法里德观点：川普的冒险精神为中东带来和平 | 2025.5.
字幕摘录
| 时间 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 0:01 | But first here's my take | 但首先,这是我的主意 |
| 0:04 | President Trump's instinct for disruption and tendency to shoot from the hip has caused chaos | 川普总统的本能 破坏和从臀部射击的倾向 造成了混乱 |
| 0:10 | opposition and abrupt reversals | 反对和突然逆转 |
| 0:13 | But this week Trump reminded us that sometimes his willingness to take risks and think outside the box | 但本周特朗普提醒我们,有时他愿意冒险,在盒子外思考 |
| 0:20 | Can shake up tired old ways in Saudi Arabia? | 在沙特阿拉伯, |
| 0:24 | he surprised everyone by meeting with Syria's new leader of former jihadi and | 他见到叙利亚前圣战组织新领导人, |
| 0:30 | Announcing that he would remove all US sanctions on the country | 宣布将取消美国对该国的所有制裁 |
| 0:34 | He has also suggested repeatedly that his administration is willing to make a new nuclear deal with Iran | 他还一再表示,他的政府愿意与伊朗达成新的核协议。 |
| 0:41 | If so, he could bring a new level of peace and stability to the Middle East | 如果是这样,他可以给中东带来新的和平与稳定水平 |
| 0:46 | Trump's newfound interest in an Iran deal is ironic verging on bizarre | 特朗普对伊朗协议的新兴趣 具有讽刺意味 |
展开字幕全文（63 条）
| 序号 | 英文 | 中文 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | But first here's my take | 但首先,这是我的主意 |
| 2 | President Trump's instinct for disruption and tendency to shoot from the hip has caused chaos | 川普总统的本能 破坏和从臀部射击的倾向 造成了混乱 |
| 3 | opposition and abrupt reversals | 反对和突然逆转 |
| 4 | But this week Trump reminded us that sometimes his willingness to take risks and think outside the box | 但本周特朗普提醒我们,有时他愿意冒险,在盒子外思考 |
| 5 | Can shake up tired old ways in Saudi Arabia? | 在沙特阿拉伯, |
| 6 | he surprised everyone by meeting with Syria's new leader of former jihadi and | 他见到叙利亚前圣战组织新领导人, |
| 7 | Announcing that he would remove all US sanctions on the country | 宣布将取消美国对该国的所有制裁 |
| 8 | He has also suggested repeatedly that his administration is willing to make a new nuclear deal with Iran | 他还一再表示,他的政府愿意与伊朗达成新的核协议。 |
| 9 | If so, he could bring a new level of peace and stability to the Middle East | 如果是这样,他可以给中东带来新的和平与稳定水平 |
| 10 | Trump's newfound interest in an Iran deal is ironic verging on bizarre | 特朗普对伊朗协议的新兴趣 具有讽刺意味 |
| 11 | After all he was the one who pulled the US out of the original Iran nuclear deal | 毕竟是他把美国从伊朗核协议中拉出来 |
| 12 | Even though most serious observers including US intelligence agencies | 虽然包括美国情报机构在内的 最重要的观察员 |
| 13 | Believe that Iran had been adhering to the terms of the deal. | 相信伊朗一直遵守协议条款。 |
| 14 | This is one more example of Donald Trump creating a problem | 这是唐纳德·特朗普制造问题的又一个例子 |
| 15 | Reversing himself and then proudly announcing to the world that he has brilliantly reset the situation | 自我反悔,然后骄傲地向世界宣布 他辉煌地重现了局面 |
| 16 | But whatever the past events have transpired that could make for a better deal today than before | 但无论过去发生什么 能够让今天比以前更好的交易 |
| 17 | The two fundamental shifts that are most relevant here are Iran's weakness and Saudi Arabia strength | 这里最相关的两个根本转变是伊朗的弱点和沙特阿拉伯的力量 |
| 18 | Iran is in worse shape than it has been in a generation | 伊朗的情况比一代人还糟 |
| 19 | decades of chronic mismanagement of the economy | 几十年来经济长期管理不善 |
| 20 | Exacerbated by sanctions massive corruption and a brutal dictatorship have caused deep public dissatisfaction | 在制裁的激化下,大规模腐败和残酷的独裁统治引起了公众的强烈不满。 |
| 21 | With the Islamic regime add to that last year's stunningly successful | 伊斯兰政权使去年取得了惊人的成功 |
| 22 | Israeli assaults on Hezbollah and Iran's own air defenses | 以色列攻击真主党和伊朗自己的防空部队 |
| 23 | Blast Iran's closest Arab ally Syria's Bashar al-Assad's government collapsed and the primary opposition | 伊朗最亲密的阿拉伯盟友叙利亚巴沙尔·阿萨德政府垮台, |
| 24 | Forces whom Iranian-backed militias have been fighting for years became the new government | 伊朗支持的民兵多年来一直在战斗的部队成为新政府 |
| 25 | Put this all together and Iran is at its weakest point since Saddam Hussein invaded the fledgling Islamic Republic in | 将这一切放在一起,自萨达姆·侯赛因入侵伊朗伊斯兰共和国以来,伊朗处于最弱点。 |
| 26 | 1980 | 1980年 (中文(简体) ). |
| 27 | Second Saudi Arabia has been growing in strength and its foreign policy has been transformed over the last few years | 第二,沙特阿拉伯实力不断增强,其外交政策在过去几年中发生了变化。 |
| 28 | It has negotiated a truce with the Houthis | 与胡塞人谈判停战 |
