked about nuclear catastrophes in the past.但我已经谈过过去发生的核灾难
737And the truth is that…而事实是...
738Well, it was Einstein that said,是爱因斯坦说
739I know not what the weapons of World War III will be,我不知道第三次世界大战的武器会是什么
740but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones.但是,第四次世界大战将用棍棒和石头进行。
741And that says it all.并说一切.
742Yeah.对
743We've got the power, and other people have the power,我们拥有力量,其他人也拥有力量,
744to essentially destroy the planet.摧毁地球
745And climate change is important in all of those things.气候变化在所有这些方面都很重要。
746I mean, there's all kinds of things we should be working on.我的意思是,有各种各样的事情 我们应该工作。
747But in the end, the only thing to…但最后,唯一的事情是...
748I mean, I guess a comic could hit us or something,我的意思是,我猜 漫画会打我们什么的,
749but we can destroy it.但我们可以摧毁它。
750And it's not just us.不仅仅是我们
751We can end the planet.我们可以结束地球。
752And I don't want to talk about much more beyond that.我不想再谈更多了
753I don't like saying that to people, even.我甚至不喜欢跟人说这些
754But it's true.但说真言曰.
755It was true when Einstein said it.爱因斯坦说的是真的
756I mean, it's been true.我的意思是,这是真的。
757We came close to the Cuban Missile Crisis.我们接近古巴导弹危机。
758This is a moment to speak to, and we're in a crucial time.这是一个说话的时刻, 我们在一个关键的时刻。
759Yeah.对
760But we've been in lots of crucial times.但我们在很多关键的时刻。
761We're in a crucial…我们处在一个关键的...
762At 9-11, did we think we were in a crucial time?9点11分,我们是否认为我们正处于关键时刻?
763Sure.当然
764The world changed in five.世间五变.
765And I didn't know how it had changed.我不知道它是如何改变的。
766The President of the United States didn't know how it had changed.美国总统不知道它是如何改变的.
767Nobody knew what the hell was going to happen.没人知道会发生什么事
768I want to know how Warren has changed from decade to decade to decade.我想知道沃伦是如何从十年变成十年的。
769Do you have a sense of that?你有感觉吗?
770I've gotten dumber, but I've gotten wiser.我越来越蠢了,但我更聪明了。
771Okay.摆
772That's a nice phrase.这句话不错
773But what does it mean?这是什么意思?
774It means that I can't add a group of numbers remotely as fast as I used to be able to.这意味着我不能像以前那样快速地添加一组数字。
775I can't remember sometimes when I walk upstairs.我有时不记得我上楼时
776While I'm walking up the stairs, I'm thinking about something else.我在楼梯上走的时候 想着别的事
777So by the time I get to the top of the stairs, I don't remember why the hell I walked upstairs.所以,当我到达楼梯顶部, 我不记得我为什么走上楼。
778It means I forget names so easily.意思是我很容易忘记名字
779It means that I can't read as fast as I used to read.谓 念诵如来无量功德.
780I am a decaying machine that still feels wonderful.我是一个腐朽的机器,仍然感觉美妙。
781But I can't hear as well.但我听不见
782I can't see as well.我看不见
783My balance is as good, but it doesn't interfere with my happiness, my work, anything.我的平衡是一样好,但它并不干扰我的幸福,我的工作,任何东西.
784Especially your work.特别是你的工作
785Well, I mean, clearly your happiness, but it doesn't, you know, you're saying...嗯,我的意思是,很明显你的幸福, 但这并不,你知道,你说...
786It doesn't interfere with anything.不碍一切法.
787That age is...那个年龄是...
788I can get on a plane and go any place.我可以上飞机去任何地方
789You know, I can do anything as long as you don't ask me to dance.你知道,我可以做任何事情 只要你不要求我跳舞。
790Or juggle.或作杂耍.
791Or even remember, you know, who did I meet yesterday?甚至还记得,你知道, 我昨天遇到了谁?
