《经济学人》日本人口危机：两个小镇的命运启示 [B2] 原声

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P1	《经济学人》日本人口危机：两个小镇的命运启示 [B2] 原声	6:56

P1 · 《经济学人》日本人口危机：两个小镇的命运启示 [B2] p01 原声 (P1)

《经济学人》日本人口危机：两个小镇的命运启示 [B2] p01 原声 (P1)

发布于 2026-10-29 · 时长 6:56

字幕摘录

时间	英文	中文
0:03	Asia.	亚洲。
0:06	Japanese demography.	日本人口学.
0:08	A tale of two towns.	两个城镇的故事。
0:11	Shrinking countries must move beyond one-sized	摇摇欲坠的国家必须超越单一规模
0:14	solutions.	解决方案。
0:16	Less than 40 kilometres separates the towns of Nanpuro and Yubari on Japan's	南浦镇和日本玉百里镇相隔不到40公里
0:23	northernmost island of Hokkaido.	北海道最北端的岛屿.
0:25	But their fates could hardly have diverged further.	但是,他们的命运几乎没有进一步分歧。
0:29	Nanpuro, a tranquil commuter town east of Sapporo, the regional capital, is growing its native	南普罗是札幌以东的一个镇,
0:36	population at one of the fastest rates in the country.	人口比率是全国最快的。

