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实战练英文 | FSD全自驾、机器人助手来了,人类躺着就好?

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时间英文中文
0:00All right好吧,我们走
0:05Well, let me start off first by by thanking everyone at Tesla for your incredible hard work首先让我先感谢特斯拉的所有人 你令人难以置信的辛勤工作
0:12I mean tell the Tesla team is an incredible team great human beings我的意思是告诉特斯拉团队是一个令人难以置信的团队 伟大的人类
0:17Like I mean some of the finest people in the world work at Tesla就像我是说世界上最好的人在特斯拉工作
0:24designing and设计和
0:25Manufacturing our incredible products.制造出我们不可思议的产品
0:27So my thanks to you for everything you're doing.所以我感谢你所做的一切
0:31Well done干得不错
0:41So we're gonna go through just a list of the incredible achievements of the Tesla team所以,我们只是通过一个列表 特斯拉团队的惊人成就
0:46We've now produced over 7 million vehicles我们现在已经生产了700多万辆汽车
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序号英文中文
1All right好吧,我们走
2Well, let me start off first by by thanking everyone at Tesla for your incredible hard work首先让我先感谢特斯拉的所有人 你令人难以置信的辛勤工作
3I mean tell the Tesla team is an incredible team great human beings我的意思是告诉特斯拉团队是一个令人难以置信的团队 伟大的人类
4Like I mean some of the finest people in the world work at Tesla就像我是说世界上最好的人在特斯拉工作
5designing and设计和
6Manufacturing our incredible products.制造出我们不可思议的产品
7So my thanks to you for everything you're doing.所以我感谢你所做的一切
8Well done干得不错
9So we're gonna go through just a list of the incredible achievements of the Tesla team所以,我们只是通过一个列表 特斯拉团队的惊人成就
10We've now produced over 7 million vehicles我们现在已经生产了700多万辆汽车
117 million700万
12Enough in our first year of production.我们的第一年就够了
13We produced just over 20 vehicles我们刚生产了20多辆车
14And I thought well, maybe we can be we might one day be able to do 10 or 20 a week instead of 10 or 20 a year我想,也许我们可以有朝一日 我们可以每周做10或20 而不是每年10或20
15And the way things are tracking right now而事情的跟踪方式 现在
16We will actually have made over 10 million vehicles next year.我们明年将实际制造1 000多万辆汽车。
17So we'll pass the 10 million vehicle cumulative.因此,我们将通过1000万辆累计车辆.
18That's a lot of cars, man好多车啊
19So it's really and it's所以这是真的,它是
20Incredibly difficult as you know to design to build to manage the supply chain with thousands of suppliers设计如何与数千个供应商一起管理供应链,困难重重
21Make sure everything arrives.确保一切到达。
22You've got tens of thousands of parts make sure everything works你有上万个零件 确保一切正常
23then build the car service the car and it's然后建造汽车服务 汽车,它是
24It's it's really difficult真的很难
25I mean this frankly it copies is a tough a tough business老实说 复制是件很难的事
26so这样
27and you know, there are times when there are rocky moments like things are你知道,有的时候,有 岩石般的瞬间
28So it's like a little bit of stormy weather天气有点暴风雨
29but what I'm here to tell you is that the future is incredibly bright and exciting and但我要告诉你的是 未来非常的光明和激动人心
30We're gonna do things that no one I think has even dreamed of我们会做一些我想象不到的事
31You know what?你知道吗?
32We've said we're gonna do it.我们说过我们会做的
33But I think until we actually do it people won't believe just how incredible it is但我认为,直到我们真正做到这一点, 人们不会相信,这是多么不可思议的
34So I'm going to go through all of the things that that we're accomplishing here.因此,我将研究我们在这里完成的所有事情。
35So once again, thank you very much.因此,再次非常感谢。
36So这么说
37You know, it's worth noting that Tesla remains of the company of choice for people to work for us你知道,值得注意的是,特斯拉仍然是人们为我们工作的首选公司.
38So we get millions of applications per year for a very small number of spots and we continue to be the the leading因此,我们每年得到数百万的应用 极少数的斑点,我们继续领先
39Organization along with SpaceX for engineering talent in the world and also for manufacturing talent really for it's like it's an awesome place to work basically和SpaceX一起组织世界的工程人才 还有制造人才
40and和
41we're because of our growth there's a lot of opportunity for upward mobility and由于我们的增长 有很多机会向上流动
42And I'm going to talk you through just you know, how I see the future unfolding and why I think it is going to be incredible我会告诉你 我如何看待未来的发展 以及为什么我觉得这将会是不可思议的
43so这样
44First of all, as always we care a lot about safety首先 我们总是很关心安全
45So the safety of our cars and the safety of people within the factory so you can see that our work related injuries have declined over因此,我们车的安全 和工厂内的人的安全 这样你可以看到,我们的工作 受伤已经下降
46time so thank you for时间谢谢你
47Helping make that happen.帮助实现这一点。
48That's a collaborative effort.这是合作努力
49So congratulations to the safety team on continuing to improve workplace safety恭喜安全小组继续改善工作场所安全
50so one of the things that may seem like how do you how do you pull it all together is所以,其中一件事 可能看起来你是如何 使这一切是
51you know, where does AI and robots could fit in this sort of sustainable energy picture likeAI和机器人在哪里可以 适应这种可持续能源的图片
52Is that just like some weird side project or or what you know这就像一个奇怪的边项目 或者你知道的
53but it's because what we're really aiming for here is但这是因为我们真正的目标就是
54Maybe a better way to think of it rather than sustainable energy is也许更好的方法去想它 而不是可持续能源
55sustainable abundance for all人人享有可持续丰量
56So if you think about like what is the future that would what's what's the most exciting future that you could possibly imagine?所以,如果你想到什么是未来 你会是什么 最令人兴奋的未来,你可以想象?
57Like what does that future look like it's worth thinking about that未来是什么样子 值得考虑
58Just this think只是这样想
59Just in just just imagine a future只要想象未来
60What is that that amazing future look like?那神奇的未来是什么样子?
61How about a future where you can have any good or service you want?怎么样的未来 你可以有任何好处或服务 你想要什么?
62at will a随意
63Future of abundance for all or really anyone can have anything未来的丰盛对所有人或真正任何人都可以拥有任何东西
64It sounds impossible.听起来不可能
65It sounds like surely such a thing cannot be the case听起来肯定不是这样的
66But what I'm here to tell you is that that will indeed be the case但我要告诉你的是 情况确实如此
67That the future we're headed for is one where you can literally just have anything you wantи璶琌 痷Τ稱璶
68like if there's a good or service you want you'll be able to have it and喜欢如果有好或服务 你想得到它,
69And ultimately everyone in the world will be able to have anything they want最终,世界上每个人都能 拥有他们想要的一切
70What's key to that is robotics and AI关键是机器人和AI
71So once you have self-driving cars and you have autonomous humanoid robots所以,一旦你有了自驾汽车 和自主的机器人
72Where everyone can have their own personal在那里每个人都可以有自己的个人
73C3po and r2d2, but even better than that that's optimists.C3po和r2d2,但比这更乐观.
74You can imagine like your own personal robot, buddy你能想像你自己的机器人,伙计
75That is a great friend, but also takes care of他是个好朋友,但也要照顾
76Your house will clean your house will mow the lawn你的房子会清理你的房子 会修剪草坪
77Will walk the dog?狗会走路吗?
78Will teach your kids?会教你的孩子吗?
79will babysit将守护
80And and will also also enable the production of goods and services并且也将促进货物和服务的生产
81Basically with no limit基本上没有限制
82And when you combine that with sustainable energy from the Sun and batteries当你把它和来自太阳和电池的可持续能源结合起来
83We can also at the same time also maintain a great environment我们也可以同时维持一个伟大的环境
84so that's I think is the future that we that we want a future where所以我认为那是我们想要的未来
85Nobody's nobody's in need you can have what you want and没有人需要帮助 你可以得到你想要的
86We still but we still have nature we still have我们仍然有本性
87You know the the beautiful parts of nature that we like你知道我们喜欢的大自然的美丽部分
88I一、导 言
89Think that's probably the best future.认为这可能是最好的未来。
90I can't I'd like what other future would you want?我不能想要你想要的未来吗?