| 29 | Improved relations with Qatar and developed better ties with countries like Lebanon and Iraq | 改善与卡塔尔的关系,加强与黎巴嫩和伊拉克等国家的关系 |
| 30 | Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has realized that to achieve his primary dream the modernization of Saudi Arabia | 穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼王储意识到,为了实现他的主要梦想,沙特阿拉伯实现了现代化。 |
| 31 | He needs stability in the region | 他需要地区稳定 |
| 32 | The most remarkable sign of this has been the growing rapprochement | 最显著的征兆是 越来越和睦 |
| 33 | Between Saudi Arabia and Iran with officials of the two countries meeting with some regularity | 沙特阿拉伯和伊朗两国官员定期会晤 |
| 34 | Saudi officials now explicitly support a new Iran nuclear deal | 沙特官员现在明确支持伊朗新的核协议 |
| 35 | The obstacle to the deal is what it has always been Bibi Netanyahu | 交易的障碍在于 比比·内塔尼亚胡 |
| 36 | But increasingly his obstinacy does not find support from Saudi Arabia or other Gulf states | 但是他越来越执着 得不到沙特阿拉伯或其他海湾国家的支持 |
| 37 | Why? | 为什么? |
| 38 | Perhaps they're less wary of Iran because of its weakened state | 可能因为伊朗国力的弱化,他们对伊朗的警惕度就更低了 |
| 39 | perhaps because Netanyahu's ferocious war in Gaza has made it harder for them to back anything he advocates and | 可能是因为内塔尼亚胡在加沙的激烈战争使他们更难支持他所主张的一切, |
| 40 | Perhaps because they realize that such a deal is in fact the best way to contain the dangers of nuclear proliferation in the region | 也许因为他们认识到这种交易事实上是遏制该区域核扩散危险的最佳途径 |
| 41 | Additionally one of the compromises being mooted a regional consortium that would enrich uranium | 此外,一项妥协建议成立一个区域联合体,以浓缩铀。 |
| 42 | Could be a helpful model that would pave the way for Saudi Arabia's own plan to have a civilian nuclear program | 可能是一种有益的模式,为沙特阿拉伯自己的民用核计划计划铺平道路 |
| 43 | The challenge for Trump is that his administration is divided on this issue between two camps | 特朗普面临的挑战是,他的政府在这个问题上分裂为两个阵营. |
| 44 | realists and neoconservatives | 现实主义者和新保守主义者 |
| 45 | The former seemed to include Trump himself and Steve Witkoff the chief negotiator on the other side of various Iran hawks | 前者似乎包括特朗普本人和伊朗各鹰队另一侧首席谈判员史蒂夫·维特科夫. |
| 46 | Most prominently Marco Rubio along with a bevy of congressional Republicans | 最突出的是马可·鲁比奥 以及国会的共和党人 |
| 47 | The two sides still seem to be battling which explains why the administration seems to change its tone and emphasis every few days | 双方似乎仍在争吵,这解释了为什么政府似乎每隔几天就改变其基调和重点 |
| 48 | The main Iran hawk of course is Bibi Netanyahu who warns that Iran will get a bomb soon unless it is bombed | 当然,伊朗的主要鹰是比比·内塔尼亚胡,他警告说,除非被轰炸,伊朗很快就会得到一枚炸弹。 |
| 49 | But it's worth keeping in mind that Netanyahu has been predicting that Iran is months away from getting a nuclear bomb | 但值得记住的是,内塔尼亚胡一直预测伊朗要几个月才能获得核弹 |
| 50 | for at least 13 years | 13年以上) |
| 51 | Actually, he wrote a book in which he claimed Iran was on a relentless path to a nuclear bomb in | 实际上,他写了一本书,其中他声称伊朗在无情的道路上 进入了核弹 |
| 52 | 1995 | 1995年,纽约 |
| 53 | He's asserted that Iran is a messianic apocalyptic cult and therefore negotiating with them would be pointless | 他断言伊朗是一个末日主义的邪教,因此与他们谈判毫无意义。 |
| 54 | The more prosaic reality is that Iran is run by a bunch of brutish mullahs and corrupt generals | 更亲切的现实是,伊朗是由一群粗鲁的毛拉和腐败的将军管理 |
| 55 | Who have spent their energies amassing fortunes in this world not preparing for the next one? | 在这个世界里,谁把精力花在了积蓄财富上? 没有为下一个世界做准备? |
| 56 | They've found it more advantageous to stay months away from a nuclear weapon rather than to cross that line | 他们认为远离核武器几个月 而不是越过那条线更有利 |
| 57 | They want sanctions relief not an end of days conflagration | 他们想要的是制裁救济 而不是一天的结束 |
| 58 | There is a deal to be made with such men not to become friends | 和这些人有协议,不要成为朋友 |
| 59 | but to serve a common interest of defusing the dangers of nuclear arms races and | 消除核军备竞赛的危险 |
| 60 | Bringing stability to a Middle East that has been scarred by generations of war and terror | 为历代战争和恐怖留下疤痕的中东带来稳定 |
| 61 | Donald Trump is uniquely positioned to override Netanyahu's objections | 唐纳德·特朗普在推翻内塔尼亚胡的反对方面地位独特 |
| 62 | cut through the usual Washington battle lines and | 穿过通常的华盛顿战线 |
| 63 | Grab this opportunity | 抓住这个机会 |
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