792But in terms of the doing the job that you do, allocating capital.但是在做你的工作方面, 分配资本。
793I can actually do that as well as ever.我和以前一样可以做到
794As ever.一如既往
795Yeah, that sounds awesome.是啊,这听起来真棒。
796But better than that, do you do it today better than you did it 20 years ago?但比这更好的,你今天做的比20年前更好吗?
797I've got a different set of opportunities.我有不同的机会
798And that gives you, obviously, well, virtual is much bigger than it's ever been.很明显,虚拟比以前大得多。
799And therefore, that defines the choices.因此,这决定了选择。
800The size restricts the kind of things that can have an important effect体型限制着能产生重要影响的东西
801on what I can do for the people who leave the money with me.我为那些把钱留给我的人做些什么
802So I am a...所以我是个...
803I can't earn the returns on capital with $500 billion or $600, you know,5000亿美元或600美元,我赚不到资本回报
804whatever it may be to work with.随其所为
805Like, if I do something brilliant with $5 billion, it's 1% of my net worth.比如说,如果我用50亿美元做一件聪明的事, 它就是我净值的1%.
806I mean, 1% of the net worth of people I'm working with.我的意思是,1%的净值 我工作的人。
807And 1% doesn't move much, you know.1%不会移动很多
808So I have to think about big things.所以我得考虑一下大事
809And they're limited.而且它们有限。
810I mean, you know, I made money in an entirely different way我的意思是,你知道, 我赚钱的方式完全不同
811when I was working with originally $10,000, $9,800 to be exact.当我用一万美元工作时 准确的说是9800美元
812And when I started working with other people's money, it was $105,000.当我开始用别人的钱工作时,是105,000美元。
813And May 5th of 1956, I had $105,100 put into that partnership.1956年5月5日,我投入了105 100美元的伙伴关系。
814And Berkshire is the outgrowth of that.伯克郡就是这个产物
815I went to the house that I was renting it for $175 a month the other day.那天我去了我租的 每月175美元的房子
816I've just come back from New York.我刚从纽约回来
817And there's a little room, I would say it's about five feet by eight feet.有一个小房间,我会说 它大约5英尺8英尺。
818And I'd written on the door because I knew the people who owned it earlier.我写在门上是因为我认识早先拥有它的人。
819This is where it all started, May 5th, 1956.1956年5月5日,这里全部开始.
820And I worked out of that little room for two years and moved to the house.我在那个小房间工作了两年 搬到了房子
821And then I got another little room.然后,我得到了另一个小房间。
822I worked there for four years.我在那里工作了四年。
823And everything I did could double our net worth, you know.我所做的一切可以使我们的净值翻一番
824That doesn't mean I could find them all.那不代表我可以全部找到他们
825But I mean, there were thousands of possibilities.但是,我意思是,有成千上万的可能性。
826And I wanted to know every one of them.欲知一切众生.
827And they're not thousands of possibilities now?他们现在不是几千种可能性?
828Can't possibly be.这不可能
829No, there aren't thousands of possibilities.不,没有成千上万的可能性。
830Not many whales out there.外面没有多少鲸鱼
831No, no, no.不,不,没有。
832But there's, well, there's some.但还有,嗯,有一些。
833Is that a moment of great exultation when you realize that's a whale?你意识到那是鲸鱼时, 这是令人兴奋的时刻吗?
834Sure.当然
835You know, I see something.你知道,我看到的东西。
836Yeah, well, I mean, if you're looking for whales for months, it's got to be.是啊,我的意思是,如果你寻找鲸鱼几个月, 它必须是。
837You got to get some kind of thrill out of it when you find one.你得得到某种刺激 当你找到它。
838Let me talk about something that didn't work.让我来谈谈一些没用的事
839You and Jamie Dimon and Jeff Bezos came together.你和杰米·迪蒙和杰夫·贝佐斯一起来的
840Health care is a huge part of our economy.保健是我国经济的一大部分。
841And here we saw three really smart people representing three enormous institutions.在这里,我们看到三个非常聪明的人代表三个巨大的机构。
842We had all the money in the world.我们拥有世界上所有的钱。
843All the money in the world.世间一切财.