91I think that's like the cool future and also space travel.我认为这就像酷的未来 和太空旅行。
92That's not forget that这不是忘记
93so if you can have basically anything you want and所以,如果你可以 基本上有你想要的东西,
94Travel to space and go to Mars and that would be it's about as good as it gets去太空和去火星, 这将是大约它得到的好
95You know it's like that's egg你知道这就像鸡蛋
96so这样
97That's really what we're trying to do is take the set of actions most likely to lead to a great future for all这正是我们想要做的 采取一系列行动 最有可能带来一个伟大的未来
98so that's what I mean by sustainable abundance and因此,这就是我的意思 可持续丰厚和
99The combination of things that we're making我们的组合
100With optimists and AI and AI compute will achieve有了乐观主义者 AI和AI计算会实现
101An age of abundance for all like actually so it's gonna be pretty great岁月丰盛,像实际上, 所以这将是相当伟大的
102It model why it became the best-selling这是它为什么成为最畅销的模型
103You know vehicle in the world, you know if I I we do make你知道世界上的车辆,你知道,如果我做
104the best最好的,你来
105You know, it's it's how we're doing on popularity.你知道,这是我们如何做 在流行。
106Well, we actually literally make the best selling car on earth of any kind实际上,我们制造的汽车是地球上最好的
107So so that's it ends for two years in a row.因此,这是连续两年结束。
108So这么说
109And it's gonna be the best selling car on earth again this year.这将会是今年地球上最好的卖车
110So这么说
111The Cybertruck became the best-selling electric vehicle pickup instantly because it's awesome赛博特拉克号成为最畅销的电动车辆 因为它是真棒
112and和
113Tesla was the best-selling electric vehicle in EuropeTesla是欧洲最畅销的电力机车
114the fastest growing brand in South Korea and韩国增长最快的品牌
115We launched in a lot of new markets including Qatar, Lithuania, Chile and the Philippines and will be opening in a whole bunch more markets我们在卡塔尔、立陶宛、智利和菲律宾等许多新市场推出,并将在众多市场上开放。
116as well, so也一样,所以
117Tesla's will be available worldwide特斯拉的将在全世界提供
118So overall, you know, it's good所以,总的来说,你知道,这是很好的
119If you read the news, it feels like you know, I'm a Gettin如果你读新闻,感觉就像你知道,我是盖汀
120So I was like I can't walk past the TV without seeing a Tesla on fire.所以,我就像我不能走过电视 没有看到一个特斯拉着火。
121They're like what's going on?他们就像发生了什么?
122Yeah, some people it's like listen, I understand if you don't want to buy our product, but you don't have to burn it down是啊,有些人这就像听, 我知道如果你不想买我们的产品, 但你不必烧掉它。
123That's our bet unreasonable, you know这是我们不合理的赌注
124This is psycho stop being psycho, okay这是精神停止 精神病,好吗
125So这么说
126And we launched the new Model Y congrats to the team on我们推出了新的模型Y 恭喜团队在
127You know that that's that's obviously very tough because we've got factories all across the world and we've got a change of a你知道那显然是非常艰难的,因为我们有 工厂遍布世界各地,我们有一个变化
128global supply chain on three three three three supply chains on three continents and三大洲三家三家供应链的全球供应链
129I think you did an amazing job of switching over the world's best-selling car我觉得你做了一个惊人的工作 换掉世界上最畅销的汽车
130Globally in a very short period of time.在全球范围,时间很短。
131Well done guys干得不错
132And this I forget also we upgraded model 3 last year so I would encourage people to also buy the model 3 it's a great我忘了去年我们升级了3号模型 所以我鼓励人们也买3号模型 这是很棒的
133car汽车
134so这样
135And the Cybertruck is achieved five-star safety电脑卡车实现了五星安全
136You know these these days你知道这些天
137You know你知道吗
138Sometimes things get a little dangerous the neighborhood and the Cybertruck being bulletproof and all can come in handy有时候事情会变得有点危险 邻居和赛博特车是防弹的,一切都会有用的
139So but apart from being bulletproof, it's also very safe in a crash所以除了防弹之外 坠毁时也非常安全
140we're also我们也是
141Building the Tesla semi-factory.打造特斯拉半构型.
142This is a vehicle that some people said was impossible to build有人说这辆车是不可能建造的
143That it defied physics.它藐视物理学
144Well, not only does it not defy physics.嗯,它不仅不藐视物理。
145We're gonna be making a lot of them.我们会做很多的。
146So we're gonna make a所以我们要做一个
147You know, I think ultimately we'll make你知道,我想最终我们会做
148over a million millions probably of the Tesla semi超过百万 可能是特斯拉半径
149And this is really going to be something that what you'll see all over the place and it'll also be这真的会是 你会看到 到处,它也会
150Autonomous or have the ability to be to go autonomous down the road.自主或有能力自主走下去。
151So这么说
152Really autonomy is a massive massive thing真正的自主是一个巨大的事情
153The future is autonomous未来是自主的
154so这样
155I was sort of like I like what will the future look like in five years or ten years 20 years?我有点喜欢未来 五年或十年20年?
156and和
157five years from now5年后,我们再谈
158Autonomous cars are gonna be everywhere primarily gonna be Tesla's by the way, but autonomous Tesla's will be everywhere自治车会到处都是 主要是特斯拉的 但自治特斯拉的车会无处不在
159in it, I think里面,我觉得
160In five years probably will have the regulatory approval.五年后,或许会得到监管批准。
161I think globally我认为全球
162So you'll have autonomous Tesla's on every continent taking people on trips and所以,你会有自主的特斯拉 在每一个大陆 带人旅行和
163Almost the entire fleet which will pass 10 million vehicles next year is capable of full autonomy几乎整个车队明年会通过1 000万辆汽车 能够完全自主
164So it even without the the cyber cab所以即使没有电脑计程车
165We still actually have a gigantic fleet that is capable of being autonomous我们仍然有一支庞大的舰队 可以自主
166And the thing about being an autonomous car is that it can be used much more than a car that is not autonomous a做一个自主的汽车 远不止是非自主的汽车
167Typical passenger vehicle car will be used about ten hours a week典型的客车汽车每周大约使用十小时
168So we might use it people might use it for an hour and a half a day on average for seven days这样我们就可以使用它 人们可以使用它 一个半小时 平均七天
169Which is about ten hours a week, but there are 168 hours in a week一周约十小时,但一周有168小时
170So if you have a car that that's a robot car that can drive autonomously所以,如果你有一辆汽车,这是一个机器人汽车 可以自主驾驶
171It can now be used potentially for 80 maybe a hundred hours a week现在可能每周用80小时或100小时
172So you could have a car that that has ten times the usefulness这样你就可以拥有一辆十倍于 实用的车
173Of an of a of a non-autonomous car, but it still costs the same一辆非自主车,但价格还是一样
174In fact, the fleets are already built事实上,舰队已经建成了
175So the software update is just enables that capability overnight you have因此,软件更新 只是使这种能力 一夜之间,你有
176An increase in usefulness of 10 million cars that suddenly become like 50 million cars or maybe1000万辆汽车的功用增加 突然变得像5000万辆汽车或者也许
17780 or 100 million cars of usefulness overnight8 000万或1亿辆夜间有用的汽车
178That that's a profound thing like nothing like that has ever happened before there is no met.这是一件很深刻的事情, 像从来没有发生过一样 在没有遇见之前。
179There is no analogy that there's no没有比喻,没有比喻
180Nothing is there's never been something where a software update没有什么是从来没有什么 软件更新
181Increased the value of a gigantic asset base增加庞大资产基础的价值
182By a factor of like 500 to a thousand percent大约500到1000倍
183So it's very difficult for like, you know people in the stock market, especially those that look in the rear view mirror所以,这是非常困难的,喜欢,你知道的人 在股票市场, 特别是那些看到后视镜
184Which is most people大多数人
185To imagine a future where想象未来
186Suddenly a 10 million vehicle fleet has five to ten times the the usefulness突然,一千万辆汽车的功用 是五到十倍
187It's it's so profound and and there's there's no它是如此的深刻和 有没有
188Comparison with anything in the past that they just can't it does not compute but it will compute in the future与过去的一切比较,他们只是不能 计算,但它会计算在未来
189and some people like和一些人喜欢
190Kathy wood at our converse do see the future凯西的木头在我们交汇处 看到了未来
191So这么说
192What I'm saying is hang on to your stock我意思是,你还是留着你的股票吧
193So这么说
194Yeah, it's it's really是啊,这是真的
195It's mind-blowing让人心碎
196Then I want to give a shout out to service.然后我想大喊大叫为服务。
197So this is a tough job an important job这工作很辛苦,很重要
198And it's actually what?这其实是什么?
