《经济学人》凯米能重新统一右翼吗？保守党“无戏剧”复兴背后的

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P1	《经济学人》凯米能重新统一右翼吗？保守党“无戏剧”复兴背后的	7:33

P1 · 《经济学人》凯米能重新统一右翼吗？保守党“无戏剧”复兴背后的致命矛盾 [B2] p01 原声 (P1)

《经济学人》凯米能重新统一右翼吗？保守党“无戏剧”复兴背后的致命矛盾 [B2] p01 原声 (P1)

发布于 2026-10-23 · 时长 7:33

字幕摘录

时间	英文	中文
0:02	Britain.	英国
0:06	The Conservative Party.	保守党.
0:08	Kemi 能否统一
0:11	right?	对吧?
0:12	Perhaps, but for now her pitch for power is incoherent.	也许,但现在她对权力的投注是不一致的。
0:18	There is a fight coming in British politics, Kemi Badenock told the Conservative Party	Kemi Badenock对保守党说英国政坛正在发生争斗
0:24	at its annual conference on October 7th.	在10月7日的年度会议上
0:26	The Tory leader promised a battle of ideas with	托里领袖答应了一场与
0:29	the ruling Labour Party.	执政的工党。
0:31	This party is now the No Drama Party, she declared.	她宣布,这个派对现在是无戏剧党。