844And we trusted each other.我们彼此信任
845Yes.对
846Totally.当然
847And it failed.却失败了
848Which was well justified.这是完全合理的。
849So I mean, we had as good a combination as you could have in terms of resources, flexibility,所以,我的意思是,我们有一个很好的组合 在资源,灵活性,
850mutual interests, everything.相互利益,一切。
851And what was the intent?意图是什么?
852The intent was, well, we had several intents, but I mean, we had an intent and we had a hope.我们的意图是,嗯,我们有几个意图, 但是,我的意思是,我们有一个意图,我们有一个希望。
853And we knew the hope was nothing.而且我们知道希望是虚无的。
854I mean, we knew that we didn't know whether it was 51 against it or 101 against it.我的意思是,我们知道,我们不知道 它是51反对它,还是101反对它。
855But what was the downside?但什么是缺点?
856The problem was so big, it was worth trying.问题很大,值得尝试。
857Yeah.对
858And what was the downside to us?我们的缺点是什么?
859Nothing.没什么
860Zero.零点
861Maybe we looked like we couldn't solve it, which is true, but that's OK.也许我们看起来像我们无法解决,这是真的,但没关系。
862Why couldn't you solve it?你为什么不能解决它?
863Oh, it's three, you know, it's as big as the federal government receipts.哦,这是三,你知道, 它的大小像联邦政府收据。
864I mean, it employs more people and it's not a terrible system.我的意思是,它雇用更多的人 它不是一个可怕的系统。
865I mean, it's so much better than it was 20 years ago and 50 years ago and 100 years ago.我的意思是,比起20年前,50年前和100年前,它好多了.
866So I mean, we've got a wonderful medical system.所以,我们有一个很好的医疗系统。
867But we're fighting over it all the time.但我们一直在为此而战
868Well, I mean, you know, anytime you get a big pie in this country, people fight over it.嗯,我的意思是,你知道,每当你得到一个大饼 在这个国家,人们争抢它。
869But I mean, as you know, until Obama did what he did, you know, Clinton failed and then Obama...但是,你知道的,直到奥巴马做 他所做的,你知道,克林顿失败了,然后奥巴马...
870No, I think what Obama did was good.不 我觉得奥巴马做的很好
871I think it was a real important progress for the American people.我认为这对美国人民来说是一个真正重要的进步.
872And then the question is how to make it better.后问如何是好.
873And to make it better, what we need to do is A, bring the price down and B,为了更好,我们需要做的是A, 降低价格和B,
874make the accessibility to it.使公众能够使用它。
875You've got to be sure everyone, a rich, rich, rich, rich, unbelievably rich country...你必须确信每个人,一个富有,富有,富有,富有,不值得相信的富国......
876Like America.像美国。
877Like America, can be sure that every single person not only has access but feels he or she像美国一样,可以确定每个人 不仅有权限,而且有感觉
878has access that knows that he can get prompt, reasonably prompt.拥有能及时进入的通道
879I mean, again, there comes limits with pandemics and everything, but reasonably prompt我的意思是,再次,有限制 大流行病和一切, 但合理的迅速
880and essentially free.基本上都是免费的
881I mean, it isn't free in the sense that society doesn't pay for it.我的意思是,它不是免费的 从社会不支付它。
882But the ability to get good medical attention fast, reasonably fast,但能够快速、合理快速地获得良好的医疗照顾
883should exist for every American.每个美国人都应该存在
884But it doesn't.然则不然.
885It doesn't.它没有。
886We do pretty damn well, but we could do better.我们做得很好, 但我们可以做得更好。
887Well, but we're not first in the world or second or third or...但我们不是世界上第一 也不是第二还是第三
888Well, listen, I don't know about medicine, but I know what everybody tells me,好吧,听着,我不知道关于医学, 但我知道每个人告诉我,
889and I believe them, that we are the best in great many things.我相信他们,我们在很多事情中都是最好的。
890People come to the United States if they got a lot of money.人们如果有钱就来美国
891And for a lot of things, we are, in no way touches us, as I understand it.对于很多事情,我们是, 绝不接触我们,正如我所理解的。
892And...还有...