199sells cars long term长期出售汽车
200You know because the initial car is sold with sales, but all future cars are sold with service你知道,因为最初的汽车是随销售而出售的, 但未来所有的汽车都是随服务而出售的
201And还有
202I always encourage our service team like let's try to give people a service experience that they love我总是鼓励我们的服务团队 像让我们尝试给人们一个 他们喜欢的服务体验
203Not merely that like but that they love because people talk about something that they love that was an amazing experience不仅如此 而且他们爱别人 因为人们谈论自己爱的东西
204But they don't talk that much about things that they like you have to really do something amazing但他们不谈那么多 他们喜欢的东西,你必须做一些惊人的事情
205And then they'll talk about it and be like, wow, that's incredible.然后他们会谈论它 就像,哇,这是不可思议的。
206So thank you to the service team for the great job you do感谢服务团队的出色工作
207And I mean you can see sort of I like this sort of light map of superchargers我的意思是,你可以看到那种 我喜欢这种光 地图的超充电器
208You can see you can vote go practically anywhere in in the US你可以在美国任何地方投票
209Mexico Europe China中国
210Most well, I guess not the outback of Australia好吧,我想不是澳大利亚的后援
211But but you know most of the place where people live但你知道人们住的地方
212So这么说
213Our supercharged network continues to grow significantly我们的超级充电网络继续大幅增长
214And we keep upgrading our superchargers我们不断升级超充电器
215This is in fact事实上
216Still running to a lot of people who don't realize that you can drive you take your Tesla on a road trip anywhere in America仍然跑向很多人 谁不知道 你可以开车 你带你的特斯拉 公路旅行在美国任何地方
217Or anywhere in Europe anywhere pretty much anywhere in China或者欧洲的任何地方 中国的任何地方
218Just using the Tesla supercharger network, and it's actually easy and convenient使用特斯拉超充电网络 其实很方便
219So people think that they're whatever the range of the car is that's as far as they can go所以,人们觉得他们是 汽车范围是,这是他们可以走的
220It's like no you just stop at a supercharger network.就像你只是停在超充电网络上一样
221The cars battery will last longer than your bladder.汽车电池会比你的膀胱长
222I'm pretty confident我相当自信
223So that's really the threshold所以,这是真正的门槛
224As long as the car battery lasts longer than your bladder and you just plug it in只要汽车电池持续时间比你的膀胱长 你就插进去
225when you go to the restroom and you come back and you know grab a coffee or whatever and当你去洗手间,你回来 你知道拿杯咖啡或什么的,
226You're back on the road and everything's good.你回到了路上,一切都好起来。
227Then that that's the range that matters and the supercharging speed that matters这才是最重要的范围 也是超充电速度
228so这样
229Yeah, so congrats to the supercharged team on on expanding that work do great great work there so是啊,所以恭喜 超级充电团队 关于扩大 工作在那里做伟大的工作 所以
230And then the I mean the mega pack and Powerwall team are really knocking it out of the park the demand for然后,我的意思是巨型包 和Powerwall团队 真的敲出公园的需求
231That for stationary battery storage is gigantic, and I think that is actually only going to increase dramatically over time so对于固定电池的存储量是巨大的, 我认为这实际上只会随着时间推移而急剧增加。
232And that the we've got the Shanghai mega factory.还有上海巨型工厂
233That's a got started in record time in February这是2月份创纪录时间开始的
234Congrats to the Shanghai factory team there.向那里的上海工厂队表示祝贺.
235That's awesome好厉害
236And the Powerwall 3 is it usually take it usually takes about three major电墙3通常需要3个大项
237technology iterations to for the product to be great技术迭代使产品成为伟大的
238And the Powerwall 3 really is a fantastic home energy product电墙3真的是很棒的家庭能源产品
239And it's something that if you want to have ensure that your home has uninterrupted power during a power outage如果你想在停电期间 保证家里的电源不间断
240The Powerwall 3 is the way to go电墙3是前进之路
241And if you combine that with solar you can basically be off-grid.如果你把它和太阳结合起来, 你基本上可以离网。
242Just pretty cool不错
243But I think just having energy insurance like like being or energy assurance such that if the utility goes down但我认为只要有能源保险 就像是,或者能源保证 这样,如果公用事业下降
244You don't even notice you like the lights are on in your house, and your neighbors will come to you for help basically你根本没注意到你家的灯亮着 你的邻居会来找你帮忙
245That's actually what happens when somebody has a Tesla Powerwall这就是当有人有特斯拉电墙时会发生的
246And there's a power outage, so还有停电,所以...
247That's it.就这样
248That's a great product这是很棒的产品
249and和
250then yeah mega pack especially at the utility scale is that the opportunity there is gigantic because it enables a utility grid to特别是公用电网规模的大型电网 是个巨大的机遇 因为它使公用电网能够
251dramatically increase the output of electricity because you can you can generate electricity at night and then mega pack大幅提高电力输出,因为你可以在夜间发电,然后是巨型包
252Can provide that electricity during the day?白天能提供电吗?
253Because normal electricity demand is very uneven因为正常的电力需求很不平衡
254There's a lot of electricity usage during the day, but limited at night, so白天用电很多,但晚上有限,所以
255Mega pack actually has the potential to increase the output of an existing巨型包实际上有潜力增加 现有的输出
256electricity grid by more than double电网增加一倍以上
257So you can actually without building additional power plants double the total output of energy in a year所以,你实际上可以不 建造额外的电厂 发电总输出的两倍 在一年
258So it's quite a profound thing所以,这是相当深刻的事情
259Yeah, so mega pack is是啊,所以巨型包是
260Also really good at stabilizing the grid, so if there's if there's variations in power in the grid而且非常善于稳定电网 所以如果电网的电源有变化
261The mega pack can absorb巨型包可以吸收
262If there's a big power spike and it can absorb and store the power and then if there's a drop in power如果有大功率猛增,可以吸收和储存功率,如果功率下降
263It can fill in the gap, so it's mega pack is excellent for它可以填补空白,所以它的巨型包是很好的
264stabilizing grid and稳定电网和
265obviously good it当然好
266Matches very well with wind and solar与风和太阳很吻合
267in fact其实
268satellites are just卫星只是
269Solar panels and a battery that's that's how all satellites work太阳能电池板和电池 卫星就是这样工作的
270And so you know with the starlink satellite network there's 7,000 satellites orbiting the earth and all they use is is因此你知道星际链接卫星网络 有7000颗卫星环绕地球运行 它们使用的唯一就是
271Solar panels and a battery and my prediction is long term a majority of power on earth in fact太阳能电池板 我的预测是 地球上大部分的电源
272eventually最终
273It might be like 90% or more of all power on earth will be solar panels with batteries地球上90%或更多的电力 将会是太阳能电池板
274That's my prediction my predictions have pretty good track record这就是我的预测 我的预测有相当良好的记录
275So yeah对
276And the the power walls can also act as kind of a virtual grid电墙也可以起到虚拟电网的作用
277So if you have thousands of power walls in a neighborhood they can actually work work in concert to stabilize the grid如果你在附近有上千个电墙 他们可以协同工作 稳定电网
278The b4 supercharger is pretty coolB4超充电器很酷
279It enables它能够
280charging at 500 kilowatts and the semi can charge at 1.2 megawatts充电500千瓦,半能充电1.2兆瓦
281So it's and it's smaller and lighter.所以它和它的较小和轻。
282It's a big improvement overall总体来说是大进步
283And we're rolling this out worldwide, so it will increase charging speeds我们在全世界推广,这样可以提高充电速度
284And yeah, just enable you to get your car charged really fast对,只要能让你的车快速充电
285And then with regard to cell manufacturing然后在电池制造方面
286We were at this point.我们当时是
287We think we're我们认为我们
288making the制作
289the most efficient最有效的
290Cell in the world meaning like the the lowest cost per kilowatt hour世界上的电池就像每千瓦小时最低的成本
291cell so单元格
292Which is really pretty pretty good like there are entire companies that all they do is make这真的相当不错 就像有 整个公司 他们做的只是
293lithium ion battery cells and锂离子电池和
294for us, that's对我们来说,这就是
295one of many things that we do so我们做的很多事情之一
296Congratulations to the cell team on making the best cell恭喜细胞团队打造最佳细胞
297So that's that's really big deal所以,这是真正的大问题
298and和
299Then we're we're also investing in the whole battery supply chain so we have然后我们还在投资整个电池供应链 所以我们有
300Cathode production we have lithium refiningCathode的生产,我们有锂精炼
301and和
302and then more还有更多
303Yeah, hopefully we're sort of hoping someone else will do the the anode we might have to do the anode是啊,希望我们有种希望 别人会做阳极 我们可能不得不做阳极
304I hope someone else does it.我希望别人会这么做
305Why do we have to do all these things?我们为什么要做这些事?