展开字幕全文（106 条）

序号	英文	中文
1	Asia.	亚洲。
2	Japanese demography.	日本人口学.
3	A tale of two towns.	两个城镇的故事。
4	Shrinking countries must move beyond one-sized	摇摇欲坠的国家必须超越单一规模
5	solutions.	解决方案。
6	Less than 40 kilometres separates the towns of Nanpuro and Yubari on Japan's	南浦镇和日本玉百里镇相隔不到40公里
7	northernmost island of Hokkaido.	北海道最北端的岛屿.
8	But their fates could hardly have diverged further.	但是,他们的命运几乎没有进一步分歧。
9	Nanpuro, a tranquil commuter town east of Sapporo, the regional capital, is growing its native	南普罗是札幌以东的一个镇,
10	population at one of the fastest rates in the country.	人口比率是全国最快的。
11	Yubari, a former coal mining hub that	尤巴里,前煤矿中心
12	went bankrupt in 2007, has seen its population decline by 95% from its peak.	2007年破产,其人口比高峰下降了95%。
13	Their contrasting	他们的对比
14	trajectories offer lessons for local life in an era of demographic shrinkage.	轨迹为人口萎缩时代的当地生活提供了教训。
15	Start in	开始于
16	Nanpuro, the town's population fell from around 10,000 in 1998 to fewer than 7,400 over the next	南普罗,该镇的人口从1998年的10 000人下降到下一个年的不到7 400人
17	quarter century.	25世纪。
18	But in recent years, the trend has reversed.	但近年来,这一趋势已经逆转。
19	By last year, the population had	到去年,人口已经
20	ticked back up to 8,400.	已跳转到8400
21	Nanpuro was one of only nine out of 179 municipalities in Hokkaido to see	南普罗是北海道179个城市中仅有的9个城市之一
22	population growth in 2020 to 2025.	2020年至2025年人口增长.
23	It was the only one of those nine to do so without	这是这九人中唯一一个没有
24	substantial foreign immigration.	大量外国移民。
25	Meanwhile, Japan as a whole lost some 3 million people over the	与此同时,整个日本共损失了约300万人。
26	same period.	同一时期。
27	A sense of optimism is palpable at the Harappa indoor playground in the town's central	镇中心的哈拉帕室内游乐场上有一种乐观的感觉
28	park.	公园。
29	Sunlight streams through the new building's floor-to-ceiling windows, lighting up a gaggle of	阳光流过新大楼的楼层至天花板的窗户, 点亮了一圈
30	children clambering up a wooden playhouse under a vaulted ceiling.	孩子们在密闭的天花板下爬上木屋
31	In the adjoining cafe and	在旁边的咖啡馆里
32	library, a mum and young son peruse a shelf of children's books, The Very Hungry Caterpillar,	图书馆,一个妈妈和小儿子翻阅儿童书架,非常饥饿的卡特彼勒,
33	Library Lion, and a popular Japanese series called The Encyclopedia of Big Crises.	图书馆狮子,以及日本流行的系列作品"大危机百科全书".
34	A combination of	组合
35	structural advantages and targeted policy initiatives has helped Nanpuro solve its own big	结构性优势和有针对性的政策举措帮助南普罗解决了自身的大问题。
36	crisis.	危机。
37	While offering the peaceful capaciousness of the countryside, the town sits comfortably	镇上安然无恙
38	within the economic orbit of Sapporo, less than an hour's drive away.	在札幌的经济轨道上不到一小时的车程
39	Local leaders recognised	地方领导人得到承认
40	that could appeal to young families and implemented several incentives to attract them.	这会吸引年轻家庭,并实施若干激励措施吸引他们。
41	Many	许多
42	municipalities elsewhere in Japan have tried such measures, but Nanpuro's have been effective	日本其他地方的市政府也尝试过这样的措施,但南普罗还是有效的
43	because its efforts were sustained and unique, reckons Saito Takashi, an official.	因为它的努力是持续和独特的, 认为斋藤高雄,一个官员。
44	Couples,	情侣
45	where both partners are under 40 years old, or with children of middle school age or younger,	伴侣双方年龄在40岁以下,或有中年或中年以下儿童,
46	can receive up to 2 million yen, that's $12,500, towards home construction.	最多能收到200万日元,即12500美元,用于住宅建设.
47	Unused plots of land	未用地块
48	held in a prefectural land bank are sold at a steep discount.	在县立土地银行持有的,其销售额为高折价。
49	Parents also get 10 kilograms	父母还得到10公斤
50	of rice every year, a meaningful treat when rice prices have caused national anxiety.	每年大米,当大米价格引起全国焦虑时,这是有意义的待遇。
51	The Tatsuki family are among the new arrivals.	吐蕃家族属于新来者.
52	Aoi and Yamato moved to Nanpuro with their young	小葵和大和带着年青搬到南浦
53	son last year, drawn by the combination of proximity to Sapporo and support for young	去年的儿子,从札幌附近和对年轻人的支持的结合而来
54	families.	家属
55	They built a home and opened a cafe on its ground floor where they do brisk business	他们建了家,在一楼开了一家咖啡馆他们在那里做生意
56	serving lunch sets of grilled fish and freshly baked desserts.	提供烤鱼和新鲜烤甜点的午餐。
57	It would have been super expensive	那会很贵的
58	to do the same in Sapporo, Mr Tatsuki says.	在札幌做同样的事情,田木先生说。
59	After seeing the conditions, Mr Tatsuki's older sister	看完病情之后,田木先生的姐姐
60	decided to move to Nanpuro as well.	决定也搬到南普罗去
61	Yet Nanpuro's growth has come from migrants moving in rather	但南普罗的增长来自于移民
62	than a baby boom.	而不是婴儿潮。
63	Last year the town still saw twice as many deaths as births.	去年,该镇的死亡人数仍然是出生人数的两倍。
64	With the national	与全国
65	population shrinking, one municipality's gain is another's loss.	人口减少,一个市镇的收益是另一个市镇的损失。
66	There is a competitive dynamic,	有一种竞争的动力,
67	Mr Saito acknowledges.	斋藤先生承认
68	Not everywhere can be Nanpuro.	不到处能为南普罗.
69	Many places will be more like Yubari.	许多地方会更像尤巴里.
70	Its population peaked in 1960 at some 117,000.	1960年人口达到顶峰,约11.7万人.
71	Though the size of a town now, it still carries	虽然现在的城镇规模很大,但它仍然携带着
72	the city designation as a relic of its past glory.	城市被命名为它过去荣耀的遗迹
73	After the last coal mine closed in 1990,	最后一座煤矿于1990年关闭后,
74	Yubari tried to reinvent itself as a tourist destination.	尤巴里试图将自己重新塑造成旅游胜地.
75	Mismanagement left it bankrupt.	管理不善使它破产。
76	As part of a nationally administered restructuring plan, officials closed schools,	作为国家管理的改组计划的一部分,官员关闭了学校,
77	halted bus routes and shut the local museum.	停止公共汽车路线,关闭当地博物馆。
78	Cutting services only speeded the decline,	削减服务只会加速下降,
79	laments Yubari's current mayor, Atsuya Tsukasa.	感叹尤巴里现任市长阿特苏亚·鹤莎.
80	Since 2022, when Nanpuro's tide began to turn,	从2022年开始,南普罗的潮流开始转向,
81	Yubari has seen its population shrink from around 7,000 to just 5,600.	尤巴里的人口从7000人左右缩减到5600人左右.
82	More than half the remaining	其余的一半以上
83	residents are over 65.	居民超过65岁。
84	Almost no one is moving in.	几乎没有人搬进来。
85	Everyone is leaving, says Noda Masaru,	大家都要走了,野田真郎说
86	an entrepreneur.	一个企业家。
87	And when you know the population is going down, you aren't going to start a	当你知道人口会减少, 你不会开始一个
88	business, you're going to close it.	生意,你会关闭它。
89	Yubari's case is extreme, but hardly unique.	尤巴里的情况是极端的,但并非独一无二.
90	The Population	人口数量
91	Strategy Council, a group of business and civic leaders, reported in 2024 that some 40% of Japan's	战略理事会是一群商界和民间领袖, 2024年报道说,
92	municipalities risk disappearing, given the outflow of young people.	由于年轻人外流,市政当局有可能消失。
93	I don't see any prospect for	我没有看到任何前景
94	the trend.	趋势。
95	It's not just Yubari.	不单是优婆塞.
96	Atsuya先生说,
97	The question	问题
98	is how to survive in that context.	如何在此背景下生存。
99	While Nanpuro, thanks to its favourable location near a regional	在南普罗,由于它位于靠近一个地区
100	{\fn黑体\fs22\bord1\shad0\3aHBE\4aH00\fscx67\fscy66\2cHFFFFFF\3cH808080}对Yubari来说任务是管理一个不可避免的
101	further decline.	进一步减少。
102	For instance, by becoming more compact.	例如,通过更加紧凑。
103	We need to live in a more connected way,	我们需要以更紧密的联系方式生活,
104	Mr Atsuya says.	阿苏也先生说.
105	In an era of population shrinkage, growth can no longer be the only measure of	在人口萎缩的时代,增长不再是衡量
106	success. In an era of population shrinkage, growth can no longer be the only measure of success.	成功吗? 在人口萎缩的时代,增长不再是衡量成功的唯一尺度。

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