893Might do, but just understand what you're saying.也许可以,但只要明白你在说什么。
894The quality of the medical care is as good as it possibly can be in terms of the best医疗质量尽可能好 最好
895physicians, the best therapies, the best intelligence.医生,最好的疗法,最好的智力。
896And great medical schools.还有伟大的医学院
897But the access is the issue.但准入是问题所在。
898It's better than it's ever been, but it's got room to go.虽比昔有余,犹有余舍.
899I mean, it's better than it's ever been, Charlie.我是说,比以前好多了,查理
900Most things, almost everything is good.大多数事情,几乎一切都是好的。
901Did any ideas come out of this?这件事有什么想法吗?
902Well, yeah, I think all three institutions learned something.嗯,是的,我认为所有三个机构 都学到了一些东西。
903And I think they actually, it wasn't that much money anyway.我觉得他们其实不是那么多钱
904But we all got our money's worth.但我们都值钱了
905Sure.当然
906I had a sense of just in terms of, you know, we employ 360,000 people.我有一种感觉 就是,你知道,我们雇用了36万人。
907Amazon, you know, who knows how many they employ.亚马逊,你知道, 谁知道他们雇用多少人。
908And JV employees, you know, it's fantastic.和JV员工, 你知道,这是伟大的。
909So we all learned something.所以我们都学到了一些东西。
910But we didn't have any breakthroughs at all.但我们完全没有突破
911We just learned something.我们刚刚学到一些东西。
912Here's what was interesting about it for me was the fact that对我来说有趣的是
913these three institutions led by these remarkable human beings, smart, successful,这三个机构 由这些杰出的人类领导, 聪明,成功,
914it was taking all that IQ and all that experience and applying it to a huge problem.它需要所有智商和所有的经验 并将其应用于一个巨大的问题。
915Smart, successful.聪明,成功。
916You know, and you ask yourself, are there other areas in which...你知道,你问自己, 还有其他的领域...
917Yeah, well, you can say that everything we do in the country can be improved.是的,你可以说, 我们所做的一切 在这个国家可以改进。
918Education can be improved.教育可以改善。
919I mean, everything.我是说,一切。
920Tell me, are the things that you think we ought to be talking about, I'm going to talk告诉我,你认为我们应该谈论的东西, 我要谈谈
921about climate in just a moment, are the things that you think we ought to be talking about?关于气候在一瞬间, 你觉得我们应该谈论的东西吗?
922I mean, I am happy to tell people that the same thing I've told them before, but they'll我的意思是,我很高兴告诉人们 我之前告诉他们一样的事情,但他们会
923never get the message, most of them, but a few do, that the most, you know, best thing从来没有得到信息,大多数, 但少数做,最,你知道,最好的事情
924to do if you want to invest for the long term is index.如果想要长期投资,则使用指数。
925And it's the S&P 500 index.并且是S&P500指数.
926And what's happened, of course, is that organizations like to grow.当然,所发生的是 组织喜欢成长。
927So they set up indexes on different industries, different countries.于是他们建立了不同行业,不同国家的指数.
928And as soon as you do that, you're violating basically what Jack Bogle said.一旦你这样做, 你基本上违反了杰克·博格说的话。
929He says, you don't know enough to pick the right businesses, which means, you know, don't他说,你不知道 选择正确的企业, 这意味着,你知道,不要
930know enough to pick the right countries, you know enough.足够选择正确的国家,你也知道。
931All right.好吧,我们走。
932Well, let me get to that.好吧,让我开始吧。
933That's what I'm going to get to.即得现前.
934But we will see a time in which the Chinese economy is bigger than the U.S. economy.但是,我们将看到一个中国经济比美国经济大的时候.
935Someday, they're, they've got four times as many people, and logically, they will grow有一天,他们是, 他们有四倍的人, 逻辑上,他们会成长
936and grow and we will be with the two superpowers.并成长,我们将与两个超级大国。
937Are they going to grow as fast as they have been growing?他们会像以前一样迅速成长吗?
938It's hard to tell.佛告阿难.