306Yeah, a lot of people think like we do this thing a lot of these things because we want to but是啊,很多人认为我们做这件事情 很多这样的事情,因为我们想 但是,
307Really, it's often just because we didn't have any choice.真的,这常常只是因为我们没有任何选择。
308Nobody else was doing it.没有人这样做。
309So we had to do it.所以我们不得不这样做。
310So这么说
311So a lot of new factory milestones.所以有很多新的工厂里程碑。
312So in Berlin, we've produced所以在柏林,我们已经生产
313660,000个驱动装置 Fremont.
314We built our first optimist at the我们建造了第一个乐观主义者
315Optimist production line in Fremont弗雷蒙的优化生产线
316我们准备在Gigafactory、奥斯汀和
317Gigafactory Shanghai created its three millionth car上海发明了三百万辆汽车
318We've produced 160,000我们已经生产了16万
319纽约Gigafactory的Naxx适配器 内华达Gigafactory的电池包生产记录
320So congrats to everyone恭喜你们大家
321We also just behind us in the on the south side of the building.我们还在大楼南侧的后面
322We have我们有
323The Tesla we're called Cortex one.特斯拉号,我们叫柯特斯号
324It's like basically a giant brain computer brain这就像一个巨大的大脑计算机大脑
325that is used for用于
326AI training so it's we take the vast amounts of video that we get from all the cars in the fleet and we use thatAI训练,所以我们取 大量视频,我们从所有汽车 从我们得到,我们使用
327to train the artificial intelligence to be able to drive the car and训练人工智能 能够驾驶汽车和
328And this is one of the most powerful这是最强大的
329training systems in the world with over 50,000世界上50 000多个培训系统
330GPUs active and soon to be a hundred thousand GPUs, which will make itGPU活动很快就会变成10万GPU,这样就可以了
331I think probably top five in the world in training centers我想也许在训练中心世界前五名
332We're also making continuing to make progress on our dojo training super supercomputer.我们也在继续推进我们的道场训练超级计算机.
333So we've got to dojo one┮и眔暗Ω
334现在活跃在Gigafactory,纽约和Palo Alto,它正在积极工作
335it's actually taking load on it's it's it's它实际上是在负载它,它是它
336It's doing a meaningful percentage.它正在做一个有意义的百分比。
337Well, I guess five percent or whatever嗯,我想5%或什么的
338but it's still something five maybe approaching ten percent of the training load of但还是有五分之一的训练负荷
339Of the self-driving AI is being done by dojo在自驾的AI中,由道场完成
340and then we've got dojo two that's然后我们有了二号道场
341coming down the line that'll be probably ten times better than dojo one and下线 可能比道场好十倍
342So it's sort of exciting.所以这有点令人兴奋。
343We're making good progress with dojo.道场上进展顺利.
344I'mи琌
345Increasingly optimistic about the future of dojo.对道场未来越来越乐观.
346I think it's we got a real shot here at at a breakthrough我觉得我们真的有突破的机会
347so congrats to the dojo team and向道场队表示祝贺
348the联合国
349all Tesla vehicles have now had所有特斯拉车辆现在都有了
350What we call autopilot hardware for or really our AI for hardware and it's it's really it's very powerful我们所说的自动驾驶硬件 或真正的我们的AI硬件, 它真的是非常强大
351AI inference computer and but also at operates a very low power and even to this day even though this was aAI推论计算机,但是在操作中 功率非常低,甚至直到今天
352This has been something we designed several years ago这是我们几年前设计的
353There actually isn't anything on the market that we can buy that is better than AI for其实市面上没有任何东西可以买到 比AI更好的
354So and obviously in the future years, we'll have AI of AI 5 and AI 6因此,显然在未来的几年里,我们将会有AI 5和AI 6
355So nice people say should I wait I'm like, well, we're always gonna have another version这么好的人说,我应该等待 我喜欢,嗯,我们总是会有一个版本
356So there's no point in waiting because we're waiting forever所以,没有意义等待,因为我们永远等待
357so这样
358But we obviously will have an AI 5 and an AI 6 or an AI 7 and we'll keep improving the the AI compute但我们显然会有一个AI 5和AI 6或AI 7 我们将不断改进AI计算
359So for those out there that are interested in developing advanced chips come work at Tesla所以对于那些对开发先进芯片有兴趣的人来说 来特斯拉工作
360and it is always I think我总觉得
361Profound to watch our cars driving with no one in them and看着我们的车开着 里面没人
362We actually have the cars doing useful work for the first time with no one in them, which I think is really it's a significant milestone我们的车第一次在无人驾驶的情况下 做了有用的工作 我认为这真的是一个重要的里程碑
363So the cars are driving from end-of-line in Fremont to park themselves所以汽车从弗莱蒙的终点开来停车
364And I think we've just started doing that here in in Austin.我认为我们刚刚开始 在奥斯汀做。
365So we'll be所以我们是
366Yeah, this car the car literally goes from end of line是啊,这辆车 车从字面上走 从一端
367In Fremont to to its to its destination在佛莱蒙特到目的地
368parking spot where it gets picked up by a truck for delivery to a customer with and it good does that with no one in it and在停车场,它被卡车捡到 交付给一个客户 它做得很好,没有任何人在里面,
369It's not doing that all day every day like it, you know, pretty much like it's just a matter-of-fact thing.它不是整天都喜欢它, 你知道,几乎就像它只是一个事实的事情。
370Yeah, so对,所以
371see见
372Yeah, and obviously for anyone that's using it.是的,很明显,任何使用它的人。
373You can see the dramatic improvements in the你可以看到,在
374{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}在全程自驾车中 {\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}到现在
375Interventions are extremely rare and eventually I get to the point where there really is no need to intervene干预是极其罕见的,最终我到达了真正没有必要干预的地步
376Like the car is going to be better than human车会比人好
377In fact, maybe it's it's it's worth emphasizing that it's not that it's not that Tesla full self-driving will be equal to humans其实,也许值得强调的是,不是因为特斯拉完全的自驾车会和人类平等.
378In safety, it will be ultimately ten times safer than a human because it never gets tired.在安全方面,它最终会比人类安全十倍,因为它永远不会疲惫.
379It doesn't you know这你不知道
380It like humans get tired and don't always get wasted, you know就像人类疲惫,不总是浪费
381and和
382We'll have arguments or change the radio or you know我们要吵架或换收音机
383Text I know no one in this audience would ever text while driving.我知道在座观众中没有人会在开车时发短信。
384That'd be crazy那太疯狂了
385But you know that does happen但你知道这确实会发生
386so if因此,如果
387so the reality is that所以现实是
388the full soft Tesla full self-driving will be完全柔软的特斯拉 完全的自驾将是
389Vastly safer than humans not just equivalent.远比人类安全 不仅仅是同等的
390We actually vastly safer我们其实安全得多
391And it means you can do whatever you want while driving意思是开车时可以做你想做的事
392So even if you don't like rent your car out for usage you can still it frees up your time所以即使你不喜欢把车租出去用 你也可以腾出时间
393So if let's say you're driving 10 12 hours a week or more it gives you back 10 to 12 hours of your life所以如果说你一周开车10个12小时或更长时间 就能回到你生命的10到12小时
394extremely cool, so超级酷,所以
395Well optimus sure has come a long way好极了,真有前途啊
396so the new optimus a 22 degree of freedom hand and因此,新的选择 22度的自由手和
397forearm is now in production前臂现在在生产
398and和
399It's learning to walk and catch balls.它正在学习走路和捕捉球。
400It's pretty cool.这很酷。
401I mean look at that's where we came from.我的意思是,看看这是我们从哪里来的。
402It's wild这太疯狂了
403so in a very short period of time所以在很短的时间内
404Optimus has gone from being an idea to the most sophisticated humanoid robot on earthOptimus已经从一个想法 变成了地球上最先进的人造机器人
405there's nothing there's nothing even close to the level of sophistication of of optimus and没有什么甚至接近 精密水平的Otimus和
406And Tesla has some important missing ingredients that others don't have which is特斯拉有一些重要的缺失成分 其他人没有
407Our robot has a real brain我们的机器人有真正的大脑
408It's like the Wizard of Oz 10 man, but was that a heart or a brain one of the two这就像绿野仙踪10人, 但是一个心脏或大脑之一
409so这样
410It's got a it's got the it's got the real-world AI so it tells us the leader in real-world AI它有它有它有真实世界的AI 所以它告诉我们在真实世界的AI的领导者
411What we learned in the car we translate to the optimus robot我们在车里学到的,我们翻译给Otimus机器人
412And we also try to take the our expertise in electric motors in batteries power electronics我们还试图利用我们在电动机方面 在电池动力电子方面的专长
413Structural design and then another major important thing is that we're very good at manufacturing结构设计,然后另一个重要的事情是 我们非常擅长制造
414So in order for robots to be useful that you have to they have to be that be intelligent所以为了使机器人有用,你必须让他们聪明
415They have to be able to do useful things just by asking and you have to be able to make a large number of them他们必须能够做有用的事情 只要问,你必须能够 制造大量的
416At an affordable price.以负担得起的价格。
417This is what we can do这是我们可以做的
418We have the only company with all the ingredients for making我们只有一家公司 配制所有原料
419intelligent humanoid robots at scale is Tesla智能人造机器人的规模是Tesla
420This is a super big deal这真是件大事
421like my prediction is that on this front is that就像我的预言是,在这个前线
422Optimus will be the biggest product of all time by farOptimus将是有史以来最大的产品
423Nothing will even be close.没有什么会是甚至接近。
424It'll be I think it'll be ten times bigger than the next biggest product ever made我想比下一个大产品大十倍
425like that level像这样
426so这样
427All right, so with that好吧,这样的话
428Anybody have any questions?有人要问吗?