展开字幕全文（120 条）

序号	英文	中文
1	Britain.	英国
2	The Conservative Party.	保守党.
3	Kemi 能否统一
4	right?	对吧?
5	Perhaps, but for now her pitch for power is incoherent.	也许,但现在她对权力的投注是不一致的。
6	There is a fight coming in British politics, Kemi Badenock told the Conservative Party	Kemi Badenock对保守党说英国政坛正在发生争斗
7	at its annual conference on October 7th.	在10月7日的年度会议上
8	The Tory leader promised a battle of ideas with	托里领袖答应了一场与
9	the ruling Labour Party.	执政的工党。
10	This party is now the No Drama Party, she declared.	她宣布,这个派对现在是无戏剧党。
11	The Tories are feeling more upbeat and less drama-ridden than they have for a while.	托瑞斯人感觉比以前更兴奋也比以前少了些
12	This is mostly because they are pleased to have survived.	这主要是因为他们很高兴幸存下来。
13	Nigel Farage, the leader of	奈杰尔·法拉吉,
14	Reform UK, has made it his mission to kill them off altogether and replace them as the	改革英国,他的使命就是彻底消灭他们并取代他们
15	dominant party of the right.	右翼政党
16	This time last year he seemed to stand a chance.	去年的这个时候,他似乎有机会。
17	Reform was	改革是
18	top of the opinion polls and had a 13-point lead over the Tories.	最高的民意测验和有13点领先托里斯。
19	Now, thanks to a modest	现在,谢谢你的谦虚
20	recovery by the Conservatives and a big drop in support for Reform, that gap stands at	保守党的复苏以及对改革的支持大幅下降,这一差距仍然存在。
21	just two points.	就两点
22	Labour, meanwhile, has moved back up to first place.	与此同时,劳工又回到了第一位。
23	Reform has also failed to hollow out Ms Badenock's flock of MPs, having set a deadline of May	改革也未能将巴登诺克女士的议员群空置一旁,
24	for disaffected Tories to defect.	让不满的玩具叛变
25	They came in a trickle rather than a flood, with just	他们来过一个小沟而不是洪水,只是
26	four sitting parliamentarians swapping their blue rosettes for teal.	4位现任议员将蓝玫瑰花换为茶叶.
27	Reform has eight MPs to the Conservatives' 118.	改革有8名议员到保守党118名.
28	Some Tories remain keen to unite the	一些托里斯仍然热衷于团结
29	right through an electoral pact between the two parties.	通过两党的选举协议
30	Ms Badenock is not one of them.	巴登诺克女士不是其中之一。
31	Reform, she proclaimed in her speech, are not like us, we are not like them.	她在发言中宣称,改革不同于我们,我们不同于他们。
32	She instead	换成她
33	wants to reclaim the Conservatives' long-held position as Britain's only viable right-wing	想要夺回保守党的长期地位作为英国唯一可行的右翼
34	party.	派对
35	Reform voters are to be won back by an aggressive stance on cultural issues such	改革选民将通过在文化问题上采取积极的姿态而获得回报。
36	as immigration, moderates by a credible strategy to help the economy grow.	作为移民,采取可信的战略帮助经济增长。
37	Does she have one?	她有吗?
38	On the eve of the conference, Ms Badenock made her most detailed pitch yet in the form	在会议前夕,巴登诺克女士做了她最详尽的投手
39	of a 100-page pamphlet titled The Right Way.	一本100页的小册子,题为《正确之路》。
40	In it she tries to explain the principles	里面她试图解释原则
41	that would guide a future Tory government and to describe how the last one went wrong.	将指导未来的托里政府并描述上一个是如何出错的
42	Ms Badenock argues that inefficient taxes, fiddly regulation and a lackadaisical approach	Badenock女士认为,低效率的税收、零散的监管和缺乏适应性的做法
43	to cultural cohesion have made Britain poorer and unhappier.	文化凝聚使英国更加穷困和不高兴。
44	The biggest announcement of her speech was an economic one.	她的演讲最大的宣布是经济的。
45	She promised to exempt the	她答应了免除
46	family home from inheritance tax, allowing properties of any value to be passed on without	家庭住房免征继承税,允许任何价值的财产在没有遗产的情况下转让;
47	incurring the 40% levy currently applied to estates, mainly homes, worth more than £1	目前对房产,主要是房屋征收的40%的税额超过1英镑。
48	million.	百万块。
49	Meanwhile, clear blue water is beginning to separate the Tories and Reform, despite	同时,清澈的蓝水开始分离托里和改革,尽管
50	similar views on issues such as human rights law, against, and military spending, for.	关于人权法反对和军费开支等问题的类似看法。
51	Take Brexit.	取布列克谢特.
52	At Labour's conference in late September, Andy Burnham, the Prime Minister,	在9月下旬的工党会议上,安迪·伯纳姆,总理,
53	promised to reopen a debate over whether Britain should rejoin the EU.	承诺重新辩论英国是否应该重新加入欧盟.
54	Mr Farage's response	法拉吉先生的回应
55	was, bring it on.	是,来吧。
56	Ms Badenock, in contrast, dismisses the issue as a distraction from	与此相反,Badenock女士则认为这个问题是分散了人们的注意力。
57	more pressing problems.	更紧迫的问题
58	Eurosceptic Tories, of whom there are plenty, might sympathise	富足的欧洲化医院可能会同情
59	with Mr Farage's line, but at a fringe event at their conference, Sir Bernard Jenkin, a	与法拉吉先生的台词, 但是在他们的附带活动, 伯纳德·延金爵士,