939I don't know the answer to that.我不知道这个答案
940When they've got some issues, they've got issues of debt.当他们有一些问题, 他们有债务问题。
941They've got issues of demographics.他们有 人口学的问题。
942Yeah, everybody's got those kind of issues.是啊,每个人都有这种问题。
943They've got also issues.他们也有问题
944We've got issues throughout the history of the United States.我们在美国历史上一直有问题.
945They also have issues of the environment and climate.它们也有环境和气候的问题。
946The UN just released a report and we have heard it and we constantly hear it.联合国刚刚发布了一份报告,我们听到了报告,我们不断听到报告。
947How worried are you about our success in protecting the planet?你对我们保护地球的成功有多担心?
948Well, the biggest threat obviously is nuclear weapons, but it doesn't mean you don't protect那么,最大的威胁显然是核武器, 但这并不意味着你不保护
949against other things.反对其他事情。
950Right.对
951And if there's a 1% chance even, and I'm not, wait, I can't quantify it, but if there's如果有1%的机率甚至, 而我没有,等等,我不能量化它, 但如果有
952a 1% chance of something causing the world trouble 10 years from now, 50 years from now,一个1%的机会 某事引起世界麻烦 10年后,50年后,
953100 years from now, we ought to be working on that too.一百年后,我们也应该为此努力。
954Are we doing enough?我们做得够吗?
955Oh, we're doing a lot.哦,我们正在做很多。
956The problem is, of course, that it requires the whole world to do a lot.当然,问题在于它需要全世界做很多事情。
957There are a lot of problems like that, including the pandemic, including the environment that有许多类似问题,包括这种流行病,包括环境。
958transcend national boundaries and need cooperation.超越国界,需要合作。
959The virus doesn't have to clear immigration.病毒无需清除移民.
960The virus does not have to clear immigration.病毒不需要清除移民。
961No, that's simple.不,这很简单。
962It can be brought in by one person.可以一人带入.
963Right.对
964There's a lot of other things that aren't physical viruses.还有很多其他的东西不是物理病毒.
965When you look at Tim Cook, I think he's terrific.当你看着蒂姆·库克时 我觉得他很棒
966It's that simple.就这么简单
967I've written the annual report.我写了年度报告
968Yes.对
969And he is.他就是这样
970He's a great manager.他是个好经理
971He's not only a great manager, he's a great human being, but he's a great manager too.他不仅是一位出色的经理,也是一位出色的人,同时也是一位出色的经理.
972He's an incredibly great manager, but he's a great human being.他是个了不起的经理 但他是个伟大的人
973What do we look for in a great manager?我们要找什么好经理?
974You look for him.你去找他,你找谁?
975You look for somebody else.你找别人。
976The results.结果
977Yes.对
978You look for somebody that has ability, trust and character.你在找一个有能力 信任和性格的人
979Ability, trust, character.能力,信任,性格。
980Yeah.对
981Somebody you can trust.一个人你可以信任。
982Same thing you want in a spouse.和配偶一样
983Charlie always says, you want to marry somebody better than you are.查理总是说 你想娶比自己更好的人
984He says, in my case, that leaves the whole world bright red.他说,就我而言,这让全世界都红了。
985But it's the truth.但说真言曰.
986I mean, you always want to be around people who are better than you are.我的意思是,你总是想 身边的人 谁比你更好。
987They pull you in the right direction.他们把你拉到正确的方向。
988What's the chemistry?什么是化学?
989What's the nature of the relationship between you and Charlie?你和查理的关系是什么性质?
990It's a long, long relationship.关系久远.
991We met in May of 1959.我们在1959年5月相遇.
992His father died.他的父亲死了。
993He had worked in the same grocery store as I had in 1940.他和我在1940年在同一家杂货店工作过
994I worked there in 41.我在那里工作过41年。
995And we never met.我们从没见过面
996I didn't know his name.我不知道他叫什么来着
997And his dad was, you know, well known all along, but I just didn't happen to know.他的父亲是,你知道, 一直众所周知, 但我只是没有碰巧知道。
998I was a kid and we moved to Washington.我小时候搬去华盛顿
999And so it was a name I never heard.我从未听说过这个名字
1000Your dad went to Congress.你爸爸去了国会。
1001I never heard his name until 1959.直到1959年才听说他的名字.