429Hey, congratulations.嘿,祝贺你。
430Thank you谢谢
431Cool, and we're rocket castings.酷,我们是火箭铸造厂。
432We do没错
433Yeah对
434well不错
435We do want to make we want to scale up production to new heights我们确实想把产量提高到新的高度
436Obviously with with the cyber cab, you know, we're gonna be cyber cab is it's not just revolutionary car design.很明显,用电脑计程车, 你知道,我们要去 电脑计程车,因为它不仅仅是革命汽车设计。
437It's also a revolutionary也是个革命家
438Manufacturing process so I guess we probably don't talk about that enough制造过程,我想我们可能谈得不够
439But if you've seen但如果你见过
440The design of the cyber cab line, it doesn't look like a normal car网络出租车线路的设计,看起来不像普通车
441manufacturing line制造线
442it looks like a really high-speed consumer electronics line, it's a它看起来像一个真正的高速 消费电子线路,这是一个
443In fact, the line will move so fast that you that actually people can't even get close to it事实上,线会移动这么快,以至于实际上人们甚至无法接近它
444Like that's you know, I think it's it'll be able to produce a car碞钩笵妓и稱硂穦Τ进ó
445ultimately in less than five seconds最终不到5秒
446Like can you imagine a car coming offline in less than five seconds?你能想象一辆车在不到5秒内下线吗?
447That's that's like whoa, which which means castings got to happen fast这就像哇, 这意味着铸造必须发生快
448Yeah, yeah对,对
449So we got we got to jam the liquid metal in cool it down real fast所以我们得把液态金属堵住 冷却得很快
450like real fast and喜欢真正的快速和
451Then I guess maybe we need to like just get even bigger casting machines我想也许我们该买更大的铸造机
452Sure, why not?当然,为什么不呢?
453You know down.你知道下来。
454Yeah, let's是啊,让我们
45550,000 tons5万吨
456You know你知道吗
457Because like then we can make with in a single casting machine.因为像那样,我们可以用单台铸造机制造。
458We could do like five at a time or something我们可以一次做五个什么的
459You know你知道吗
460Trying to think like how do you scale castings because because the you got liquid metal metals got a cool试着思考如何进行铸造 因为有液态金属金属
461And then you've got automate, you know getting all the bits and pieces off the casting so it's usable然后,你得到了自动化,你知道 把所有的比特和块 从铸件,所以它是有用的
462and和
463That's actually kind of how they do it in like small volume castings这其实是他们如何做 像小量的铸造
464Like do have a casting block that'll make like, you know, a hundred matchbox cars at a time就像有一个铸造区块,会像,你知道, 一百辆火柴盒汽车一次
465And we just make that a real big而我们只是使一个真正的大
466Yeah, I mean we have the Cathedral of Casting back there so是的,我的意思是,我们有 卡斯廷大教堂回到那里,所以
467Yeah, let's do that.是啊,让我们做到这一点。
468I mean like let's let's see what what is the limit of what is the limit of physics of how big?我的意思是,让我们来看看什么是极限 物理的极限 多大?
469Can a casting machine be?铸造机可以吗?
470Let's find out让我们看看
471I'm gay.我是同性恋。
472I'm down我下来了
473Let's have some let's have some fun here push the limits of technology我们来玩玩吧 推技术的极限
474All right好吧,我们走
475Hi, Ilan.嗨,伊兰。
476I've been with Tesla for the last eight years我和特斯拉在一起已经八年了
477It has been the most exhilarating eight years of my career and truly want to thank you for your leadership这是我职业生涯中最激动人心的八年了,真的想感谢你的领导
478I also have to thank you for your contribution.我还感谢你的贡献。
479Thank you.谢谢
480Thank you for your leadership谢谢你的领导
481I also have two little girls who spend their weekends cruising around and they're very awesome我还有两个小姑娘 周末到处逛逛 她们很棒
482y车.
483Oh, I'd love to know when we can add optimists to the family.哦,我想知道我们什么时候能给家庭增添乐观主义者。
484Oh, yeah, it's a good question.哦,是的,这是一个很好的问题。
485So这么说
486So this year we hopefully we'll be able to make about所以今年我们希望能...
4875,000 optimists robots we're technically5000个乐观的机器人,我们技术上是
488We're aiming for enough parts to make 10,000 maybe 12,000我们的目标是有足够的零件 使1万或1万2千
489But since it's a totally new product with totally new, you know, like everything is totally new但是,由于这是一个全新的产品 与全新的,你知道的, 像一切都是全新的
490I'll say like we're succeeding if we get to half of the tenth, you know half the 10,000 now我会说,我们正成功 如果我们得到一半的第十, 你知道一半的一万现在
491But even 5,000 robots that that's just that's the size of a Roman legion但是,即使是5000个机器人, 这仅仅是一个罗马军团的规模
492Fi which is like a little scary thought like a whole legion of robots.Fi,这就像一个有点恐怖的想法 像一个整群机器人。
493I'd be like, whoa.我会喜欢,哇。
494Yeah对
495But I think I think we will literally build a legion at least one legion of robots this year但我想我们今年至少要建造一支机器人军团
496and和
497Then probably ten legions next year and that's kind of a cool unit, you know明年大概有10个军团 挺酷的
498units of legion军团单位
499So probably 50,000 ish next year明年大概五万块
500And then it's probably ready for to I'm hopefully ready for optimists to be used outside of Tesla然后,它可能已经准备好 我希望能准备好 乐观主义者被使用 在特斯拉之外
501Controlled environment or maybe around the middle of next year second half of next year sometime控制了环境,或者在明年中左右 下半年的某个时候
502So这么说
503So that's I think that's probably sounds about right probably所以,我想这听起来可能是正确的
504Second half of next year is when they'll be available and then we will offer optimist robots first to明年的下半年是他们什么时候有空 然后我们先提供乐观机器人
505Tesla employees特斯拉雇员
506So you guys get所以,你们得到
507the priority优先级
508There are some pluses and minuses to that, you know有一些优缺点,你知道的
509Because it's probably have a few bugs but因为它可能有一些错误,但
510But it's gonna be very cool但它会非常酷
511You definitely you'll want to invite your friends over and say check this out你一定会想邀请你的朋友过来 说看这个
512so这样
513That's the other questions这是其他的问题
514Hi, Ilan.嗨,伊兰。
515Hey, my name is Dom.嘿,我的名字是多姆。
516I've been here for a little over a year now.我在这里已经一年多了
517I一、导 言
518Work in people development.做好人才培养工作.
519Okay, we try to we make so many amazing things right now.好吧,我们尝试 我们做了这么多惊人的东西 现在。
520It's still the people that do it还是别人干的
521Yes, when we think about applying first principles to the relationships and the teams that people have是的,当我们考虑把第一原则 应用到人们的关系和团队
522How would you encourage us to think about that and act on those first principles when it comes to relationships and teams?在关系和团队方面,你将如何鼓励我们考虑这个问题,并根据这些首要原则采取行动?