60	veteran MP who helped to lead the Leave campaign, warned them, do not defend Brexit.	帮助领导"休假"运动的老议员,警告他们,不为布雷克西特辩护.
61	Brexit	布列克西特语Name
62	is toxic with the voters.	对选民有毒
63	The same is true of other red meat that Reform holds out to	改革中的其他红肉也是一样
64	voters.	选民。
65	Many Tories share Mr Farage's dislike of net zero carbon targets and mass immigration,	许多Tories都和Farage先生一样不喜欢净零碳指标和大规模移民
66	but the party is holding its line on both.	但党在两个方面都坚持到底
67	Badenock女士理智地说,气候
68	change is real, and praises black Britons, whom some Reform politicians say can never	变革是真实的, 并称赞黑人不列颠人, 一些改革政治家说,
69	be counted as English.	以英文计算。
70	Despite their cheerier mood, the Conservatives score just 20% on	保守党人尽管心情更开心但得分只有20%
71	tracker of polling averages, dire by historical standards, and still worse than Reform.	与改革相比,
72	But	不过
73	Ms Badenock's party may have more reasons for optimism than its rivals to the right.	巴登诺克女士的派对可能比右边的对手更有理由乐观.
74	YouGov, a pollster, regularly asks voters how likely they are to support each party	投票员YouGov经常询问选民他们支持每个政党的可能性。
75	at an election on a scale of 0 to 10.	以0至10为比例的选举。
76	Reform has more diehards than the Tories.	改革比Tories更难解决
77	11% say	11%说
78	they are sure to back them, compared with 6% for the Tories, but 53% say their chance	但是53%的人说他们的机会
79	of voting Reform is zero, compared with 31% for the Tories, and among those who say they	改革为零,而保守党的投票率是31%,而那些说“改革”的人的投票率为31%。
80	might support a party with a 5 out of 10 chance or more, the Tories are ahead.	10个机会中的5个或更多机会支持一个政党, 托里家族领先。
81	Nearly 40%	将近40%
82	of voters are open to voting for them, compared with about 30% for Reform.	选民愿意为他们投票,而改革则有30%左右。
83	Moreover, based	此外,基于
84	on current polling, tactical voting is likely to be crucial in the next election.	在目前的投票中,战术投票在下次选举中可能至关重要。
85	This helps	这有帮助
86	the Conservatives.	保守党。
87	More in common, another pollster has found many left-of-centre voters	更常见的是另一位民调员发现了许多左翼选民
88	would consider switching to the Tories if they thought doing so would see off Reform.	如果Tories认为这样做会妨碍改革的话,将考虑改用Tories。
89	Mr Farage's party is losing out to restore Britain, a far-right outfit led by a former	法拉吉先生的党输了以恢复英国, 一个极右的服装由前
90	MP.	议员.
91	The Conservatives insist that if they were returned to government, they would usher	保守派坚持如果他们回到政府,他们会迎来
92	in a pro-business regime and juice the economy.	在一个有利于商业的政权中, 并榨取经济。
93	They have committed to cut taxes that hold	他们承诺减税
94	back growth and to reduce the deficit, lowering Britain's steep borrowing costs.	并减少赤字降低英国的巨额借贷成本
95	The State	国家
96	lacks the capacity to carry out its own decisions, as Badenock writes in The Right Way.	正如巴登诺克在《正确之路》中写道的,
97	Better	好点了
98	to have a smaller and more efficient government.	建立一个规模较小、效率更高的政府。
99	She also vows to reduce the barriers to building	她还发誓要减少建筑障碍
100	new infrastructure.	新的基础设施。
101	The rhetoric is promising.	言论很有希望。
102	Alas, it seems to bear little relationship	唉,好像没什么关系
103	to Tory policies.	给托里政策。
104	Ms Badenock promises to cut spending, but also to keep the triple	巴登诺克女士承诺削减开支,但也要保持三倍
105	lock on State pensions, an expensive ratchet which Mr Burnham wants to overhaul.	锁住国家养老金, 一个昂贵的保险套, 伯纳姆先生想要修改。
106	She has	她已经
107	said nothing about how she will control the cost of the National Health Service, one of	关于她如何控制国家保健服务的费用,她只字未提。
108	the biggest areas of government spending.	政府支出的最大领域。
109	She wants to deregulate but defends the green	她想放松管制,但保护绿色
110	belt of land that stops cities from expanding.	阻止城市扩张的土地带
111	And her headline inheritance tax cut would	她的头条遗产税削减
112	do little for economic growth.	对经济增长无所作为。
113	Instead, it would disincentivise the rich elderly from	相反,这将削弱富有的老年人的积极性。
114	selling homes that are bigger than they want to live in, snarling up the housing market.	出售比他们想住的更大的住房,占据住房市场。
115	Having survived their brush with political death, the Tories now have a shot at retaking	在政治死亡中幸存下来后托里夫妇现在有机会重夺
116	their traditional monopoly of the right.	他们的传统垄断权利。
117	Ms Badenock is much more popular than Mr Farage,	巴登诺克女士比法拉吉先生更受欢迎
118	and many of her principles are sound.	她的很多原则都是正确的。
119	But if her party cannot act on them, it will squander	但是,如果她的党不能对他们采取行动, 它会浪费
120	its chance.	它的机会。

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