1002Or no, I heard the name when I met the Dave.或者没有,我听到的名字 当我遇到戴夫。
1003It was maybe 57 or 58.大概是57或58岁
1004He came to Omaha in 1959.1959年来到奥马哈.
1005We met.我们见过面
1006And it's been, you know, the best relationship except others I've had in family and so on.这是,你知道,最好的关系 除了其他我有过的家庭等等。
1007But he's been the person, along with Tom Murphy and, I don't know, Joe Rosenfield,但他就是那个人 和汤姆·墨菲一起 我不知道 乔·罗森菲尔德
1008subsequent to my dad that I least, that I didn't want to disappoint.我爸说至少我不想失望
1009Good to have somebody in your life you don't want to disappoint.很高兴有个人在你的生活中 你不想失望。
1010It's enormously important.这很重要
1011He's a better person.他是个好人
1012Do you disagree on a lot of things?你有很多分歧吗?
1013Well, we've never argued.我们从没争吵过
1014We've never had an argument.我们从未有过争吵
1015People say, well, that's impossible.人们说,这是不可能的。
1016I'm telling you, we've never had an argument.我告诉你,我们从来没有有过争吵。
1017But you could say, I believe this.但你可以说,我相信这一点。
1018And he says, I believe this.他说,我相信
1019You just don't argue about it.你只是不争论这一点。
1020Yeah, but we don't even have to say it hardly.是的,但我们甚至不用说。
1021We may know that I would say this or that.我们可能知道,我会说这个或那个。
1022Why bring it up?为什么提起来?
1023You know, he, I think, has expressed some concern about index funds.我想他已经对指数基金表示了一些关注。
1024I support everything Charlie says, but I don't agree with it.我支持查理说的 但我不同意
1025I don't mean on that.我不是那个意思。
1026I mean, that doesn't mean I agree with him on everything.这并不意味着我同意他的观点
1027He doesn't agree with me on everything.他不同意我的观点
1028And we've never had a problem with that since 59.我们从59岁起就没遇到过这种问题
1029Jeff Bezos.杰夫·贝佐斯.
1030Yeah.对
1031What about him?他怎么样?
1032Jeff is a friend of mine, but I probably see him personally.杰夫是我的朋友 但我可能亲眼见过他
1033I see him once a year.我每年见他一次
1034Yeah, and I can't recall ever talking to him on the telephone.是啊,我不记得曾经跟他通过电话。
1035Maybe I have.也许我有。
1036I've never sent him an email, but I don't know how to send emails.我从没给他发过邮件 但我不知道怎么发邮件
1037You know how to get them, son.你知道怎么得到他们,儿子。
1038Yeah.对
1039No, I've got a system, but I don't, I literally didn't know how to send an email.不,我有一个系统, 但我没有, 我字面上不知道如何发送电子邮件。
1040You seem to have done okay without knowing.你似乎做得很好 不知不觉。
1041So far.目前为止
1042But you once said to me, you know, that, I mean, he's one of the smartest businessmen.但你曾对我说过 他是最聪明的商人之一
1043Oh, absolutely.当然
1044And the proof is in the pudding.证据在布丁里
1045I read his annual reports.我读了他的年度报告。
1046I see him once a year.我每年见他一次
1047I mean, I've usually seen him once a year in Sun Valley.我通常每年在太阳谷见过他一次
1048And I enjoy that.我喜欢这样
1049And actually, at Sun Valley, at the Allen & Company Conference,实际上,在太阳谷, 在艾伦和公司会议上,
1050we've had a dinner that a few of us have been.我们一起吃过一顿我们几个人都吃过的晚饭
1051And so I've probably had at least three or four of those.所以我可能至少吃了三四个
1052It's remarkable to see a company which was founded on selling books看到一家以卖书为主的公司,真是了不起
1053now is a technological giant.现在是一个技术巨头。
1054It couldn't happen, but it did.它不可能发生,但它做到了。
1055When Jeff was, Mackenzie, I don't know whether they drove cross country to New York to Seattle,当杰夫,麦肯锡, 我不知道他们是否开车 穿越国家到纽约到西雅图,
1056but if they'd stopped it, I'm all, I didn't know him.但是如果他们阻止了它, 我所有的,我不认识他。
1057He said, what do you think of this idea?他说,你觉得这个主意如何?