523hmm垛
524Well, I think you know, there are actually quite a few things I've written over the years嗯,我想你知道, 其实有一些事情 我写了这么多年
525That it would be good to compile into like a I don't know booklet or something最好能编成我不认识的小册子什么的
526Because I actually have to be reminded of those things myself and I'm like因为实际上我不得不被提醒 的东西我自己,我就像
527Oh, you remember that thing that I thought of after making so many mistakes and and trying to make fewer mistakes哦,你还记得那个东西,我曾经想过 做这么多错误和尝试 做更少的错误
528So, you know, there's like for example at like所以,你知道,有 喜欢比如说,
529five step process of like make the requirements less dumb and then try to delete the5个步骤的过程,比如让要求变得不那么笨,然后尝试删除
530Process step only then optimize only then speed it up and only the fifth thing is automate过程步骤,然后优化,然后加速,只有第五件事是自动化的
531I have to repeat that to myself many times because I've made that mistake of doing it backwards so many times我不得不对自己重复多次 因为我犯过那种错误
532and和
533You know, I think你知道吗,我想
534Always operating on the principle that everyone is wrong to some degree总是遵循每个人都有错的原则
535And we should aspire to be less wrong而我们应该渴望少点错误
536Over time which will not always succeed in doing随着时间的推移,不会总是成功的
537but if you know if但是,如果你知道,如果
538Two days out of three, you're less wrong over time.三天后,你就不会犯错
539You're gonna be your batting average is gonna be really good你会成为你打球的平均水平 会是非常好的
540So never nobody ever bats a thousand, but you can improve your batting average所以从来没有人打过一千, 但你可以提高你的打球平均水平
541So I think rigorous所以我觉得很严格
542You know you want to critique yourself you want to internalize responsibility你知道你想批评自己 你想把责任内部化
543And these are all things I need to remind myself of you know, just be clear I'm not like suggesting I这些都是所有的事情,我需要提醒自己 你知道,只是要清楚,我不喜欢暗示我
544Internalize responsibility责任内部化
545Be less wrong and少说错话
546And we should remember what we should remember what is our what is our goal as a company our goal is to make amazing products我们应该记住我们该记住什么 我们的目标是什么作为一个公司 我们的目标是制造惊人的产品
547That people love and then to take care of those products service.人们喜欢,然后照顾那些产品服务。
548So we should say what are we doing to make our products?所以我们应该说,我们在做什么做我们的产品?
549Better to make them more affordable最好让他们更负担得起
550To have the customer experience be delightful让顾客体验愉快
551Because that's actually the purpose of a company因为那是公司的目的
552Sometimes people get why does a company exist a company exists?有时人们会知道为什么公司存在?
553It's a group of people collected together to produce a compelling product or service一群人聚集在一起 生产有说服力的产品或服务
554that others find其他人发现
555useful and where the value of the product and service is产品和服务的价值
556Greater than the cost of what it took to make that product or service比制造这种产品或服务的成本还要高
557So sometimes weirdly profit is like viewed negatively因此,有时奇怪的利润 就像负面看待
558But really profit is is is just the the the difference in value between the output and the input但真正的利润就是产出和输入值的差别
559It's like what did it cost you to make it and what did it cost you and what are people prepared to pay for it?就像你付出了多少代价,你付出了多少代价,人们准备付出什么代价?
560That's the value that you've created这就是你创造的价值
561so这样
562It's tough actually even to maintain like a 10% profitability which is to make that make the保持10%的利润率 很难做到
563Output 10% more valuable than the input.产出比输入值高10%。
564It's actually quite hard, especially in the car industry, which is very competitive其实很困难,尤其是在汽车行业,很有竞争力
565So we're just not lose sight of like why are we here?所以,我们只是没有失去 像我们为什么在这里?
566We're here to make useful products that people love, you know and我们是来做人们喜欢的有用产品的
567And take care of the cake take care of over time照顾好蛋糕 照顾好时间
568So then how we're doing in that respect and how can we do that better?那么,我们在这方面是如何做的,我们如何能够做得更好?
569What advice would you give a young person like get into the stock market like oh, huh stock advice?你会给一个年轻人什么建议 像进入股票市场一样?
570Wow, sir.哇,长官
571Yes, sir是,长官
572As I think people can can perhaps tell who are watching this these these these questions are not prepared in advance我想人们也许可以知道谁在看这些 这些问题是事先没有准备好的
573This is literally random questions from the crowd to be which is cool.这其实是来自人群的随机问题 才很酷
574I actually I'm fine with that其实我没事
575And and I think that我觉得
576it's gonna sound very very straightforward, but you want to really听起来非常直截了当 但你真的想
577Buy stock and companies where you think the the products that that company makes will be better in the future买股票和公司,你认为公司的产品 将来会更好
578Like like are they get is that company gonna make more and better products?就像他们得到的一样 那家公司会生产更多更好的产品吗?
579Or like do you love the products that that company makes and are they gonna keep doing that and and或者说,你喜欢那家公司制作的产品 他们还会继续做,而且
580like I think tells it as I've just gone through Tesla is gonna is has made has a track record of having made many great就像我刚通过特斯拉的考试时 说的一样 已经取得了很多成就
581products and we're gonna make many more future great products and产品,我们会做 更多的未来伟大的产品和
582we're gonna scale up production and I think we've demonstrated a level of innovation that is我们将扩大生产规模 我认为我们已经展示了创新水平
583extremely rare I极罕见的I
584Mean certainly by far the most innovative company in the car industry like not even close type of thing当然是汽车业最有创意的公司 连近似的东西都没有
585so, you know所以,你知道吗
586Like I do think Tesla stock actually long I think long term with optimists and self-driving就像我认为特斯拉股票其实很长 我想长期与乐观主义者和自驾车
587Tesla will probably be the most valuable company in the world特斯拉可能是世界上最有价值的公司
588But there are also other companies out there that make great products and services但是,还有其他公司 在那里,制造伟大的产品和服务
589So I think that's the way you want to look at it所以我想这是你想看的方式
590Like do you do think this product because that's the reason not quite companies exist is to make great products and services就像你认为这个产品 是因为没有相当的公司 是制造伟大的产品和服务
591so if you think that the company is gonna improve over time then buy the stock and if you don't then don't and then所以如果你认为公司会随着时间而改善 然后买下股票 如果你不买,那就别买
592The stock market is it's a very strange thing.股票市场很怪异
593It's kind of like这有点像
594you know, I think it was Warren Buffett sort of我觉得是沃伦·巴菲特
595metaphor analogy is比喻类比是
596You know stock markets like having someone stand at the edge of your property or your house and and yell你知道股票市场 就像有人站在你家或你家的边缘
597prices about to buy buy or sell your house every day and每天买或卖你的房子的价格
598Like sometimes they take their meds and sometimes they don't you know就像有时吃药,有时不知道
599So sometimes the person所以有时候这个人
600Yelling about the price of your house is having a good day or and sometimes having a bad day争吵你房子的价钱 是好日子,有时是坏日子
601But it's still the same house.但还是同宅.
602You're like, I'm like this literally silly same house like你就像,我就像一个愚蠢的房子一样
603You know, so Tesla stock goes up and it goes down所以特斯拉的股票涨落了
604But actually it's still the same company但其实还是同一个公司
605It's just people's perception of the future.只是人们对未来的看法.
606I一、导 言
607Don't I guess it's just very emotional, you know, so难道我猜它只是 非常情绪化,你知道,所以
608But for me it like while it's difficult to predict how things will be from you know in the但对我来说,这就像 虽然很难预测 事情会如何 从你知道的
609Next day six to twelve months if you say like where will things be in three years or five years?第二天六到十二个月 如果你说三年或五年后会在哪里呢?
610The future of Tesla is incredibly bright特斯拉的未来非常光明
611Hi顿
612Yes对
613You say will the robot take your job or what?你说机器人会接受你的工作吗?
614That's a fair question well问得好
615so这样
616Yeah, like is a robot gonna come steal your job a reasonable question是啊,就像一个机器人 会来偷你的工作 一个合理的问题
617I think what what what we'll find with the robots is that the there'll be a ratio of people to robots我想我们发现的 机器人是 人和机器人的比例
618So you you'll effectively end up having所以,你将有效地结束
619managing a group of robots管理一组机器人
620so这样
621You know, you'll have like basically, I don't know your flock or your little group of robots that you take care of and and you你知道,你会有类似 基本上,我不知道你的羊群 或你的小群机器人 你照顾,你
622Tell them what to do告诉他们该怎么做
623and I页:1
624Don't know you'll have a little pack of robots basically不知道你基本上会有一群机器人
625Yeah, you're promoted to manager是啊,你升任经理
626One way to think of it一种方法来思考
627I think the same thing will be true of cars like so for the self-driving cars is that people that are say我认为,同样的事情 汽车是这样的 对于自驾车 是人们说
628You know uber drivers today or something like that or taxi drivers today will end up managing a fleet of你知道今天有 uber 司机或类似的东西 今天或出租车司机 最终会管理一个车队
629cars and汽车和
630And that'll be a much more effective use of that time那样会更有效地利用那个时间
631You know just taking care of like 10 20 cars or however many they can take care of你知道,只是照顾 像1020辆汽车或 多少他们可以照顾
632Hello, my name is Adrian你好,我的名字是阿德里安。
633You said that your companies are made to你说你的公司是被迫的
634Make products people love.让人们喜欢的产品。
635Yeah, have you ever thought of airplanes or trains?你有没有想过飞机或火车?
636Yeah, I mean, I'd love I'd actually love to make airplanes especially是啊,我的意思是,我喜欢 我真的喜欢制造飞机 尤其是
637but不过
638stretch pretty thin so伸得相当细 所以
639I've like我喜欢
64017 jobs17个工作
641At this point I just go to sleep work go to sleep work and then do that seven days a week pretty much这时候,我只去睡觉工作 去睡觉工作 然后做每周七天
642They'll say like where do you go on vacation?他们会说你去度假吗?
643I'm like, what's that?我像,这是什么?
644You know你知道吗
645But I guess I like being productive.但我想我喜欢生产
646I like getting things done.我喜欢把事情办好
647So这么说
648I guess I could choose to be like on an island somewhere sipping a Mai Tai, you know我想我可以选择像在小岛上 喝着麦台酒一样
649with与
650Attractive people in bikinis and stuff穿比基尼之类的有吸引力的人
651Why wait?为什么等?
652Why am I not doing that?为什么我不这样做?
653What?你说什么?
654What a fool I've been我真是个傻瓜
655So这么说
656Yeah对
657I've actually thought about aircraft designs for a long time我考虑飞机设计很久了
658And I think there's an interesting opportunity to make like an electric supersonic我觉得有个有趣的机会 来制造电动超音速
659VTOL喷气机
660You know the VTOLs like cherry on the cake, but certainly你知道VTOLs喜欢蛋糕上的樱桃 但当然
661Electric electric long-range fast electric airplane would be very cool电动长程电动飞机会很酷的
662Yeah, you know, maybe at some point we'll do that是啊,你知道,也许在某些时候,我们会做到这一点
663Yeah, that'd be kind of fun是啊,这将是一种乐趣
664We do have the ingredients for it so我们确实有它的成分
665And then there is the potential for然后有潜力
666Yeah, we're like thinking like pretty far into the future here of是啊,我们就像想 相当远的未来在这里
667Not a not a conventional train, but that sort of hyperloop essentially不是普通的列车,而是那种超快的
668Vacuum tunnels like tunnels where you draw a vacuum so there's no air resistance真空隧道像隧道一样 在那里你画真空 所以没有空气阻力
669and you have而你已经
670very high-speed非常高速
671autonomous自动
672Electric pods in a vacuum tube a vacuum tunnel真空管中的电舱 真空隧道
673That would allow you to go from city center to city center much faster than any airplane could possibly go那样你就能从市中心飞到市中心 比任何飞机都快得多
674because going into the into the因为进入
675An underground vacuum tunnel would it be like teleporting to super high altitude effectively地下真空隧道就像传送到高空
676Which no plane could do and then?没有飞机能做什么?
677It could deliver you right to the center of a city它能把你送到城市的中心
678and和
679That I don't maybe that's some future collaboration with the boring company and Tesla我可能不会跟无聊的公司和Tesla合作
680I got a million ideas the ideas are I had more ideas than I know what to do with我有一百万个想法 想法是,我有 更多的想法,比我知道该怎么办
681Ideas are kind of the easy part execution is the hard part as they say it's 1% inspiration 99% perspiration意思是容易执行的部分是困难的 因为他们说这是1%的灵感 99%的呼吸
682work in manufacturing engineering since制造业工程
6832018 I've done a bunch of different things here kind of like energy products model 3 model Y2018年,我在这里做了很多不同的事情 比如能源产品模型3模型Y
684cyber and now we're looking forward to现在,我们期待
685Optimists, maybe the biggest product ever.乐观主义者,也许是有史以来最大的产品.
686Yeah对
687It will be and I think about the the mission statement of the company and it's evolved这将是,我想到 公司的任务说明 它的发展
688It used to be a sustainable transportation then sustainable energy.它曾经是可持续的运输,然后是可持续能源。
689Is it going to evolve again?它会再进化吗?
690Are we going to reformulate that officially?我们是不是要正式重订?
691To kind of explain to the world better about how向世界解释一下
692Optimist and AI folds into the rest of the fabric of the company.乐观主义者和AI折叠到公司的其他结构中.
693Yeah, I mean I touched on this briefly earlier是啊,我的意思是,我碰了一下这个 早些时候
694But you're right that I think we do need to articulate it但你是对的,我认为我们确实需要阐明
695more prominently and maybe more often更突出,也许更频繁
696Because it's really about sustainable abundance因为它真的是关于 可持续丰产
697You know, can we have a future of abundance for all that is also sustainable and compatible with?你知道,我们能有一个富足的未来 对于所有也是可持续和兼容的?
698With nature, so we're not destroying nature, but would you also get abundance for everyone on earth?大自然,所以我们不是在破坏大自然, 但你也会为地球上的每一个人获得丰厚的财富吗?
699Sounds like the best possible future.听起来是最好的未来。
700That's what we're trying to do.令诸众生.
701Yeah对
702Yes, sir.是 长官
703My name is Aaron Armstrong我叫亚伦·阿姆斯特朗
704It's not every day that you get to be in the presence of somebody that's accumulated so much wealth and success不是每天都有这样的人 积累这么多的财富和成功
705So I just wanted to take this opportunity to ask for any所以我想利用这个机会 要求任何
706Wisdoms or secrets that you may have to offer about this game of life that we're all trying to play智慧或秘密,你可能要提供 关于这个游戏的生命,我们都试图玩
707Sure.当然
708I mean I try to tell it's say everything that I know我的意思是,我试着告诉它 说的一切我知道
709Well admittedly sometimes I'm you know, like I posted on X我承认有时候我会像贴在X上一样
710I guess should I ask the AI to look through all of my X posts and我想我应该请人工智能 查看我所有的X帖子和
711Pick out the ones that are really good挑那些真的不错的
712Because I try to say any you know, good ideas that I have I try to post them因为我想说任何你知道, 好主意,我有 我试图张贴
713Yeah, I think generally it's good to always be be curious是啊,我觉得一般来说 总是好奇是件好事
714and to转至
715you know to read widely like你知道读得像
716Now read read a lot of interesting books, especially history.现在读了很多有趣的书,特别是历史.
717I find history really interesting我觉得历史很有趣
718and和
719I find like biographies and autobiographies我发现像传记和自传
720To be also very interesting也是个有趣的人
721You know, it's what it's I think it's good to read especially autobiographies你知道,这就是它是什么 我认为它很好阅读 特别是自传
722Where like, you know, somebody has done something incredible and they wrote the they wrote the book themselves or mostly themselves比如说,有人做了一些不可思议的事 他们自己或大多自己写书
723That'll give you a lot of ideas那会给你很多想法
724and和
725I mean something that I do is I'll get audio books我的意思是,我做的是 我会得到音频书籍
726because I got like so much going on in my mind when I it's kind of hard to go to sleep because it's like having a因为我脑子里有太多事了 当我睡不着时
727Computer browser with like a hundred tabs open.电脑浏览器有一百个标签
728That's by the end of the day.即是终日.
729I got like a hundred tabs open我好像开了一百个标签
730It's like I gotta close this browser, you know就像我必须关闭这个浏览器,你知道的
731That's my brain is my brain我的大脑是我的大脑
732So then I'll listen to an audiobook and I'll put it on a timer and it's like 15 minutes所以,然后我会听一个音频本 我把它放在计时器上,就像15分钟
733It's like being like being read a bedtime story by your phone就像在电话里读睡前故事一样
734so podcasts and所以播客们,
735and audiobooks和声库
736Especially during at bedtime or I find her great特别是在睡觉的时候 或者我发现她很棒
737Or yeah, sure当然
738Sorry, I can't hear you.对不起,我听不见
739Oh瓳
740There's a there's a city in South Texas, which is Starbase.南德克萨斯州有一座城市,即星垒.