1058You know, good luck, Jeff.祝你好运,杰夫
1059Yes, but you have told me that he, at times, would come up to you and have questions是的 但你告诉我 他有时候会来问你
1060if you would make a presentation at a conference.如果你愿意在会议上发表演讲。
1061Yeah, at Sun Valley.对,在太阳谷
1062You know, he's a very, very, very smart guy.你知道,他是一个非常,非常,非常聪明的人。
1063And, you know, I think, you know, well, I mean, look, a good bit of his fortune而且,你知道,我觉得,你知道, 嗯,我的意思是,你看, 一点点他的财富
1064is going to help society in various ways.将会以各种方式帮助社会。
1065The giving pledge is?承诺是?
1066Well, he's got his own plans on that.他有他自己的计划
1067And Bill continues to make a huge impact on philanthropy.而比尔继续对慈善事业产生巨大影响.
1068And they do it not with just money.他们不光靠钱
1069They do it with time.他们做它的时间。
1070They're on the scene.他们在现场。
1071They do it with time.他们做它的时间。
1072I mean, they give up.我的意思是,他们放弃。
1073Time is the most precious thing you've got, you know, pretty much.时间是你拥有的最珍贵的东西,你知道的, 差不多。
1074And they do it with time.他们用时间做
1075They are giving something.他们正在提供一些东西。
1076They're giving something I'm not willing to give.他们给的东西 我不愿意给。
1077Time.时间
1078Not much time to that.时间不多了
1079I'd rather give my time to Berkshire.宁为伯克郡留时.
1080Because?因为?
1081Because that's what I enjoy doing.因为我喜欢这样
1082And that's what you do well.这就是你做的很好。
1083Yeah, it's what I do well in.是啊,这是我做的很好。
1084It produces money and that does well for other people, but it doesn't.它能赚钱,对其他人也有好处,但不会
1085It'll do better if it's given by other people.若彼众生所施能更施.
1086That was a choice you made when you gave them?你给了他们一个选择?
1087Choice.选择
1088It was a choice, I mean, a long, long time ago in terms of Susie and so on.这是一个选择,我的意思是, 很久以前,在苏西等。
1089But, yeah.不过,是的。
1090Somebody's going to do something with the money.有人会用钱做点什么
1091And those are claim checks on the output of others.这些是对他人产出的索赔检查。
1092Productivity of the world.世界生产力。
1093You can redistribute it to places where it's needed more.你可以再分配到需要更多的地方。
1094I am all for that.我完全赞成
1095I just don't want to do it myself.我只是不想自己动手
1096I'd rather do what I'm doing.宁为所行.
1097Speaking of time, I have a few more minutes of your time.说到时间 我还有几分钟时间
1098So let me ask these final questions.因此,让我提出最后的问题。
1099Have you achieved pretty much everything that you wanted out of life?你几乎实现了所有你想要的生活?
1100Well, the truth is yes, but I'm looking forward to tomorrow, too.好吧,事实是是的,但我期待着明天。
1101Any regrets?有遗憾吗?
1102Well, if you look back, you can always say, oh, he should have done just that.好吧,如果你回头看,你可以总是说, 哦,他应该已经这样做。
1103But I'd be nuts if I looked back on my life and said, you haven't been the luckiest guy但是,如果我回顾我的生活,说,你不是最幸运的人。
1104imaginable.不可思议.