741So it's a city for所以,这是一个城市
742It's effective cities may be这也许是有效的城市
743sound makes it sound bigger than it is, but it is it's it's a really a声音让它的声音比它更大,但它是一个真正的
744A small town plus a giant rocket factory一个小镇和一个巨大的火箭工厂
745That's Starbase那是星垒
746And it's yeah, South Texas and Starbase, Texas right by the Rio Grande and you can just literally drive there是的,南德克萨斯和星垒,德克萨斯州 就在里奥格兰德旁边 你可以开车去那里
747Because it's on the like a state highway因为它就像一条州高速公路
748So you just drive through it check it out你只要开过去看看
749So I所以说
750Do own a piece of property that's just across the river拥有一块地产,就在河对面
751That's kind of cool.这很酷
752It used to be like a like a horse以前像匹马
753place like where they would give horse riding lessons stuff and在那里他们会给马骑课的东西
754At some point, I think it would be cool to I want to do like this在某些时候,我觉得这样会很酷
755gigantic art project there that's like a巨大的艺术项目,就像一个
756Looks like an alien planet看起来像是外星人
757like right across the river就像在河对岸
758but but like that people can visit, you know, so但是,就像人们可以访问, 你知道,所以
759Then I might like live there occasionally, but really it's a place to我可能偶尔会住在那里, 但实际上这是一个地方
760Like I don't know to envision sort of an alien planet art project across the river就像我不知道设想 某种外星行星的艺术项目 跨过河流
761They're kind of cool他们挺酷的
762Yeah对
763Do we see proceed Tesla making a product that helps how we spend money?我们是否看到特斯拉制作的产品 能帮助我们花钱?
764Well, I think the AI is gonna help us spend money better我觉得人工智能能帮助我们更好地花钱
765It's kind of amazing, you know what AI can do these days and if anyone here has used a grok这有点不可思议,你知道AI能做什么 这些天,如果有人在这里用杂草
766But it's pretty cool不过这很酷
767Grok voice can be really pretty great too.格鲁克的声音也不错
768I just try grok unhinged.我只是在摸摸摸摸
769That's like这就像
770It's guaranteed to be entertaining at a party肯定能在派对上娱乐
7711000% promise you if you if you try grok voice unhinged at a party, this will be a very it's gonna be a big hit1000 % 答应你,如果你在派对上 尝试无动于衷的声音, 这将是一个非常大的打击
772so这样
773But you can also ask it any questions但你也可以问任何问题
774So like if you want to ask questions about like所以,像如果你想问 关于像
775You know life advice or things that or anything like you could really ask like you can ask it about cryptocurrency if you want你知道生活的建议 或者你真正可以问的东西 就像你可以问它 关于密码货币 如果你想
776You can ask it about medical advice you can ask and it's actually it's it's very good and it's getting better so你可以问它关于医疗建议 你可以问 它实际上是它 非常好,它越来越好
777You know, I think more use of try using grok.你知道,我想更多的使用 尝试使用grok。
778It's like it's really pretty cool.感觉很酷
779Yeah, sure当然
780Yeah, so对,所以
781We're in phase three of the master plan since mass plan one and two have been completed我们进入了总体规划的第三阶段,因为第一和二号大众计划已经完成
782now现在
783Enough mass plant pot three is a very long master plan because it's basically making all energy on earth sustainable足够多的三号大锅是一个很长的总计划 因为基本上它让地球上所有的能量都可持续
784and和
785And I actually need to supplement it with the sort of abundance for all我实际上需要补充它 那种丰厚的所有人
786Maybe that's master plan for也许这就是总计划
787I've kind of described master plan for essentially which is like autonomous cars我描述过总计划 基本上就像自动车
788Autonomous humanoid robots自主人造机器人
789You combine that with like solar and and battery storage and I你把它和太阳能 电池和蓄电池 以及我
790Think the future is gonna be incredible以为未来会是不可思议的
791So I'll take a couple more questions and call it a night所以我再问几个问题 晚上就结束了
792Well, if you haven't asked a question before you can ask question好吧,如果你还没有问 问题之前,你可以问
793Okay.摆
794Oh瓳
795Well, there are actually some octopus robots being both in Fremont right now其实现在佛蒙特有章鱼机器人
796so well这么好
797sure that was but当然,但
798So这么说
799What we expect to have an optimist production line here as well.我们期望这里也有一个乐观的生产线。
800So there'll be optimist production所以会有乐观的制作
801starting in in the Bay Area and then we'll have the从湾区开始,然后我们就可以
802Even bigger optimist production line here in Austin.奥斯丁的更乐观的生产线
803Yeah, it's gonna be a lot of robots是啊,它会是很多机器人
804I mean ultimately我的意思是最终
805I mean, I think I think they'll be we'll be making tens of millions of robots a year type of thing我的意思是,我想他们会是 我们将做几千万机器人一年
806It's like serious volume这就像严重的体积
807Maybe a hundred million robots here这里也许有亿个机器人
808It's wild这太疯狂了
809Yeah对
810All right.好吧,我们走。
811Well last question最后一个问题
812Okay还好
813about sustainability关于可持续性
814abundance, yes丰量,是的
815Well, yes, I mean obviously utopia could be dystopia嗯,是的,我的意思是,显然乌托邦可能 dystopia
816So we have to like usually any story about utopia ends up being dystopia won't avoid that but nonetheless因此,我们必须喜欢通常任何关于乌托邦的故事 最终是dystopia不会避免这一点,但无论如何
817I think if you say what future what's the what's the best future you can think of I think a future of sustainable abundance我认为如果你说未来是什么 最好的未来是什么 你能想到的 我认为未来是可持续的丰富
818Plus space travel, that's pretty great加上太空旅行,这是相当伟大的
819Yeah对
820We need we need adversity我们需要逆境
821Well, I mean you make a good point like we it's like if things are actually get too easy我的意思是,你讲的不错,就像我们... ...它就像如果事情真的变得太容易
822Maybe we get bored and we were not really that you kind of want to to some degree overcome adversity也许我们厌倦了,我们不是真的 你有点想克服逆境
823You know, it's like if you if you play a game of some kind you wanted the game to be not too easy and not too hard你知道,这就像如果你玩 某种游戏,你希望 游戏不是太容易,不是太难
824and和
825Maybe the future will be too easy potentially is what you're saying将来可能太容易了,你说的就是
826It's a high-class problem, you know这是一个高阶层的问题,你知道的
827But I think I think we'll still have但我想我们还有
828Human to human competitions and if you look at say人对人的竞争,如果你看 说
829Athletics or even mind games like chess竞技甚至象象棋一样的思维游戏
830Although computers can beat any human at chess chess is actually at an all-time high in popularity虽然电脑在围棋比赛中能战胜任何人类,但实际上在流行程度上达到了历史最高水平.
831And although you know cars can go faster than any humans.虽然你知道汽车的速度比人类都快
832We still have我们仍然有
833Athletic sports where humans compete against each other.人类相互竞争的田径运动.
834So I think we'll still have所以,我想我们还有
835human versus human competitiveness人与人的竞争力
836I一、导 言
837think long term will also have认为长期也会
838Enhancement of humans or optionally if somebody wants to enhance like have like cybernetic enhancements like with Neuralink如果有人想要增强 人类或可选的增强 就像网络网状增强 就像Neuralink
839You know if you want to go cybernetic and I don't know maybe have like super intelligence and你知道如果你想去网络网 我不知道 也许有像超级智能和
840Be able to see, you know in different wavelengths可以看到,你知道不同的波长
841But we could absolutely provide superhuman abilities fire via Neuralink in the future但我们可以在未来通过Neuralink提供超人能力
842So这么说
843One thing's for sure.有一点是肯定的。
844The future is gonna be very interesting未来会很有趣的
845in fact, I think the most事实上,我觉得最
846Generally, I find that the most interesting outcome is the most likely一般来说,我发现最有趣的结果是最有可能
847Or said another way, maybe the most entertaining outcome, especially if ironic is the most likely或者说另一种方式, 也许是最有趣的结果, 尤其是如果讽刺是最有可能
848It's almost like we're in a alien Netflix series这几乎就像我们在一个外星人Netflix系列
849That's trying to have the highest possible ratings这是在努力获得最高的收视率
850And like if you think about it like that's kind of what happens碞钩狦稱癬硂贺ㄆ
851You know, which it doesn't mean it's always good你知道,这并不意味着 它总是好
852Because to your point if you you wouldn't really want to watch a show where things are great and stay great因为对于你来说,如果你真的不想 看一个节目 事情是好的,保持伟大的
853I'm like, oh, it's boring我觉得,哦,这很无聊
854You want to watch a show where there's like a narrative arc where things go up and they go down they go back up again你想看一个节目,那里有像一个叙事弧 在那里,事情会上升,它们会下降
855I一、导 言
856And you don't know exactly what's going to happen next.你不知道接下来会发生什么
857And I think we might be in an alien Netflix series here.我认为我们可能属于外星人Netflix系列
858So we're just going to keep the ratings up so we don't get canceled.所以我们要保持收视率 以免被取消
859All right.好吧,我们走。
860Thank you, guys.谢谢你们
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