1105And I will say this, aside from sickness and death,我会说,除了疾病和死亡,
1106everything I thought was bad at the time has turned out well.那时我以为坏的一切都好
1107And when you say you've been the luckiest guy, I assume that means a当你说你是最幸运的家伙, 我想这意味着
1108community and family.社区和家庭。
1109But it also means in your case, as you have said often, the country that you live in.但这也意味着你的情况,正如你经常说的那样,你生活的国家。
1110Oh, totally.哦,绝对的。
1111Charlie, if I'd been born any place but the United States,查理,如果我出生的地方 除了美国,
1112my life would have been totally different.我的生活会完全不同
1113And incidentally, you know, it helped to have a parent.顺便说一句,你知道, 它帮助有一个父母。
1114I had to do.我必须这样做。
1115But the United States is essential.但美国至关重要。
1116It's given me everything.它给了我一切。
1117And your dad was the man you most admired.你爸爸是你最钦佩的人
1118Yep.对
1119And why was that?为什么?
1120Well, I never saw him do anything in his life that he didn't believe in.我从没见过他做过他不相信的事
1121Turned out I didn't agree with him on things later on.结果我后来不同意他的意见
1122I mean, I accepted this.我的意思是,我接受了这一点。
1123Sure.当然
1124Yeah.对
1125I mean, when we sat around the dinner table in the 1930s, I mean,我的意思是,当我们在20世纪30年代 坐在餐桌旁的时候,我的意思是,
1126my dad was the most anti-Roswell person you can imagine.我爸爸是最反罗斯威尔的人 你能想象。
1127So you almost had to say something bad about Roosevelt to get dessert or something.所以你几乎不得不说一些关于罗斯福的坏话 要得到甜点什么的。
1128But I mean, my sisters and I grew up with that.但是,我的意思是,我的姐妹和我长大 与此。
1129But that's OK.但没关系。
1130He didn't.他没有。
1131Anything I did, he supported as long as it was I was behaving OK.我所做的一切 他都支持 只要我表现良好
1132And even when I didn't behave OK, he never gave up.即使我表现不好 他也从未放弃过
1133It came out this week that you are one of the five richest people in the world这周出来,你是世界上最富有的五个人之一
1134on that list.在名单上。
1135Ahead of you was Bill Gates, Elon Musk,在你们之前是比尔盖茨,伊隆穆斯克
1136Jeff Bezos and the man from France.杰夫·贝佐斯和法国人
1137What does that mean to you?这对你意味着什么?
1138It means I can direct the way a whole lot of money goes just back to society.意思是,我可以引导 一整笔钱回到社会
1139But what really means something to me is the record of Berkshire.但对我来说真正意义在于 伯克郡的记录
1140That's what I've done.已而为之.
1141The money flows out of it.钱从中流出.
1142But I paint the painting.但我画的画。
1143The world can bid on an auction.世界可以竞价拍卖.
1144But that is fun.但这是乐趣。
1145And it's been fun.且作么生是乐.
1146It's been way more fun doing it with Charlie as my partner than it would have been alone.和查理做我的搭档 比我一个人更好玩
1147I mean, it's just incomparable.我的意思是,它只是不可比拟。
1148So the legacy is Berkshire Hathaway.所以遗产是伯克郡·哈撒威.
1149Oh, sure.当然
1150And it's my friends.这是我的朋友。
1151And that is a perfect segue to my last question.这对我的最后一个问题来说是完美的。
1152If you were giving one last lecture, what would you want to say?如果你再讲一次 你想说什么?
1153Oh, I would probably talk about it.哦,我可能会谈论它。
1154What's been important to me in life and how they should decide what's important to them in life.生活中对我很重要的是什么 以及他们应该如何决定 生活中什么对他们很重要
1155And so what's been important to you in life?人生中对你很重要的是什么?
1156Well, it's all been whatever it is.好吧,这一切都是不管它是什么。
1157I've done it, but I've got a family.已作但有眷属.
1158I feel terrific about I got a business and I've got millions of people who have trusted me.我觉得很好 我有一个生意, 我得到了数百万人 谁信任我。
1159Thank you.谢谢
1160It's a pleasure to have you.幸会
1161Thanks, Charlie.谢谢,查理
1162It's always fun.常为乐事.
1163Join me.跟我来。
1164成为Charlie Rose Global Conversions的订阅者,并让它成为更好的体验.
1165Click this link to subscribe.点击此链接订阅 。
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